Overview
Just Precious has won all three of its starts in the last 90 days, banking $146,400 along the way, and it drops into the Austbrokers Comsure Hcp at Eagle Farm with only 52kg. That combination of form and weight is the strongest thing on a ten-race Saturday card, and it is the horse the rest of this preview is built around.
The track is rated Good to Soft. Racing runs from 11:32AM to 5:20PM (Brisbane time), with sprints at both ends and two 1815m races early. These Eagle Farm racing tips go race by race, lean on the stables and riders who actually win here, and finish with a quaddie through Races 7 to 10. Only Races 1 and 2 had bookmaker prices up when this was written, so odds appear in those two races only.
Reading the Eagle Farm card
Plenty of today’s runners have been around Eagle Farm before, and a few of them have proved they like it. Jenni Moreese has won three of its six starts here, and Hot Majesty has finished in the first three on four of five visits without winning one.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot Majesty | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0.0 | 80.0 |
| Gospel Girl | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25.0 | 75.0 |
| Jenni Moreese | 6 | 3 | 4 | 50.0 | 66.7 |
| Lupine | 3 | 2 | 2 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Silken Salute | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Esjay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25.0 | 50.0 |
| Noble Conqueror | 5 | 2 | 2 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| Millane | 7 | 1 | 2 | 14.3 | 28.6 |
Among the riders, Kyle Wilson-Taylor and Ryan Maloney both hit the frame on close to half their Eagle Farm rides, and Maloney has the bigger sample with 15 wins from 112. D Moor has ridden more winners here than anyone on the card, 18 from 149.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Wilson-Taylor | 40 | 4 | 19 | 10.0 | 47.5 |
| Ryan Maloney | 112 | 15 | 51 | 13.4 | 45.5 |
| Tahlia Fenlon | 45 | 6 | 20 | 13.3 | 44.4 |
| Taylor Marshall | 81 | 8 | 33 | 9.9 | 40.7 |
| Martin Harley | 42 | 6 | 17 | 14.3 | 40.5 |
| Jace Mcmurray | 114 | 13 | 45 | 11.4 | 39.5 |
| Angela Jones | 89 | 10 | 34 | 11.2 | 38.2 |
| D Moor | 149 | 18 | 47 | 12.1 | 31.5 |
T J Gollan is the trainer who owns this track. He has had 355 runners at Eagle Farm for 55 winners, and he saddles ten horses today. Todd Pollard runs at a far smaller volume but wins with better than one in four of his runners here.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C Maher | 62 | 8 | 31 | 12.9 | 50.0 |
| Jack Bruce | 70 | 11 | 34 | 15.7 | 48.6 |
| T J Gollan | 355 | 55 | 165 | 15.5 | 46.5 |
| Todd Pollard | 26 | 7 | 12 | 26.9 | 46.2 |
| R G Lipp | 24 | 4 | 11 | 16.7 | 45.8 |
| Michael Freedman | 77 | 13 | 32 | 16.9 | 41.6 |
| Pat W Webster | 34 | 7 | 14 | 20.6 | 41.2 |
| C J Waller | 152 | 20 | 60 | 13.2 | 39.5 |
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Eagle Farm race by race
Race 1: Sky Racing “The Bruce” (Bm70), 11:32AM, 1200m
Vintage Vibes is the one to beat, and the market agrees. It has won two of its three starts in the last 90 days and placed in the other, picking up $61,700, and the form line reads 140311 with the last two runs both wins. Chelsea Baker rides at 57.5kg for Jay Bellamy.
The price tells you the problem: $2.00 with Bet Right leaves nothing on the table. Sort Cha Mess is the danger at $4.40 with Unibet. It also has two wins from three runs in the last 90 days, and a last-start win in a 232151 line, so this is closer than the gap in the betting suggests. Petite Palace at $6.00 with Bet Right won two starts back for Olivia Kendal.
Win bet on Vintage Vibes, or use it as a multi leg rather than a standalone single at the price.
Race 2: Kiwa Construction Sciences Plate (C3), 12:07PM, 1815m
Rochedale Hero has finished in the first three on every run in the last 90 days, four from four with a win among them, and it has placed at both of its Eagle Farm starts. That is the profile you want over a staying trip in a Class 3. Taylor Marshall rides for Jack Bruce, and that pairing has won three and placed in nine of its twelve Eagle Farm runs together.
At $4.40 with Unibet it shares favouritism with Hard Evidence, a C J Waller runner with only one run in the last 90 days. Waller has three in the race, with Cantarito and Peccavi both at $5.50, and Peccavi won one of its two Eagle Farm starts. Hot Majesty is the one I’d fear most for the minor money. Four placings from five runs at the track, no wins, $5.50 with Unibet, and T J Gollan‘s stable behind it.
Win bet on Rochedale Hero, with Hot Majesty each-way as the second play.
Race 3: Pearson Automotive Hcp (65), 12:42PM, 1500m
Does Yes Donald Yes keep running into the minor placings, or does Kobability simply keep winning? Kobability has two wins from four runs in the last 90 days and $42,000 in prizemoney, and its form has gone 7-3-1-1 at its latest four. It only had one look at Eagle Farm and missed the frame, so the track is the question rather than the ability.
Yes Donald Yes has placed in all five of its runs in the last 90 days, one of them a win, and Taylor Marshall rides again for Jack Bruce. Consistent, but it hasn’t been winning often enough. Waller saddles Kokatahi, Rock Them Jools and Maquisa, and Kokatahi placed in both of its recent runs. Several scratchings have thinned the field.
No prices were up. Kobability to win, Yes Donald Yes the safer each-way.
Race 4: Elgin Valley Farms Qlder Hcp, 1:22PM, 1815m
C J Waller has four runners in this, and none of them is my pick. Cunnamulla Fella has placed in four of five runs in the last 90 days, won one of them, and earned $91,000, the most in the field over that window. It drops to 52kg for R L Heathcote with Jett Newman aboard, and it has placed in two of its three Eagle Farm starts, one of them a win.
Jenni Moreese is the course horse. Three wins from six starts at Eagle Farm make it the closest thing to a track specialist on the card, but its two runs in the last 90 days didn’t produce a place. If it bounces back to its track form at 54kg, it wins. Among the Waller team, Liberty Park has a win and a second placing from three runs in the last 90 days, and Noble Conqueror has two Eagle Farm wins from five starts.
Each-way on Cunnamulla Fella. Small saver on Jenni Moreese.
Race 5: GJ Gardner Homes (Bm78), 2:02PM, 1300m
Scratchings have cut this to eight, and it shapes as a race for the stable with the best Eagle Farm strike rate. Biancelli has placed in two of its three starts here, winning one, and it carries form of 3-1-4 into a field with plenty of question marks. Todd Pollard wins with 7 of his 26 Eagle Farm runners, and Ryan Maloney rides.
Superalloy has the bigger bank in the last 90 days, $61,600 from five runs with a win, but it has placed only once from four Eagle Farm starts. He’s Tru Blue placed in both of its recent runs for T J Gollan and D Moor, and it is the clearest danger. Mercian placed in three of five Eagle Farm starts but went winless in the last 90 days.
Win bet on Biancelli.
Race 6: Austbrokers Comsure Hcp, 2:42PM, 1400m
Three runs, three wins. Just Precious has won its last three starts, all of them inside the last 90 days, and banked $146,400 in that time. None of its rivals with runs recorded over the same window has won one. Now it meets them with 52kg, the bottom weight, while Sea King carries 60.5kg.
The Eagle Farm record is one win from three, which is a data point rather than a pattern, but the form doesn’t need help from the track stats. Cejay Graham rides for Stuart and Bayley Kendrick. The pair have only teamed up twice before, at Doomben, for a win and a second. The Kendricks also run Viking Invasion and Pocket Full, so they are mob-handed here.
Esjay is the danger. Two placings from four Eagle Farm starts, one of them a win, and Pat W Webster wins with one in five of his runners here. Space Tracker has placed in two of five Eagle Farm runs and in two of its three recent starts for Todd Pollard.
This is the bet of the day at Eagle Farm. Win bet on Just Precious, and use it as the anchor in multis.
Race 7: Stand With Jai (Bm78), 3:22PM, 1000m
Oohlalouvre and Thundering Soul arrive from opposite directions. Oohlalouvre has the volume, three wins and a second from four runs in the last 90 days for $51,600. Thundering Soul has the clean sheet, two wins from two recent starts, and its form ends 1-1-1.
I side with Oohlalouvre because it has done it more often against this kind of company, and because Taylor Marshall and Jack Bruce are again the combination. It placed at its only Eagle Farm start. The 1000m suits a horse that has been winning sprints.
Thundering Soul, with Fiona Sandkuhl riding for Pat W Webster, is the one that can beat it. King Of Pop gets barrier 1 but carries 60.5kg. Shako is also engaged at the Gold Coast later in the day.
Win bet on Oohlalouvre, with an exacta saver reversing the top two.
Race 8: Chris Ward Classic (Bm78), 4:02PM, 1600m
Twisted Queen has done nothing wrong. Placed in all four runs in the last 90 days, winning one, with $75,400 earned, and a win at its only Eagle Farm start worth $48,800. The form reads 353221, so it has finished second or better at three of its last four. Emily Lang rides at 56kg for Jack Bruce.
The Dramatist is the threat. Two wins from three in the last 90 days, a 358611 line ending in back-to-back wins, and one win from two Eagle Farm starts. Lupine has won two of three here, but it hasn’t won in four runs over the last 90 days and needs to find that track form again. The Louvre for MS L Baskett has a win and two placings from three recent runs.
Twisted Queen to win. The Dramatist the exacta partner.
Race 9: Rte Custom Trucks (Bm85), 4:42PM, 1200m
The market problem here is that T J Gollan has three runners and two of them look better than the third. Gospel Girl is my pick: three placings from four runs in the last 90 days, two of them wins, for $80,600, and three placings from four Eagle Farm starts, one of them a win. Jett Newman rides at 55kg. Millane, the stablemate, carries 60kg for D Moor and has won once from seven starts here.
Berezka is the danger. It has won two of three runs in the last 90 days, collecting $60,700, and placed twice from three Eagle Farm visits for C Maher, whose runners here place half the time. Mishani Crown placed in three of four recent runs and gets in light at 52.5kg.
Win bet on Gospel Girl.
Race 10: Higgins Coatings Hcp, 5:20PM, 1200m
Night Market draws barrier 1 and comes in on a 56311 line. That is two wins and a third from three runs in the last 90 days, and Angela Jones rides for T J Gollan at 54kg. The rail draw should let it sit handy and kick.
Silken Salute is the course horse, two wins from four Eagle Farm starts, but it has no runs in the last 90 days and carries 60kg first up. Moonlit Aura won at its only Eagle Farm start and has a win and a second from two recent runs at 52.5kg. Both can win. It is a messy finale, so keep stakes sensible.
Win bet on Night Market, small saver on Moonlit Aura.
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Where the money goes
NAP: Just Precious (Race 6, 2:42PM). Unbeaten in three runs over the last 90 days and on the minimum weight against horses that haven’t won in that time. The weight swing alone makes it the right price, whatever that turns out to be.
Value: Rochedale Hero (Race 2, 12:07PM), $4.40 with Unibet. Placed in every run over the last 90 days and in both Eagle Farm starts, yet it is only joint favourite.
Banker: Vintage Vibes (Race 1, 11:32AM), $2.00 with Bet Right. Two recent wins from three and the shortest price on the card for a reason.
Each-way: Hot Majesty (Race 2, 12:07PM), $5.50 with Unibet. Four placings from five Eagle Farm starts make it the best place profile at the meeting.
Course angle: Taylor Marshall on Jack Bruce runners. They have won three and placed in nine of twelve Eagle Farm runs together, and today they team up on Rochedale Hero, Yes Donald Yes, Highgrove Rose, Oohlalouvre and Street Chase.
Quaddie (Races 7 to 10): Oohlalouvre and Thundering Soul, then Twisted Queen and The Dramatist, Gospel Girl and Berezka, and Night Market, Silken Salute and Moonlit Aura in the last.
If Just Precious makes it four in a row with this weight, the Kendricks will have to start thinking about Saturday class races instead of handicaps.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Eagle Farm today?
Race 1, the Sky Racing “The Bruce” (Bm70) over 1200m, jumps at 11:32AM Brisbane time. The last, the Higgins Coatings Hcp, goes at 5:20PM. The track is rated Good to Soft.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Eagle Farm?
T J Gollan has trained 55 Eagle Farm winners from 355 runners and has ten runners today. Todd Pollard wins with 7 of his 26 runners here. Ryan Maloney has 15 wins from 112 rides at the track and places on close to half of them, and D Moor has the most wins on the card with 18.
What are the best bets at Eagle Farm today?
Just Precious in Race 6 is the NAP after three straight wins, and it carries just 52kg. Vintage Vibes in Race 1 is the banker at $2.00 with Bet Right, and Rochedale Hero in Race 2 is the value pick at $4.40 with Unibet.
Where can I find the best odds for Eagle Farm races?
When this was written only Races 1 and 2 were priced, with Bet Right and Unibet sharing the best odds. Check the bookmakers listed above for Races 3 to 10 as the markets open.