Mornington Racing Tips: Can Blondie's Award Make It 3?
Morphettville Racing Tips Sept 5 — Two From One Stable?
Phillip and Tommy Stokes have thrown two runners into the Winning Edge Presentations Mdn Plate that opens today’s Morphettville card, and neither Cosmic Shower nor Polar Eyes looks like the each-way roughie you’d expect from a stable playing a numbers game — both arrive off genuine placegetting form. That’s the puzzle at the heart of today’s Morphettville racing tips: a two-race card, but two form lines worth working through properly. It’s turf both ways, a maiden to open and a Benchmark 74 to follow, and a standout in the second event carrying more convincing recent form than anything else on offer. Read on for the pick in each race, the numbers behind them, and where the value sits.
Reading the Morphettville card
The track rating hadn’t been confirmed at the time of writing, but the runners with genuine history at the track tell their own story. Eight of the fourteen horses across both races carry three or more runs at Morphettville, and the placegetting pattern among them is stronger than the win strike rate — only three of the eight have managed to salute here, but six have found minor money more often than not.
| Horse | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light The Night | 3 | 2 | 2 | 66.67% | 66.67% |
| Polar Eyes | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.00% | 66.67% |
| Mintulee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.00% | 60.00% |
| Bristler | 8 | 1 | 3 | 12.50% | 37.50% |
| Extremely Rowdy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.33% | 33.33% |
| Deepfloat Diva | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0.00% | 33.33% |
| Vexatious Dancer | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 16.67% |
| Grand Millesime | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% |
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The jockeys’ room tells a similar story. N Callow’s book is small at this track (23 rides) but he’s hitting the frame at a rate that outdoes everyone else riding today, while Harry Grace’s much larger sample of 98 rides backs up nearly identical placegetting numbers. On the training side, Phillip and Tommy Stokes have found the placings with 16 of their 27 Morphettville runners, a number worth remembering with two runners in today’s opener, while A J Gluyas’s 110-run history at the track, good for 43 places, makes his Race 2 runner more than just a form pick on paper.
How the two races shape up
Race 1: Winning Edge Presentations Mdn Plate — 12:22, 1367m
Phillip and Tommy Stokes doesn’t often load two runners into the same maiden without a genuine chance for both, and that’s the position he’s in with Cosmic Shower and Polar Eyes. Polar Eyes gets the vote: her last six runs read 5-7-2-2-4-2, a horse that keeps finding the placings without quite going one better, and she’s already banked minor money in two of her three visits to this track. Add Harry Grace, who hits the frame on close to half his Morphettville rides, and the profile fits a maiden about to break through. Cosmic Shower is the obvious danger and arguably owns the stronger recent figures across her last five runs, ridden by N Callow, who has the best placegetting rate of anyone on today’s jockey list. If the speed goes hard enough for one of the fresheners to sit off it, either Stokes runner can win; Polar Eyes just holds the slight edge on the placings ledger. Each-way only, given the field size and the open nature of a maiden with no proven winner in the placegetting group.
Race 2: Thomas Farms (Bm74) — 12:57, 1094m
Light The Night looks like the clearest form horse on the entire card. Her only run back from a break has been a winning one, and that form line follows a prep where she won twice and never finished worse than fourth across five starts. At Morphettville itself she’s raced three times for two wins and a placing, and jockey J Holder — with 162 rides and 62 placings at this track — links up again with trainer A J Gluyas, whose 110 runners here have produced 43 places. That’s about as much support as a form read can get for a horse dropping into a Benchmark 74.
Mintulee owns the deeper course résumé — five runs at Morphettville have produced two wins and three placings, genuine numbers by any measure — but she hasn’t shown up in the results over the past three months, and it’s fair to wonder how sharp she comes back. Super Lad and Deepfloat Diva both have claims without forcing a change of view; Deepfloat Diva’s finishing figures have crept forward across her past three runs, which is the shape of a horse building to a win of her own, just perhaps not today. Back Light The Night to win.
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Where the money goes
That’s the shape of today’s Morphettville racing tips: one proven winner, one placegetter each-way. The best bet on the card is Light The Night in the 12:57 — not because she’s flashy, but because she’s the only horse racing today with a genuine winning form line, a track record to match, and a jockey-trainer pairing built on real volume rather than a lucky day. That’s the profile of a bet made with confidence, not hope.
The value angle sits back in the opener. Polar Eyes is yet to win, so she won’t carry the market support a proven winner does, but three course starts for two placings and a Harry Grace booking make her worth staking each-way. She doubles as the each-way play of the day for the same reason.
For multis, lean on Light The Night as the banker leg — she’s already done the hard part this campaign. The repeatable course angle worth filing away: the Phillip and Tommy Stokes stable has now placed 16 of its last 27 runners at Morphettville, a number that should carry weight the next time it sends a team to this track.
If Cosmic Shower beats Polar Eyes home today, don’t be surprised if the Stokes stable keeps sending pairs to Morphettville all spring.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Morphettville today?
The first race, the Winning Edge Presentations Mdn Plate, jumps at 12:22, with the second and final race of the day, the Thomas Farms (Bm74), following at 12:57.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Morphettville today?
N Callow leads the jockey stats among today’s riders with a 47.83% place rate from 23 Morphettville rides, just ahead of Harry Grace’s 44.9% from a much larger sample of 98. Among trainers, Phillip and Tommy Stokes have placed 59.26% of their 27 runners at the track, with A J Gluyas racking up 43 places from 110 runners.
What are the best bets at Morphettville today?
Light The Night in the 12:57 is the pick of the day off a winning return and a Morphettville record of two wins from three starts. Polar Eyes in the 12:22 is the each-way and value option, placing in two of her three runs at the track.
Where can I find the best odds for Morphettville races?
Fixed-odds markets for this meeting hadn’t fully firmed at the time of writing, so it’s worth shopping around closer to the jump; the offer below is a good starting point for setting up an account ahead of race time.
