Corowa Racing Tips: Can Triptolemus Keep Rolling?
Wellington Racing Tips Sep 15 — Can Thompson’s Team Fire?
Overview
Brett Thompson isn’t just sending a runner to Wellington today — he’s sending five. Hard Choice, Eclair Coming, Mighty Dancer, Waikiki Lad and Final Coast all carry his colours across the card, and that’s not a coincidence for a trainer who wins a quarter of his starts at this circuit from sixteen runners. When a stable that size lines up that often at one track, it tells you something about where the real form lives today. These Wellington racing tips work through all five races on a turf card that runs from a country-boosted showcase handicap down to a maiden sprint over the sticks, with a rise into BM58 grade closing out the afternoon. There’s a genuine best bet, a couple of live danger runs, and at least one race where honesty is worth more than false confidence. Here’s how it plays out, race by race.
What Wellington gives us today
Course form is thin across most of this field — the majority of today’s runners have raced at Wellington once or twice at most, which isn’t enough to call trends. Where the numbers do mean something is with the men and women in the saddle and the stables behind them, and there’s enough depth there to actually lean on.
Zac Wadick’s book at the track stands out immediately: four placings from five rides is an 80% place strike rate, comfortably the best of anyone with a genuine sample size today. Kody Nestor and Zoe Hunt aren’t far behind, and J Pracey-Holmes and Jacob Stiff have both built solid numbers from heavy ride counts (13 apiece) even without matching win strike rates.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Wadick | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0% | 80.0% |
| K Dunbar | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16.67% | 50.0% |
| Kody Nestor | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 42.86% |
| Zoe Hunt | 5 | 2 | 2 | 40.0% | 40.0% |
| J Pracey-Holmes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 23.08% | 38.46% |
| Jacob Stiff | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7.69% | 38.46% |
| Jordan Quince | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 37.5% |
| Pierre Boudvillain | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 37.5% |
On the training side, Brett Thompson’s numbers carry the most weight simply because of volume — sixteen runners at Wellington is a genuine sample, and a 25% win rate with more than a third of his runners placing backs up the five-strong team he’s sending today. MS M Harrison, M D Griffith and Barry Wall all show stronger place rates from smaller samples, worth noting rather than leaning on heavily. Connie Greig is the trainer to watch from the other direction — she has six runners engaged today but only one placing from ten runs at this track across her career, a stable that turns up in numbers without turning up results here.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MS M Harrison | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33.33% | 100.0% |
| M D Griffith | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| Barry Wall | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 66.67% |
| M C Lynch | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20.0% | 60.0% |
| C Lundholm | 6 | 2 | 3 | 33.33% | 50.0% |
| Brett Thompson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 25.0% | 37.5% |
| Brett Robb | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28.57% | 28.57% |
| Connie Greig | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 10.0% |
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Race by race
Race 1: Mba Wealth Solutions Gold Circle Country Boosted Showcase Hcp (C1) — 1:10pm, 1203m
Hard Choice and Fearn Trick make an interesting contrast in a twelve-horse field. Hard Choice’s card reads 0-1-7: a well-beaten run, then a breakthrough win at this exact track, then a flat effort last start that’s the only thing keeping the price honest. Fearn Trick broke through two runs back off a similar formline before fading to consecutive seventh placings, and Zac Wadick jumps aboard — the same rider with an 80% place strike rate from five Wellington rides.
The trainer angle tips it toward Hard Choice. Brett Thompson’s 25% win rate and 37.5% place rate from sixteen runners at this circuit is real course form, and the horse has already proven it handles the track with authority. A stale run last time is a reason for caution, not a reason to walk away, especially second-up for a stable that targets Wellington this hard. Fearn Trick is the genuine each-way danger given the rider’s numbers, even though his own formline has softened. Each-way on Hard Choice, with Fearn Trick as the roughie to save the bet.
Race 2: Redfern Heavy Diesel Mdn Plate — 1:45pm, 1750m
Can Forwarding finally turn placings into a maiden win? He’s been agonisingly close, placing in three of his last four runs and finishing runner-up last start, and a step out to 1750m suits a horse whose finishes keep tightening rather than fading.
Denise’s Gal is the one standing in his way with genuine claims of her own — three placings from her past five runs, including a narrow defeat last time out. Neither has broken through yet, which is exactly the point with maiden form like this: one of them is about to. Baulkham Hills has drawn wider attention through the market in the past but her recent figures (two runs, no placings) don’t back it up here. Forwarding to finally get the job done, with Denise’s Gal the each-way cover.
Race 3: Wellington Soldiers Memorial Club Mdn Hcp — 2:25pm, 984m
Seventeen runners over a sharp 984m sprint, and this is a genuinely hard race to have a strong view on — most of this field are first starters or lightly raced types with barely a formline between them. Aerialize stands out only because she’s actually shown something: placed in both runs this campaign, with a formline that reads 7-4-3, tightening each time out. That’s not proof of much on its own, but it’s more than most of this field can offer. If forced into a bet, Aerialize each-way on the strength of that trend — this is a watch race first and a betting race a distant second.
Race 4: Peter Milling And Company Country Boosted Mdn Plate — 3:05pm, 1203m
Recognition has been building to this. Her card reads 9-6-3-4-2 across the campaign — a modest start, then a run of finishes tightening toward the front, capped by a narrow defeat last time out. That’s the profile of a maiden about to find one more length when it matters.
Devil’s Reach is the danger for a different reason: fresh off a break, he could only manage eighth first-up, but he’s trained by M C Lynch, whose 20% win rate and 60% place rate from five runners make him one of the more reliable stables at this track, and second-up figures suit a horse building fitness. Recognition’s own connections don’t carry the same course weight, so this is more a form-and-trajectory case than a stable-power one. Win bet on Recognition, with Devil’s Reach the each-way risk if he sharpens up second-up.
Race 5: J.R Richards & Sons (Bm58) — 3:40pm, 1750m
Brett Robb doesn’t rise a horse in grade without a plan, and Proper Twelve’s placement into this BM58 says plenty. He steps up off the back of a career-best effort — a narrow win last start, following a 6th, 5th and 2nd this campaign — and the trend is only tightening. Yes, he carries topweight at 136.6kg, but that’s what happens when a horse finally puts a form line together, and Brett Robb’s own numbers at this track (28.57% win, 28.57% place from seven runners) support giving him the run.
Snow Dog is the each-way conundrum of the race — seven runs in the past three months have produced no wins but five placings, a 71.43% place rate that’s hard to ignore, yet his only run at Wellington itself was a well-beaten effort. That tension between broad consistency and one poor showing at this specific track is worth respecting both ways: fine for the place market, harder to trust for the win. Bill Peyto rounds out the placegetters with a 50% place rate from ten runs in the past three months, though his own last-start effort (seventh) and lightweight 114.6kg allocation suggest he’s there to make up the numbers rather than win it. Proper Twelve to win, Snow Dog each-way only, and treat this as the best betting race on the card.
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Where the money goes
The NAP is Proper Twelve in race 5 (3:40pm) — a horse building toward this the hard way, with a last-start win backing up the step into BM58 company and a trainer who knows how to time a runner at this track. The value play is Recognition in race 4; her market profile doesn’t carry the connections weight of some rivals, but the formline itself — tightening every single start — says the price should be more generous than her public support suggests. No market had formed at the time of writing, so treat this as a form-based case rather than a price-based one until you can check current odds yourself.
For the banker, Denise’s Gal in race 2 is the safest inclusion for a multi — three placings from five runs and a narrow defeat last start make her hard to leave out of the frame even if she’s yet to win. The each-way pick of the day is Snow Dog in race 5: a 71.43% place rate from seven runs in the past three months is a genuine record, even with the one flat Wellington run sitting against him. The course angle worth carrying forward is Brett Thompson — sixteen runners, four wins, six places at this track, and five more runners engaged today. If he keeps sending them here at that rate, he’ll be the Wellington angle to watch every time this circuit races.
Best bookmakers for today’s racing
Odds hadn’t been posted for Wellington’s card at the time of writing, so compare markets once they open rather than relying on any figure quoted above. These are the bookmakers worth checking first for today’s card.
Ladbrokes Review [Updated March 2026] | Ladbrokes.com.au Pros & Cons
- Info Hub
- Mates Mode
FAQ
What time does racing start at Wellington today?
The first race, the Mba Wealth Solutions Gold Circle Country Boosted Showcase Handicap, jumps at 1:10pm, with five races taking the card through to the BM58 finale at 3:40pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Wellington today?
Brett Thompson leads the trainers with sixteen runners at the track for four wins and six places, a 25% win rate, and he has five runners engaged today. Zac Wadick has the strongest jockey numbers on the card — four placings from five rides for an 80% place rate.
What are the best bets at Wellington today?
Proper Twelve is the pick of the card in race 5 off a narrow last-start win and a rising trainer strike rate at the track, with Recognition in race 4 the value case and Denise’s Gal in race 2 the safest each-way inclusion.
Where can I find the best odds for Wellington races?
Markets hadn’t opened for this meeting at the time of writing. Check the bookmaker comparison above once odds are posted, and shop around before placing anything close to race time.
Responsible gambling
Odds and form can change quickly — always gamble responsibly and within your means. If gambling is affecting you or someone close to you, free and confidential support is available through Gambling Help on 1800 858 858, or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au for support services, self-exclusion options and counselling.
Must be 18+ to gamble. Odds and promotions are subject to change and terms and conditions apply with all bookmakers.
Affiliate Disclosure: RacingBase may earn a commission from bookmaker links on this page. This does not influence our tips or analysis, and all form-based selections are made independently of any commercial arrangement.
