Sandown Racing Tips Sep 2 — Can Greenwich Boy Back Up?
Warwick Farm Racing Tips Sept 2: Does Blessed Eagle Repeat?
Blessed Eagle needed just the one look at Warwick Farm to work out how to win there, breaking through under Tim Clark while carrying more weight than anything else in today’s Bm64 field. Clark’s book with the Waterhouse and Bott stable at this track is one of the standout numbers on the whole card, and it puts the opener in a different light before a single race is run. It’s a short card at Warwick Farm today, just two races, but not a thin one: a well-shaped benchmark headlines at 1:35pm and a sprawling 19-horse maiden fills out the afternoon at 2:10pm, with one stable, C J Waller’s, saddling nine of those runners alone. These Warwick Farm racing tips work through both races, the jockey and trainer numbers worth trusting, and where the value sits once you look past the obvious.
Reading the Warwick Farm card
Going hasn’t been published for today’s meeting, so hold off on firm assumptions about how the track is riding until closer to the first. What is solid is the sample behind the jockeys and trainers engaged today, two fields totalling 27 runners with plenty of history at this circuit between them. The card itself is a study in contrasts: an eight-horse benchmark with mostly exposed form against a 19-horse maiden stacked with first starters, which is exactly the kind of split that rewards knowing which connections have a genuine track record here and which are simply showing up in numbers.
Ladbrokes Review [Updated March 2026] | Ladbrokes.com.au Pros & Cons
- Info Hub
- Mates Mode
Individual course form is thin across both fields, most runners have raced here once or twice at most, so a horse-by-horse table would tell you less than it implies. The jockey and trainer numbers are a different story.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Lloyd | 46 | 4 | 28 | 8.70% | 60.87% |
| Rachel King | 26 | 6 | 15 | 23.08% | 57.69% |
| Mollie Fitzgerald | 19 | 3 | 10 | 15.79% | 52.63% |
| N Rawiller | 34 | 7 | 17 | 20.59% | 50.00% |
| Tim Clark | 44 | 10 | 21 | 22.73% | 47.73% |
| J B McDonald | 34 | 7 | 16 | 20.59% | 47.06% |
| Tommy Berry | 60 | 10 | 24 | 16.67% | 40.00% |
The trainer numbers are where the card gets interesting, mostly because of how lopsided the volume is. C J Waller has started 134 runners at Warwick Farm for just eight wins, a strike rate well below the smaller stables around him on this card, and yet he’s still sending out nine of the 19 runners in today’s maiden. Numbers like that are worth having in front of you before the market makes Waller runners look automatic.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Freedman | 20 | 5 | 13 | 25.00% | 65.00% |
| G Waterhouse & A Bott | 56 | 17 | 36 | 30.36% | 64.29% |
| Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald | 43 | 6 | 20 | 13.95% | 46.51% |
| C E Conners | 11 | 3 | 5 | 27.27% | 45.45% |
| C J Waller | 134 | 8 | 48 | 5.97% | 35.82% |
| C Maher | 26 | 2 | 8 | 7.69% | 30.77% |
| M, W & J Hawkes | 10 | 1 | 3 | 10.00% | 30.00% |
Warwick Farm racing tips: race by race
Race 1: 2026 Keeneland September Yearling Sale (Bm64) — 1:35pm, 1312m
Waterhouse and Bott send out two runners here with genuinely different stories, and that contrast is most of the race. Blessed Eagle has raced once, at this track, and won it running away under Tim Clark while carrying 135.5kg, the heaviest weight in the field and a sign of how highly the stable rates her. Demerzel, her stablemate, has the opposite profile: unplaced at Warwick Farm on debut before winning next time out away from home, and now returns to the scene of that flatter run 4.4kg lighter under Nathan Rawiller.
The connections numbers back the topweight. Clark and the Waterhouse-Bott stable have combined for nine wins and 16 placings from 23 rides together at Warwick Farm, a 39.13% strike rate that’s hard to walk past, and Blessed Eagle’s only run to date fits the pattern exactly. Backing her isn’t a leap of faith so much as following a stable and rider who know this track intimately.
The genuine each-way danger is Bring Me Chocolate, unbeaten in two runs for Annabel Neasham and Rob Archibald and ridden by Tommy Berry, who has more rides at Warwick Farm than any other jockey engaged today. Neasham and Archibald place close to half their Warwick Farm runners, and a filly with back-to-back wins carrying 131.1kg, 4.4kg under Blessed Eagle, is exactly the type that can turn a benchmark race over if the market leans too hard on the topweight. Suasion, with a 1-2-0 form line for the Cavanoughs, and Katoto, on 2-1-3 for C J Waller, both carry equal topweight of 134.4kg and have their own claims, but neither has raced at Warwick Farm before, so they read as minor players against a pair with proven course form.
Win bet on Blessed Eagle, with Bring Me Chocolate the each-way play if you want cover against the topweight.
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Race 2: Asahi Super Dry Mdn Hcp — 2:10pm, 1531m
Nine of the 19 runners in this maiden belong to C J Waller, which on the surface looks like the stable to beat on sheer weight of numbers. Warwick Farm tells a different story: Waller has started 134 runners at this course for eight wins, a 5.97% strike rate well below the trainers around him on this card, so treat the volume as noise rather than a signal by itself.
Satin Serenade is the pick of the Waller runners on form, runner-up in both starts to date, ridden again by J R Collett. She’s honest without having found the front yet, and a field this size with plenty of debutants around her gives room for that profile to finally break through. Wonka, another from the stable, placed at his only start away from Warwick Farm but showed nothing on his single try at this course, which is enough to leave him as a watch rather than a play, and Sing Your Song’s 2-3 line reads much the same way, competitive without the standout number that Satin Serenade or Albert Palais can point to.
The stronger case on connections belongs to Albert Palais. C E Conners wins better than one in four of his Warwick Farm runners and places nearly half of them from a genuine sample of 11 starts, and Nathan Rawiller brings one of the better jockey books at the track, over a fifth of his rides winning and half of them placed from 34 rides here. Albert Palais has finished fourth, third and third across three runs, a horse building toward a maiden win rather than one that’s already found it, and the trainer-jockey combination gives him the best supporting numbers in the race.
Nineteen runners makes this one genuinely hard to be confident about. Albert Palais on the strength of the Conners-Rawiller combination, with Satin Serenade the each-way alternative if the closer keeps doing what she’s done twice already. Small stakes only, or watch it.
Where the money goes
That’s the shape of today’s Warwick Farm racing tips, so here’s where the actual money sits.
NAP: Blessed Eagle (1:35pm). One win from one run, and that run came at this track under a rider who’s close to automatic for Waterhouse and Bott here, worth $28,400 in prize money for the effort. The weight isn’t a concern when the ability gap looks this clear.
Value: Bring Me Chocolate (1:35pm). Two wins from two starts and 4.4kg less than the topweight in the same race, with Tommy Berry, the most experienced Warwick Farm rider engaged today, in the saddle. If the market crowds Blessed Eagle, this is where the each-way money lands.
Banker: with only two races on the card, Blessed Eagle doubles as the banker leg, the standout profile of the day for multi builders.
Each-way: Albert Palais (2:10pm). Three runs, three top-four finishes, and the best trainer-jockey combination in a maiden that’s otherwise hard to split.
Course angle: Waller’s runner count keeps climbing at Warwick Farm without the strike rate to match, 134 runners for eight wins at this track. Backing the stable on numbers alone hasn’t paid off here, and today’s nine-strong team in the maiden is worth remembering that against.
Keep half an eye on how Satin Serenade is ridden in the run; a maiden filly with two runner-up finishes from two starts against this much traffic either breaks through emphatically or gets buried in the wall of horses around her, and there won’t be much in between.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Warwick Farm today?
The Bm64 opener jumps at 1:35pm, with the Asahi Super Dry Maiden Handicap completing a short two-race card at 2:10pm.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Warwick Farm today?
G Waterhouse and A Bott lead the trainer numbers with 17 wins from 56 runners at Warwick Farm, a 30.36% strike rate, while Zac Lloyd and Rachel King are the sharpest placers among today’s jockeys, hitting the frame 60.87% and 57.69% of the time respectively.
What are the best bets at Warwick Farm today?
Blessed Eagle in the Bm64 (1:35pm) is the pick of these Warwick Farm predictions, unbeaten in one run at the track for Waterhouse and Bott and Tim Clark, with Albert Palais the each-way option in the maiden at 2:10pm.
Where can I find the best Warwick Farm odds today?
No bookmaker odds were available for either race at the time of writing. Check your preferred bookmaker closer to the first for firm prices before locking in any Warwick Farm best bets.
How many runners are racing at Warwick Farm today?
27 runners across the two races, headlined by a 19-horse maiden at 2:10pm in which C J Waller alone saddles nine.
