Doomben 10000 Tips & Preview 2022
The Goodwood Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for The Goodwood tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 The Goodwood at Morphettville.
THE GOODWOOD BETTING SNAPSHOT
Plenty of chances in the Goodwood and it is the Mick Price & Michael Kent-Jnr trained three-yer-old, Extreme Warrior, that is a $5 popular elect with TAB, while the multiple Group 1 winning local, Behemoth, is at $7. In The Boat ($8) and The Inferno ($9) are both in single figures.
The recent William Reid Stakes (1200m) winner, September Run is at $13 alongside The Astrologist, while Bella Nipotina ($17) heads Savatoxl, Halvorsen, Regardsmaree, Ironclad and Not An Option. That group are all $21
THE GOODWOOD FORM ANALYSIS
Extreme Warrior is one of eight runners that had their last start in Victoria. The colt resumed with a win in the Bel Esprit Stakes (1100m) at Caulfield and was strong through the line that day, defeating It’sourtime.
The son of Extreme Choice went a very healthy 9.3 lengths faster than standard that day and should have a bit of upside. Second up at his last campaign he improved nine lengths on figures to win the Blue Sapphire Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield by nearly four lengths. Not An Option is another that comes out of the Bel Esprit Stakes and produced the fastest last 200m that day.
Best last start benchmark figures belong to Lombardo, who was a narrow runner-up behind Regardsmaree in the VOBIS Gold Sprint (1200m) on April 23 at Caulfield. The Astrologist was 3rd in that race.
Regardsmaree went 12.3 lengths faster than standard that day and has since had another run, winning over the 1400m at Sandown and going nine lengths faster than standard.
The key local lead up is the DC McKay Stakes (1100m) and it was Free Of Debt that scored in that race ahead of Savatoxl. They absolutely crawled early on that occasion before eventually going 3.4 lengths faster than standard.
The Inferno produced a bit of en eye-catcher and was wide without cover before running on from the tail to grab 3rd. Behemoth was held up en route to running 6th, beaten just over a length. Ironclad was another that was wide before running 7th.
Behemoth is the second pick in the market for the Goodwood and comes into this second up after a setback earlier this year. The big boy has been a big improver on figures in the past at this stage when stepping up to the 1400m but should be a force to be reckoned with over the six furlongs.
He has gone more than 10 lengths faster than standard at this stage of his past four preparations with a personal best of 14.8 lengths faster that was set in 2020. That is the second best figure than what any horse in this race has produced in the past 24 months. The Astrologist produced a slightly superior figure in a straight race at Flemington over the 1200m late in 2020.
Savatoxl comes in to this at his third run and claimed the Goodwood at the same stage of his preparation last year. He will make his own luck on the speed.
Three runners come out of the Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m) for the fillies and mares and the best performed of those was September Run. She produced some excellent late splits as she always does to go 7.4 lengths faster than standard and is an excellent chance here with any pace in the race.
Bella Nipotina is as honest as they come and was 5th in the Sangster, while Instant Celebrity covered ground and never really came into it. She won that race last year and was runner-up in the Goodwood but suspect the breeding barn might be around the corner for the four-year-old.
A couple of last start winners are in action and they are In The Boat and Frankie Pinot. In The Boat has won six of his past seven and comes in with a five-week gap since taking out the $500,000 Country Discovery (1100m) at Sale ahead of Brooklyn Hustle. He went just 3.8 lengths faster than standard that day, which is six length shy of his personal best. But the five weeks in between runs suits and he is unbeaten over the 1200m.
Frankie Pinot claimed the Wangoom Handicap (1200m) on a Heavy 10 at Warrnambool earlier this month. He might need a wet track to fire but he might have improvement to come second up.
THE GOODWOOD TIPS AND BEST BETS
Extreme Warrior will be out to become the first three-year-old since Lone Rock in 2011 to win the Goodwood but think that he can do it after what was an impressive performance first up at Caulfield. He was a big improver second up on figures last time as well and Jamie Kai just needs to find a spot in running from barrier 13 in the early stages. Pace looks very solid with a stack of these to go forward including Savatoxl, In The Boat, Beau Rossa and Lombardo. The last trio have all drawn wide. Race might set up for a fast finisher and there are plenty that can produce some blistering late splits including September Run, while Not An Option is one at a decent price that has drawn a lot better than that horse.
