Overview
Ilovediamonds has won the last three starts and is two from two at Mornington, and on Tuesday goes for a fourth straight in the Bm56 sprint at 4:00PM. Sam Kennedy rides for Shawn Mathrick, a pairing that has won both its Mornington rides and five of its eleven anywhere.
There are eight races on a track rated Good to Soft, from a 2657m maiden at 1:30PM to a 1640m Bm56 at 5:00PM. These Mornington racing tips cover the lot: a staying maiden with a horse that has placed every time it has gone around in the last three months, two young-horse maidens where one stable’s record here matters more than form, and an each-way runner in Race 5 who keeps running second. Prices were up for the first five races when this was written; Races 6 to 8 were still unpriced.
Reading the Mornington card
Limited horse form at the course across today’s fields. Bella Cinque has placed in two of three Mornington starts, Chambers Bay won one of three, and most of the rest have one or two runs here or none at all.
The riders and stables are where the depth is.
Jockeys with five or more Mornington rides
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Bates | 12 | 2 | 8 | 17% | 67% |
| Liana Wood | 9 | 1 | 5 | 11% | 56% |
| Patrick Moloney | 13 | 2 | 7 | 15% | 54% |
| Teodore Nugent | 12 | 3 | 6 | 25% | 50% |
| Thomas Stockdale | 23 | 4 | 11 | 17% | 48% |
| Luke Cartwright | 40 | 6 | 15 | 15% | 38% |
Trainers with five or more Mornington runners
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Mathrick | 10 | 5 | 7 | 50% | 70% |
| A & S Freedman | 19 | 6 | 12 | 32% | 63% |
| Rory Hunter | 10 | 2 | 6 | 20% | 60% |
| D T O’Brien | 10 | 3 | 5 | 30% | 50% |
| M M Laurie | 21 | 2 | 10 | 10% | 48% |
| Jason Warren | 26 | 3 | 11 | 12% | 42% |
| Ben, Will & JD Hayes | 30 | 2 | 9 | 7% | 30% |
Mathrick wins with half his runners here and has four on the card. The Freedmans win close to a third of the time at Mornington. The Hayes stable sends the most runners and wins with few of them, so do not let the name alone shorten a price.
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Mornington race-by-race
Race 1: Sportsbet Race Previews Mdn Plate, 1:30PM, 2657m
Sentaloa has run four times in the last 90 days and placed every time, the last two efforts a second and a second. Stepping out to 2657m suits a horse that keeps finding the line, and barrier 1 is ideal for a staying maiden where saving ground is half the battle. Damien Thornton rides for M M Laurie, who has placed with ten of 21 runners here.
Kissattack is the danger at $2.70 with Bet Right. Damian Lane rides for D T O’Brien, who has won with three of his ten Mornington runners. The form is patchier: one placing from three recent runs, that being a third last time. Molesworth at $6.50 with Unibet is the best of the rest.
Win bet on Sentaloa at $2.45 with Ladbrokes, and the multi starter.
Race 2: Barmah Park Restaurant & Cellar Door Mdn Plate, 2:00PM, 1094m
Mostly unraced horses, so this comes down to stables. A & S Freedman have won six of their 19 races at Mornington and placed twelve times, and Amber Queen debuts with Damian Lane aboard. $4.80 with Bet Right is fair for that combination.
Hot Samba is favourite at $2.80 with Bet Right, also a first starter, and has barrier 1 with Jordan Childs. Diamond Heist ran sixth on debut and is $3.40 with Unibet, which looks short for the one run. Small win on Amber Queen. This is a race to watch as much as bet.
Race 3: Betavet Mdn Plate, 2:30PM, 1094m
Pinamilloy has had three starts and placed in all of them, a third, a second and a third. In a maiden full of debutants that is the solid form, and Jason Warren has won three times and placed eleven from 26 runners here. Zac Spain rides from barrier 5. $3.10 with Unibet.
The question is whether one of the newcomers is good enough to beat a horse that has shown its level. Capital Storm, $3.30 with Bet Right, ran unplaced on debut and gets Damian Lane, a booking worth noting second time out. Kensington debuts from barrier 1 at $6.00 with Unibet. Win on Pinamilloy.
Race 4: Rmbl Investments Rising Stars Race (Bm56), 3:00PM, 1312m
Bliss Bomb ran second last start and has the rider for this track. Logan Bates has placed on eight of his twelve Mornington rides, the best place rate of any jockey with five or more rides here, and Lloyd Kennewell has won two of six here. From barrier 2 at $3.60 with Bet Right, Bliss Bomb is the pick.
The value is Marilyn’s Edge at $5.50 with Bet Right. One win from one Mornington start, a win and two placings from four runs in the last 90 days, and the Sam Kennedy and Shawn Mathrick combination. Barrier 9 and an unplaced run last time are why the price is bigger than it should be. Sistine Tunnel at $4.20 with Unibet has placed in its one run here.
Win on Bliss Bomb, and a value win bet on Marilyn’s Edge.
Race 5: Sportsbet Feed (Bm56), 3:30PM, 2215m
Ginger Sweet has run second at each of the last three starts. That tells you two things: the horse is in form, and it has not been finishing the job. Over 2215m with one of the lightest weights in the field, there is every chance of another top-three finish. Jamie Melham rides from barrier 11. $4.00 with Bet Right.
Mike’s Hope is favourite at $3.90 with Bet Right, with three placings from four recent runs, but barrier 17 over a staying trip is a real problem. Nightowl has won one of three recent runs and gets W Egan. Up And Under has won one of two here and jumps from the inside.
Each-way on Ginger Sweet. The win would not surprise, but the place is the bet.
Race 6: Sportsbet Fixed Odds Exotics (Bm56), 4:00PM, 1094m
Ilovediamonds is the best thing on the card. Three straight wins, two from two at Mornington, and three wins and four placings from six runs in the last 90 days, worth close to $55,000. Sam Kennedy and Shawn Mathrick have won both their Mornington rides together.
The worry is barrier 13 in a 1094m sprint. If Kennedy has to go back, there is enough speed inside to make it awkward. Miss Toronado is the danger: a last-start winner, one run in the last 90 days, from barrier 1 with Jordan Childs. Bella Cinque has placed in two of three here and will run on.
No prices were open when this was written. Win bet on Ilovediamonds.
Race 7: Sportsbet Green Tick (Bm56), 4:30PM, 1640m
Rough Enuff won last time and carries top weight for it. Fearless Writer ran second last time, has three placings from four recent runs, and gets Damian Lane, who has a win and another placing from two rides here. A R Mcgregor has won one and placed with two of three Mornington runners. The weight swing tips it to Fearless Writer.
Rough Enuff is the danger from barrier 1. One win and two placings from two runs in the last 90 days is a strong recent record. Pol Rogeur has won one of two here. Win on Fearless Writer, saver on Rough Enuff.
Race 8: Sportsbet Same Race Multi (Bm56), 5:00PM, 1640m
A weak finale. Jenni Poppins ran seventh last time, but the runs before that were a win and three seconds, and Lloyd Kennewell‘s runner gets Jamie Melham. Chambers Bay has won one of three at Mornington and is the danger. Russian Benefits gets Luke Cartwright, who has six wins from 40 rides here, but the horse has two unplaced runs at the track.
Small win on Jenni Poppins if you must play. Otherwise this is a watch race.
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18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Where the money goes
NAP: Ilovediamonds (Race 6, 4:00PM). Unbeaten here, three wins in a row, and a jockey and trainer who have not lost together at Mornington. The wide gate is the only argument against.
Value: Marilyn’s Edge (Race 4, 3:00PM) at $5.50 with Bet Right. A course winner from the hottest stable here, priced off one bad run.
Banker: Sentaloa (Race 1, 1:30PM). Four runs, four placings, and the inside gate for a staying maiden.
Each-way: Ginger Sweet (Race 5, 3:30PM) at $4.00 with Bet Right. Three straight seconds and a light weight.
Course angle: Shawn Mathrick has won with five of ten Mornington runners, and today he has Little Gangster, Marilyn’s Edge, Ilovediamonds and Alexander Thegreat.
If Mathrick keeps striking at this rate, his runners will be the first thing to check every time Mornington races.
Mornington racing FAQ
What time does racing start at Mornington on Tuesday?
Race 1, the Sportsbet Race Previews Mdn Plate over 2657m, starts at 1:30PM. The last race is at 5:00PM. The track is rated Good to Soft.
Who are the leading jockeys and trainers at Mornington?
Logan Bates has placed on eight of 12 Mornington rides. Luke Cartwright has six wins from 40, and Teodore Nugent three from 12. Among trainers, Shawn Mathrick has won with five of ten runners and A & S Freedman with six of 19.
What are the best Mornington bets today?
Ilovediamonds in Race 6 is the NAP, Marilyn’s Edge in Race 4 is the value at $5.50, Sentaloa in Race 1 is the banker and Ginger Sweet in Race 5 is the each-way pick.
Where can I find the best Mornington odds?
Check the bookmaker table above and each race’s racecard. When this was written, Ladbrokes had Sentaloa at $2.45 in Race 1, Unibet had Pinamilloy at $3.10 in Race 3, and Bet Right had Bliss Bomb at $3.60 in Race 4. Races 6 to 8 had not been priced.
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