Might And Power Tips & Preview 2023

Might And Power Stakes

 

Looking for Might And Power tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2023 Might And Power at Caulfield.

MIGHT AND POWER BETTING SNAPSHOT

The last start Underwood Stakes (1800m) winner, Alligator Blood, has been installed as the $2.15 favourite with Dabble ahead of his stablemate, Just Fine, at $4.20. The two-time Group 1 winner, Duais, is at $5.50 after her 3rd placing behind Alligator Blood in the Underwood. 

There are 10 contenders in action for the $1 million affair and Lindermann with Joao Moreira to ride is at $13, while Hezashocka ($17) and Nonconformist ($18) are other solid fancies. Forgot You ($26), Deny Knowledge ($26), Alenquer ($31) and Vow And Declare ($41) round out the field. 

MIGHT AND POWER FORM ANALYSIS

Six of the 10 runners come out of the Underwood Stakes and it was Alligator Blood that settled handy that day before taking over in the straight to kick clear, winning by a length from Tuvalu, who is not in this race. 

The Waterhouse/Bott galloper went nine lengths faster than standard benchmark and was third up. He was 5th in this race last year after an identical preparation but this year’s edition does look weaker without the likes of Anamoe, I’m Thunderstruck and Mr Brightside. 

Duais produced the fastest 400m-200m split before just peaking slightly on her run. Nonconformist was just under three lengths away in 7th position, while Lindermann ran 8th. Both can improve over the 2000m, including Lindermann, who overraced early on. Hard to make a case for Vow And Declare and Alenquer, who were 10th and 11th respectively. 

Just Fine comes in with three successive wins and just held on in the Metropolitan (2400m) with just 50kg on his back from Spirit Ridge. Those two put a four length gap on the rest. Important to note that the former import went a healthy 14.7 lengths faster than standard. 

At his start prior, the son of Sea The Stars went 15 lengths faster than standard when easily defeating Montefilia in the Kingston Town Stakes (2000m). That horse has since come out and won the $2 million Hill Stakes (1900m). Just Fine is a genuine threat to Alligator Blood. 

Forgot You, Deny Knowledge and Hezashocka come out of separate races. Forgot You has not scored since his triumph two years ago in the Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) but went 9.3 lengths faster than standard last time when runner-up behind Ain’tnodeeldun at Sandown and should enjoy a nice tempo here. 

Deny Knowledge was 3rd behind the glamour horse, Amelia’s Jewel, in the Stocks Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley recently, while Hezashocka was just that when enduring a tough time in the Naturalism Stakes (2000m) at Caulfield recently. He needs to recapture the form that saw him finish 4th in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) at Randwick earlier this year. 

MIGHT AND POWER TIPS AND BEST BETS

This shapes as an interesting race and the tempo could be rock solid early on with a number to go forward. I am keen on Just Fine based on the times he has been producing in his past couple of starts. He can do it at both ends and smashed the clock over the 2000m at Randwick two starts ago. That result was franked with the runner-up, Montefilia, winning at her next start. Just Fine then ran track record time in the Metropolitan. I don’t mind the drop back down to the 2000m and he has attracted some support in the early betting. Jordan Childs rides and the pair draw perfectly in barrier 4.