Moonee Valley Preview & Best Bets – Saturday July 30

Moonee Valley

 

Our form expert provides Moonee Valley tips for today’s horse racing at Moonee Valley Racecourse and gives his best bets.

 

Moonee Valley Tips 30/07/2022

BEST BET 🏆

Race 2 No. 1 ALPHA ONE – ($3.30)

Interesting race here with the two-year-olds in action, including Keysborough, who is out of Black Caviar’s first daughter, Oscietra. Monitor betting for that horse but keen to have something on the Peter & Paul Snowden-trained ALPHA ONE. He comes down from NSW after winning his past two starts in fairly dominant fashion. Last time out he led them all the way when winning at Hawkesbury in a BenchMark 64, going a healthy 4.1 faster than standard, despite racing greenly. Those wins have come on Soft ground and while he goes anti-clockwise for the first time, we must respect anything that the stable sends down.  

 

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 1 No. 1 D’AGUILAR – ($3.40)

Racing is back at The Valley and D’AGUILAR can get us off to a winning start. The Patrick Payne-trained galloper has performed well since rising to the 2000m, collaring Hezashocka late at Caulfield two starts ago before running 4th behind that galloper at Flemington on July 16. The son of High Chaparral has gone more than nine lengths faster than standard benchmark in those two runs and I think the race sets up nicely for him in the small field as he is likely to stalk Not Usual Glorious. He has had one start at Moonee Valley for a win and will be ridden by Billy Egan. 

Best Value 💰 (EACH-WAY)

Race 4 No. 16 PERMUTATION- ($6)

Hoping that the second emergency, PERMUTATION, can sneak into the field here. The Paul Preusker-trained galloper has had three starts and showed a bit at Flemington on July 16 when running on for 3rd behind Thlassophile over the 1700m. In that race, the son of Fighting Sun settled back in the field of 13 and was held up as they rounded before producing the second best late splits behind his stablemate, Freedom Escape, who was runner-up that day. That horse is not without a chance either but banking on this guy having a bit of upside out to the 2000m and if the gaps open up from barrier 1 he can fight out the finish with Craig Williams to ride. 


MOONEE VALLEY QUADDIE TIPS:

Track rating: Soft 6

Race 6 – 3:50PM MIA KLEER HAND SANITISER HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
American Angel ($5.50), Zoulah ($8), Thalassophile ($6.50), Rusutsu ($11)

Race 7 – 4:30PM LADBROKES HANDICAP (1600 METRES)
Jimmy The Bear ($4.40), Bigolino ($11), El Cordobes ($7.50), Set To Prophet ($5.60)

Race 8 – 5:05PM RANVET TRAVIS HARRISON CUP (1600 METRES)
Smokin’ Romans ($19), Tavidance ($5), Chief Altony (2.75)

Race 9 – 5:40PM DOMINANT.COM.AU HANDICAP (1200 METRES)
Whipcracker Way ($7), Condo’s Express ($14), Invincible Jet ($10)

Race 6 – 2, 3, 11, 13
Race 7 – 3, 4, 6, 10
Race 8 – 5, 12, 14
Race 9 – 2, 4, 6

Cost = $144 for 100%