Overview
Ratenotice has been to Ipswich four times and come home in the first three every time, winning three of them. On Saturday it drops in at 54kg in the Queensland Solar Solutions Hcp, and nothing else on this card has a track record that reads anything like it.
It has also been earning serious money away from here, with two wins from three runs over the past 90 days and $82,000 banked in that stretch. The last of those three was a run to forget, which is the only reason it might not start a short price. Jaden Lloyd rides, and he has placed on half of his 32 rides at the track.
These Ipswich racing tips cover all seven races on a Good to Soft surface, starting with an 800m maiden at 12:34PM and finishing with the 1666m handicap at 4:13PM. Fields are big in the back half, with 13 or more going around in two of the last three. You get a pick in every race, the course numbers that actually mean something, and the plays we would make. Bookmaker markets were not open when this was written, so no prices are quoted.
Ipswich: the setup
A Saturday at Ipswich brings out the Brisbane and Darling Downs stables, and the course form across the card is deeper than usual. Nine of today’s runners have been here three or more times, and Ratenotice stands well clear of the rest.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ratenotice | 4 | 3 | 4 | 75.0 | 100.0 |
| Maple Door | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0.0 | 75.0 |
| Pass The Peak | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33.3 | 66.7 |
| Venom Rush | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20.0 | 60.0 |
| Custo | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 | 33.3 |
| Clubhouse | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 28.6 |
| Bertus | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| Crypto Magic | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
B Lerena is the volume rider here, with 16 wins from 112 rides, but on strike rate Jasper Franklin is the one to follow. He has won five of his 19 Ipswich rides and placed on more than half of them.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Franklin | 19 | 5 | 10 | 26.3 | 52.6 |
| Jaden Lloyd | 32 | 5 | 16 | 15.6 | 50.0 |
| B Lerena | 112 | 16 | 46 | 14.3 | 41.1 |
| Yvette Lewis | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30.0 | 40.0 |
| D L Turner | 28 | 2 | 10 | 7.1 | 35.7 |
| K H Zechner | 32 | 1 | 11 | 3.1 | 34.4 |
| MS G Cartwright | 87 | 10 | 29 | 11.5 | 33.3 |
T J Gollan is the big name among the trainers, with 27 winners from 125 runners at Ipswich and 70 of them in the first three. G A Thornton wins with four of every ten he brings here, and Richard Laming has placed five of his six.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Laming | 6 | 2 | 5 | 33.3 | 83.3 |
| B J Dais | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20.0 | 80.0 |
| G A Thornton | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40.0 | 60.0 |
| Paul Butterworth | 14 | 2 | 8 | 14.3 | 57.1 |
| T J Gollan | 125 | 27 | 70 | 21.6 | 56.0 |
| Jimmy Downes | 20 | 6 | 10 | 30.0 | 50.0 |
| K R Kemp | 39 | 8 | 15 | 20.5 | 38.5 |
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Ipswich racing tips: race by race
Race 1: Fertpro Mdn Hcp, 12:34PM, 800m
Magic Invader has done everything but win. Four runs over the past 90 days have produced three placings, and both visits to Ipswich ended in the first three. The form line reads 6-2-2-3-6, so the last run was a step back, but the profile of a maiden that keeps hitting the frame is exactly what you want in a dash over 800m where luck is in short supply.
The 60kg is the query, as it carries the top weight. R Wiggins rides for Kristie Clark-Peoples from barrier five, which should let him hold a spot just off the speed.
Concerned is the danger. It has had only one run in the past 90 days, for a placing, and the form line finishes with a third. G Geran knows the place, with two wins from nine rides here. Magic Invader each-way, with Concerned in the exacta.
Race 2: Tab (Bm65), 1:09PM, 1100m
Two of these come here off a win: Coastal Boom and Cause She Can. Which one carries it on?
Coastal Boom gets the vote. It won last start, has a win and a placing from two runs in the past 90 days, and picks up Jasper Franklin, who has the best strike rate of any rider at the meeting. Barrier two at 58.5kg is a good draw for a horse that can hold a forward spot over 1100m.
Cause She Can has won two of its last five, and the 57.5kg is fair, but Stacey Callow is still looking for a first Ipswich winner after 26 rides here. Ever So Ready brings three placings from four recent runs and should be thereabouts. Coastal Boom to win, saver on Cause She Can.
Race 3: Crowne Real Estate Geoff Paulsen Mdn Plate, 1:44PM, 1100m
A maiden plate without a standout, so keep the stakes light. Goulburn has had two starts, missed the placings first time and then ran second, and that kind of jump from first to second up is usually a sign the stable has something it likes. K H Zechner rides for G R Ryan.
The T J Gollan pair deserve respect simply because of who trains them. Texas has placed twice from three runs over the past 90 days and was fourth last time, with MS G Cartwright aboard. Aristocratic Girl has been placed in both of its Ipswich starts and draws the inside gate.
Small win bet on Goulburn, but this is a race to watch more than one to bet heavily on.
Race 4: Queensland Solar Solutions Hcp, 2:19PM, 1350m
The Fouchard stable has its best chance of the day here. Ratenotice is three from four at Ipswich and placed in the other, it won twice in a row before its latest run, and it gets in with 54kg. That is a light weight for a horse that has earned $82,000 in the past 90 days.
The last run is the only blot. It finished down the track, and some punters will mark it down for that. Read the whole line, though: two wins from three runs in that period, at a class level that should make this handicap look easy enough. Jaden Lloyd has been in the first three on half his Ipswich rides, and he has the outside gate, ten, from which he can choose his spot.
Koruto is the main danger. Its form line ends 1-2, it has won one and placed in both of its recent runs, and it carries 55.5kg for Jake Molloy. Little Beginnings has the class to figure but has to concede five kilos to the top pick.
Ratenotice to win, and it is the bet of the day at Ipswich.
Race 5: Andersons Ipswich Hcp (58), 2:54PM, 1350m
Thirteen go around here, and the barrier draw is going to sort a lot of them out. Bent Bridge has drawn 16, which is a problem. But the form is too good to ignore: six placings from eight runs over the past 90 days, including a win last start, and it has placed in both its Ipswich runs, winning one.
Jaden Lloyd again, and he will need to get it across early or settle back and take his chance. Either way the horse has been running well enough to cope with a less than perfect run.
Cautionary Tail is the one most likely to beat it. It also won last time, has three placings from five recent runs, and comes from barrier ten with Benjamin Osmond. Raising Suspicion won its latest start too but has drawn even wider in 17. Bent Bridge each-way, and include Cautionary Tail in the exotics.
Race 6: Great Northern (Bm65), 3:34PM, 1100m
The market will probably settle on Certified Copy, and that is fair enough. It won last start, has placed in three of four runs over the past 90 days, and comes from the Richard Laming stable that has placed five of its six Ipswich runners. Tom Orr takes the ride at 60.5kg from barrier seven.
The value in a 16 horse sprint is further down the list. Toobloos has improved run on run, with a form line of 5-3-2-2-1, and drops to 56kg for G A Thornton, who wins with four of every ten runners he brings here. Adin Thompson rides from barrier four. It hasn’t raced in the past 90 days, so it comes into this fresh, but the trainer’s numbers say he doesn’t bring them here for a look.
Venom Rush has the most course experience of the field, a win and three placings from five runs here. Certified Copy to win, with a small each-way bet on Toobloos.
Race 7: Fabrications Services Group Hcp (58), 4:13PM, 1666m
Azuki goes into the last as the horse in form. It has won two and placed in three of its four runs over the past 90 days, and its only Ipswich start produced a win. Trainer J Dann has won two of his three Ipswich races, and Jake Molloy rides at 60kg from barrier four.
Bate is the one to worry about. It has also won here on its only visit, ran second last start, and has a win and two placings from four recent runs. Adin Thompson rides from the second barrier. Pass The Peak is the course horse of the race, with a win and two placings from three runs here, and B Lerena takes the ride for Emma Fouchard.
Azuki to win, Bate the saver, and Pass The Peak for the place.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Ratenotice (Race 4, 2:19PM). Four visits to Ipswich, four times in the first three, three of them wins. Throw out the last run and it gets in light against horses it should have the measure of.
Value: Toobloos (Race 6, 3:34PM). A form line of 5-3-2-2-1 that ends in a win, and a trainer who wins with four in ten here. Fresh but well placed.
Banker: Magic Invader (Race 1, 12:34PM). Three placings from four recent runs and placed in both Ipswich starts. A maiden that hits the frame is the right type for multis.
Each-way: Bent Bridge (Race 5, 2:54PM). Six placings from eight recent runs. The wide gate makes the win harder, the place still looks likely.
Course angle: Jaden Lloyd. He rides Ratenotice and Bent Bridge, and his Ipswich record of 16 placings from 32 rides makes him the jockey to have on side in multis today.
If Fouchard keeps placing Ratenotice where it can win at Ipswich, the track will keep paying out on it.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Ipswich today?
Race 1, the Fertpro Mdn Hcp over 800m, jumps at 12:34PM local time. The last race, the Fabrications Services Group Hcp (58) over 1666m, is at 4:13PM.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Ipswich?
B Lerena has the most Ipswich wins among today’s riders, 16 from 112 rides, while Jasper Franklin has the best strike rate with five wins from 19. T J Gollan leads the trainers with 27 winners from 125 runners, and G A Thornton has won with four of his ten.
What are the best bets at Ipswich today?
Ratenotice in Race 4 is the NAP, with three wins and a placing from four runs at the track. Magic Invader in Race 1 is the banker, Toobloos in Race 6 is the value play and Bent Bridge in Race 5 is the each-way bet.
Where can I find the best odds for Ipswich races?
Markets were not open when these Ipswich predictions were written. Use the bookmaker table above and each race’s racecard on Racingbase to compare Ipswich odds once betting opens.