Overview
Czech Out has won its last two starts and three of its five runs over the past 90 days, and on Saturday it carries 62kg in a Benchmark 70 at Morphettville to see how far the handicapper can push it. That is the question that frames the card: can a horse in this sort of form keep winning when the weight keeps rising?
The other thread runs through J Holder. Holder has ridden 203 times here for 30 winners, more than anyone else in today’s rooms, and teams up with A J Gluyas twice in the back half of the day. Those two have combined for 14 wins from 67 rides at Morphettville, and they have Somewhere Soon in the staying handicap and Freedom Flame in the last.
These Morphettville racing tips cover all eight races on a Good to Soft surface, from the 1000m maiden at 1:07PM through to the Benchmark 80 over 1572m at 5:31PM local time. Three races are run over 1000m and the longest trip is 1983m. You get a pick in every race, the course numbers worth knowing, and the plays we would make. Bookmaker markets were not open when this was written, so no prices are quoted.
Morphettville: the setup
Plenty of today’s runners know their way around this track. Nine of them have had three or more starts here and have turned that into wins or regular placings, which gives the card more course evidence than most Saturdays in Adelaide.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Too Mysti | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28.6 | 71.4 |
| Sicilian Princess | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20.0 | 60.0 |
| Czech Out | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28.6 | 57.1 |
| Scandalize | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22.2 | 55.6 |
| Somewhere Soon | 6 | 2 | 3 | 33.3 | 50.0 |
| Willybeafactor | 10 | 2 | 5 | 20.0 | 50.0 |
| Bargain Boy | 8 | 1 | 4 | 12.5 | 50.0 |
| Tripod Terror | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 50.0 |
| Bristler | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22.2 | 44.4 |
B Rawiller has only five rides here, but two of them won. Behind that small sample the volume riders are tightly bunched: Jacob Opperman, J Holder, Shayleigh Ingelse and Jake Toeroek all hit the frame with close to four in every ten rides.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Rawiller | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0 | 60.0 |
| Jacob Opperman | 86 | 12 | 34 | 14.0 | 39.5 |
| J Holder | 203 | 30 | 78 | 14.8 | 38.4 |
| Shayleigh Ingelse | 40 | 7 | 15 | 17.5 | 37.5 |
| Jake Toeroek | 130 | 18 | 48 | 13.8 | 36.9 |
| Rochelle Milnes | 182 | 18 | 61 | 9.9 | 33.5 |
| Brooke King | 166 | 16 | 53 | 9.6 | 31.9 |
Among the stables, Phillip & Tommy Stokes stand out. More than half their Morphettville runners finish in the first three, and they have five starters today. R & C Jolly have the numbers, with 29 winners from 210 runners and ten horses on the card.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip & Tommy Stokes | 77 | 12 | 40 | 15.6 | 51.9 |
| G Dimitropoulos | 13 | 2 | 6 | 15.4 | 46.2 |
| R & C Jolly | 210 | 29 | 82 | 13.8 | 39.0 |
| A J Gluyas | 143 | 18 | 54 | 12.6 | 37.8 |
| Travis Doudle | 108 | 12 | 32 | 11.1 | 29.6 |
| G Richards & D Moyle | 130 | 19 | 38 | 14.6 | 29.2 |
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Morphettville racing tips: race by race
Race 1: The Fotobase Group Mdn Plate, 1:07PM, 1000m
Pure Crown has had two starts for a third and a second, and one of those placings came here. In a maiden where only a handful have run in the first three at all, that is enough to make it the one to beat.
Jake Toeroek rides for R & C Jolly, who have 29 Morphettville winners, and barrier 5 should give the horse a sit just off the speed over the 1000m.
Our Brave Boy is the danger. It opened with two seconds and has kept running in the first four since, and the Stokes stable places with half its runners here. Madam Moneybags, second two runs back and drawn the inside, is the each-way roughie. Pure Crown to win.
Race 2: Sportsbet Fast Form (Bm70), 1:42PM, 1250m
Does the weight finally stop Czech Out? It has won its last two, and over the past 90 days it has finished in the first three four times from five runs, three of them wins, worth almost $120,000 in prize money. It also has two wins from seven Morphettville starts. Form like that earns the 62kg it carries, and in a nine runner field the wide gate matters less than usual.
MS T Johnstone keeps the ride for G Richards & D Moyle, a stable with 19 winners here. The likely tempo suits a horse that can travel and kick.
Annie’s Croft is the unknown that could spoil it. One start, one win, and it gets in with 51kg and Shayleigh Ingelse aboard, a rider who wins with almost one in five rides here. Nolabell and Pure Pelt are both last start winners too, so this is not a walkover. Czech Out to win, with a small saver on Annie’s Croft.
Race 3: Schweppes Hcp (64), 2:17PM, 1300m
The inside gate and two straight wins make Bonfire Girl the pick. It has two wins from three runs in the past 90 days for Travis Doudle, and Ben Price can hold the rail from barrier 1 and let the race come to them.
Tripod Terror is the one that keeps turning up. It has run third, third and second at its last three, and half of its six Morphettville starts have ended in a placing. It has not won here though, and J Holder has to work from a wide gate. Sicilian Princess, placed three times from five starts here with one win, is the other one to include.
Bonfire Girl to win. Tripod Terror for the place.
Race 4: Sportsbet Race Replays (Bm70), 2:52PM, 1000m
Miss Slipstream has won three in a row, and both of its Morphettville starts ended in a win. It has not raced in the past 90 days, so it comes in fresh, but Kayla Crowther has barrier 1 and a horse that has shown it handles this straight.
Mercury Eight has won both of its runs in the last three months and is the clear danger. It also has a win here from two starts. If it holds its form, these two could have the finish to themselves.
Boyd is worth a mention because of the rider. B Rawiller has won on two of five rides here, and Boyd has finished in the first three in three of its four runs over the past 90 days, winning one. Mathematician has two wins from four starts at the track but finished ninth last time. Miss Slipstream to win, with an exacta both ways with Mercury Eight.
Race 5: Greenway Turf Solutions Hcp (64), 3:27PM, 1572m
A last start winner, a lightly weighted improver and a field full of horses who have been beaten here plenty of times. That shape points to Frontpoint. It won last start, has two wins from six runs over the past 90 days, and won its only start at Morphettville. J Holder takes the ride and draws barrier 7, which is workable over 1572m.
Hubristic is the threat. It has been in the first three in two of its three recent runs, one of them a win, and with 52kg and Shayleigh Ingelse aboard it gets every chance from the handicapper.
Bargain Boy has placed in four of its eight starts here and is the safest place option, while Cork Harbour has been here 13 times for one win and has not placed in six runs this campaign. Frontpoint to win.
Race 6: Winning Edge Presentations Hcp (C2), 4:07PM, 1000m
Ziggy Bama has the most consistent recent profile in the race: four top three finishes from five runs in the past 90 days, two of them wins. It has not raced at Morphettville, but barrier 1 over 1000m takes most of the guesswork away, and J Holder rides for Chris Bieg.
It’sanotherbattle is the one to fear. It won its only run of the past three months, a race worth $30,000, and both of its starts here ended in the first three. If it repeats that run, it beats Ziggy Bama.
Tobikko is the place play. It has run at Morphettville three times and placed every time, without winning, and Phillip & Tommy Stokes place more than half their runners here. Ziggy Bama to win, Tobikko each-way.
Race 7: Peter Rovedatti Hcp (68), 4:46PM, 1983m
The Holder and Gluyas combination is the reason to be with Somewhere Soon. Together they have 14 wins from 67 rides here, and this horse has three top three finishes from six Morphettville starts, two of them wins. It ran second last time and has been in the first three in three of its four runs in the past 90 days, with a win among them.
The worry is barrier 13 of 13 over 1983m. Holder will need to drop back early and come wide, and that costs ground. On this horse’s course record we will take the risk.
Tottori is the main danger after winning last start, and Jake Toeroek has the inside draw. Its record here is one placing from seven starts, though, which is the reason to oppose it at a short price. Doctor Robert is another last start winner and Durham has a win from two recent runs with a light weight. Somewhere Soon to win.
Race 8: Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm80), 5:31PM, 1572m
All Too Mysti has the best record at the track of anything on the card. It has run here seven times for five top three finishes, two of them wins, it won last start, and Will Price has barrier 2. R & C Jolly send it out after three top three finishes from five runs this campaign, one a win.
Willybeafactor is the value threat. It has run at Morphettville ten times and finished in the first three in half of them, winning twice, and its only run in the past 90 days was a win worth $30,000. Rose Hammond rides for G Dimitropoulos, a stable that places with almost half its runners here. From barrier 10 it needs some luck, but the price should cover that.
Freedom Flame, with three placings from nine starts here and a recent win, gives Holder and Gluyas a second chance on the day. All Too Mysti to win, Willybeafactor each-way.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Czech Out (Race 2, 1:42PM). Three wins from five runs in the past 90 days, the last two of them in a row, and two wins at the track. The weight is the only question, and its form answers most of it.
Value: Willybeafactor (Race 8, 5:31PM). Ten starts here, five of them in the first three, and a $30,000 win last time. The market will lean to All Too Mysti, which leaves room for this one.
Banker: Miss Slipstream (Race 4, 2:52PM). Three straight wins, two from two at Morphettville, and the inside gate. The one for the multis.
Each-way: Tobikko (Race 6, 4:07PM). Placed in all three runs here without winning, and its stable fills the frame with more than half its runners at the track.
Course angle: J Holder and A J Gluyas. Fourteen wins from 67 rides together at Morphettville. Follow them with Somewhere Soon in Race 7 and Freedom Flame in Race 8.
If Czech Out wins again under 62kg, the handicapper will have run out of answers before the horse has.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Morphettville today?
Race 1, The Fotobase Group Mdn Plate over 1000m, jumps at 1:07PM local time (ACDT). The last race, the Sportsbet Jockey Watch (Bm80) over 1572m, is at 5:31PM.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Morphettville?
J Holder has the most wins of today’s riders at Morphettville, 30 from 203 rides, and Shayleigh Ingelse has the best strike rate among the regulars with seven wins from 40. Among trainers, R & C Jolly have 29 winners from 210 runners here, and Phillip & Tommy Stokes place with 40 of their 77 runners.
What are the best bets at Morphettville today?
Czech Out in Race 2 is the NAP after winning its last two starts. Miss Slipstream in Race 4 is the banker with two wins from two at the track, Willybeafactor in Race 8 is the value play, and Tobikko in Race 6 is the each-way bet.
Where can I find the best odds for Morphettville races?
Markets were not open when these Morphettville predictions were written. Use the bookmaker table above and each race’s racecard on Racingbase to compare Morphettville odds once betting opens.