Sandown Racing Tips Sept 5: Can Williams Strike Twice?
Gundagai Racing Tips Sept 6 — Can Tis No Man Finally Win?
Tis No Man has finished in the money four times from his past six starts and still doesn’t have a win to show for it. That’s the kind of record that usually means one of two things: he’s been desperately unlucky, or he keeps running into something just good enough to hold him out. Today’s benchmark 58 at Gundagai looks like the sort of field where the answer gets settled.
These Gundagai racing tips cover all three races on a tight Sunday programme — two maiden events built around lightly raced types plus that benchmark contest, which is the pick of the day for anyone wanting a genuine bet rather than a guess. No bookmaker has markets up for this meeting at the time of writing, so treat every mention of price below as a form-based read rather than a value call against fixed odds. Here’s how we’d play all three races.
Reading the Gundagai card
Course form is thin across today’s fields. Most runners have raced at Gundagai once, if at all, so a course specialists’ table would be one 1-from-1 stat after another — not worth printing. What the numbers do show clearly is who rides well here. Nine of today’s jockeys have five or more rides at the track, which is enough of a sample to mean something, and Q Krogh’s record stands out: he has never missed a place from six rides at Gundagai, and he’s aboard two runners today.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q Krogh | 6 | 1 | 6 | 16.7% | 100% |
| MS R Freeman | 7 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 71.4% |
| A Layt | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| B McDougall | 11 | 1 | 6 | 9.1% | 54.5% |
| Pierre Boudvillain | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22.2% | 44.4% |
| Carly Frater | 10 | 2 | 4 | 20.0% | 40.0% |
| B Vale | 11 | 1 | 4 | 9.1% | 36.4% |
| Brittany Button | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 16.7% |
| Sairyn Fawke | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% |
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On the training front, Michael Travers saddles three runners across the card — Not Guilty in race one, Brooklyn Dash and Cinephile in race three — which is more than anyone else. His broader Gundagai number is one winner from 16 starters, so the volume hasn’t been converting into a strike rate worth following blindly; it’s worth knowing before backing anything of his purely on the trainer’s name. J M Cleary also has three runners spread across the meeting, with a similarly modest record at the track. Anyone chasing Gundagai predictions built on more than a name in the race book will get more mileage from the jockey table above than from the trainer premiership.
Race by race
Race 1: Gary Readford Memorial Mdn Plate — 1:30PM, 1094m
Three of the nine runners here have never started, which makes this an honest guessing game more than a formful maiden. Tallingas Avanti is the one worth noting: she finished third on debut and carries the lightest weight of the nine, in with the other two three-year-olds against a group of older, heavier-weighted rivals. That’s not a loud form line — one run is one data point — but it’s a start that stands up, and the weight relief helps.
Souk and Not Guilty both have better efforts on their card than their recent runs suggest; whatever formed those figures happened more than three months ago, and neither has finished in the placings in their last runs inside that window. Souk gets more credit for experience and can play spoiler at each-way odds, but Tallingas Avanti is the each-way interest for the debut form alone. This is a watch race as much as a bet.
Race 2: Tom Wells Memorial Country Boosted Mdn Hcp — 2:05PM, 1290m
The market problem in a maiden handicap like this is that the handicapper hasn’t had much to work with, so weight becomes one of the more honest signals in the race. Parker’s Paradise carries the lowest weight of the twelve runners, and her recent figures back it up: four runs, four finishes in the top five, one placing, and an average finishing position of fourth. She’s not knocking a maiden over in a hurry, but she’s the runner least likely to miss the frame.
Demanda is the danger. She placed on her only previous run at Gundagai, and her rider today, A Layt, has the strongest current book at the track among today’s jockeys — two wins and three placings from five rides, a genuine 60% strike rate on the board rather than a one-off. If that partnership clicks again, Parker’s Paradise’s each-way money does the job but the win bet goes begging. Q Krogh’s ride on the unraced Bodalla Flash is also worth a mention purely for his perfect Gundagai record, though there’s no formline to hang a case on beyond that. Each-way Parker’s Paradise, with Demanda the swing risk.
Race 3: C E Readford Memorial (Bm58) — 2:40PM, 1969m
This is the best betting race on the card, and Tis No Man is the one we keep coming back to. Four places from his past six runs, an average finishing position of third across that run, and a placing on his only previous try at Gundagai — that’s a horse who keeps knocking on the door. He carries topweight today, shared with three others, which says the handicapper already rates him above this field rather than being a knock against him. Trainer N J Olive places two runners in every five sent to this track, a real number built on five course runners, not a fluke from one or two.
Mayfair Hotel is the danger, and a live one. Her only run at Gundagai produced a placing, she has finished in the top half of the field in half her runs over the past three months, and she gets in well over ten weight points better off than Tis No Man over almost two thousand metres — that’s a lot of weight relief across a genuine staying test. Her trainer, P S Clancy, has won twice from three runners at this track; that’s too small a sample to call it specialist form, but two winners from three is hard to ignore entirely. Add Q Krogh in the saddle, and every piece of the puzzle for Mayfair Hotel points the same way.
First Day is the one who could sneak into the money without beating either of them — his only run at this track produced a placing, and two placings from his last four runs make him a place-only interest, not a winning one. It’s a full field of twelve over almost two kilometres, a genuine test of a horse’s fitness and stamina rather than its early speed, and that plays to a horse who has kept finding the frame across six runs rather than one relying on a single big effort.
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18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Where the money goes
If these Gundagai racing tips boil down to one bet, it’s Tis No Man at 2:40PM. Forget the maiden win he still hasn’t managed — this is a horse the handicapper already rates above this field, and a market that hasn’t caught up to results yet is exactly the kind of gap worth backing into.
Value, on a card with no market posted yet, sits with Tallingas Avanti in the opener. A three-year-old already hitting the frame first-up, carrying the least weight in a field padded out with question marks. Once prices do appear, she looks the type to start bigger than she probably should.
Parker’s Paradise is the banker for multis. Four runs, four finishes inside the top five, and the lightest weight in race two — missing the frame looks the bigger risk, not winning it outright.
Mayfair Hotel is the each-way leg in race three, arriving off the placing from her only previous run at this track and carrying well over ten weight points less than the horse we’re backing to beat her. If Tis No Man has an off day, she’s the one who beats him.
The course angle: Q Krogh hasn’t missed a place from six rides at Gundagai, and he’s on two runners today in Bodalla Flash and Mayfair Hotel. If that record holds up meeting after meeting, he’s the rider worth shadowing here long after today’s card is run.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Gundagai today?
The Gary Readford Memorial Maiden Plate kicks off the meeting at 1:30PM, followed by the Tom Wells Memorial Country Boosted Maiden Handicap at 2:05PM and the C E Readford Memorial (Bm58) at 2:40PM.
Who are the top jockeys at Gundagai today?
Q Krogh leads the way on raw consistency — six rides at the track, six placings, no misses. MS R Freeman isn’t far behind at 71.4% from seven rides, and A Layt has the best strike rate of the group at 40% wins from five rides, aboard Demanda in race two today.
What are the Gundagai best bets today?
Tis No Man in race three is the pick of the card: four places from his past six runs, a placing on his only previous start at Gundagai, and a trainer in N J Olive who places two runners in every five sent to this track. Mayfair Hotel is the each-way danger in the same race.
Where can I find the best Gundagai odds today?
No bookmaker has published markets for this meeting yet at the time of writing. Check back closer to the first jump at 1:30PM and compare final prices before betting — with no market up early, there’s no early value to lock in either way.
Which trainer sends the most runners to Gundagai today?
Michael Travers has three runners on the card — Not Guilty, Brooklyn Dash and Cinephile — the most of any stable today, though his overall record at the track (one winner from 16 starters) suggests numbers alone aren’t the story. J M Cleary also saddles three across the three races.
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