Winx Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Memsie Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Memsie Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 All Aged Stakes at Caulfield.
MEMSIE STAKES BETTING SNAPSHOT
The first Group 1 race in Victoria for the 2022/23 season is a wide-open betting affair with seven horses posted in single figures after the barrier draw with ladbrokes.
They are Western Empire ($5.50), Alligator Blood ($6), Illation ($6), Tofane ($8), I’m Thunderstruck ($8.50), Cascadian ($9) and Snapdancer ($9). Duais is at $19 and heads the rest of the 14-horse field in the betting.
MEMSIE STAKES FORM ANALYSIS
12 of the 14 acceptors head into this first up from a spell with only Elephant and Dragon Leap seen in recent times. A few of the contenders that are fresh found themselves up against one another in the CF Orr Stakes (1400m) under similar circumstances in the autumn.
That Caulfield Group 1 was taken out by Tofane that day with the multiple Group 1 winning mare leading all the way from Lighthouse and Cascadian. I’m Thunderstruck took a while to wind up after drawing barrier 11 in the Memsie and was 5th. Lightsaber was second up that day and ran 12th.
The Orr Stakes is one of the key races to look at for mine with the winner, Tofane, going 10.4 lengths faster than standard benchmark. They were the best figures she produced in her four start preparation and the Mike Moroney-trained galloper was unable to produce another win.
Cascadian produced some solid figures throughout his preparation and went on to claim the All-Aged Stakes (1400m) at Randwick later on. He finished just on the heels of Anamoe in a recent trial. I’m Thunderstruck went winless at his autumn preparation and was pipped late in the Doncaster by Mr Brightside.
A number of the others that are favoured in the market come in with some interstate form and Western Empire looked like a bit of a world beater last spring and early summer in Perth with his wins at Ascot that yielded a Group 1 Railway (1600m) before missing out at prohibitive odds in the Kingston Town Stakes (1800m). He went more than nine lengths faster than standard in his two wins at the start of his preparation and if the Bob Peters owned galloper can bring that form over he is right in it.
Alligator Blood has had his ups and downs but in his two runs in Queensland over the winter he went more than 10 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which included a win in the Stradbroke Handicap. He is no stranger to Victorian racing and went 12 lengths faster than standard when winning the Australian Guineas (1600m) two years ago.
Illation represents a bit of X-factor. He has registered three wins from as many starts with the most recent of those coming in the Adelaide Guineas back in May. He will need to set a big personal best to win this race.
Snapdancer took out the Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m) for the fillies and mares in the autumn when leading all the way. She finished in the top two in five of her six runs last time in.
The likes of Duais and the 2021 Caulfield Cup (2400m) runner-up, Nonconformist might need it further and generally save their best for later in their campaigns. Hard to make a case for some of the others here but I liked Callsign Mav’s first up run in the autumn when just missing in the Carlyon Cup.
MEMSIE STAKES TIPS AND BEST BETS
A lot of variables to take into account with a number resuming but we should see something near an even tempo with the likes of Snapdancer and possibly Callsign Mav and Western Empire to push across from their draws. Tofane and Alligator Blood should be handy. Monitor betting moves but I am putting faith in Alligator Blood, who rediscovered his mojo in Queensland with his two runs in the autumn, producing good figures on both occasions. He drew extremely wide in the first of those and was posted deep throughout before just missing behind Soxagon. He again drew out in the Stradbroke over the 1400m but was good enough to claim Brisbane’s leading Group 1. He draws to save ground from barrier 1 and is five from seven over the distance, while he gets the services from Damien Oliver. A roughie to consider is Callsign Mav. He went 12 lengths faster than standard when leading before going down late behind Earlswood in the Carlyon Cup (1600m) at Caulfield in the autumn. The Kiwi galloper has some excellent first up form and likes the 1400m. He is worth thought at the price.
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