South Australian Derby Tips & Preview 2022
Doomben 10000 Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Doomben 10000 tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Doomben 10000 at Eagle Farm.
DOOMBEN 10000 BETTING SNAPSHOT
We head to Eagle Farm this year for the Doomben 10000 with Queensland’s big wet continuing into autumn, making the Doomben surface unsuitable for racing on Saturday May 14.
Distance stays at the 1200m and Mazu is the $2.70 favourite in the market with TAB after the barrier draw, ahead of Kementari at $9. Count De Rupee is at $9.50, while Paulele, Entrivere and the local galloper, Isotope, are at $10. Generation ($11) and the former gun youngster, Rothfire ($14), head the rest.
DOOMBEN 10000 FORM ANALYSIS
Mazu is one of four contenders aged three in the race this year. The others are Paulele, Generation and Alpine Edge. Mazu and Paulele featured in the Arrowfield Sprint (1200m) on a Heavy track at Randwick on April 9 with Mazu getting the job done in the four-horse field, while Paulele ran 3rd.
The winner went 3.4 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which came off a slow early tempo. He took over in the straight, whereas Paulele battled. But the latter can be forgiven and did run 3rd behind Nature Strip and Eduardo in the TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) prior to that, going more than 10 lengths faster than standard.
Mazu’s personal best figures are similar and were set first up this preparation on a Soft 6 at Randwick. He has won all four of his runs at his current campaign and loves ground with a bit of give in it. Eagle Farm is rated a Soft 6 at the time of writing with up to between 50-100ml of rain forecast for Brisbane in the 48 hours leading up to the race.
Generation is in the market and comes off a 4th in the William Reid Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley on March 25. He likes to settle handy and his personal best came on Soft ground at his last preparation at the Valley when going 13.3 lengths faster than standard en route to claiming the Red Anchor Stakes (1200m). They are the second best figures that any horse in this race has produced in the past two years.
Generation also comes in with the best last start figures of any runner by going 7.7 lengths faster than standard in the William Reid.
Shelby Sixty-six boasts the best figures that any horse has set in the last two years, going 15 lengths faster thanks standard when splitting Eduardo and Nature Strip in the Challenge Stakes (1000m) at Randwick earlier this year.
Four runners come out of the Victory Stakes (1200m), an Eagle Farm Group 2 race on April 30 They include the winner, Count De Rupee, who is five from 10 at he distance. The four-year-old went 7.1 lengths faster than standard that day. Rothfire was first up and was caught wide before finishing 5th. He might have improvement to come Baller and Vega One finished 8th and 11th respectively.
Loved the daring ride by Nash Rawlier on Kementari, who comes off a first up win in the Hall Mark Stakes (1200m) ahead of Count De Rupee. He has had a month in between runs and tends to hold his figures when second up but is yet to win in four starts at Eagle Farm.
Isotope shapes as the leading local contender and is one of three mares in the race. She failed in the Galaxy on a Heavy 9 and is a slight query at Eagle Farm but her best might be good enough to challenge.
Entriviere represents a bit of X-factor. The Kiwi mare has had three runs in Australia and all three were full of merit. She was a Group 2 winner at Kembla Grange when resuming last spring and is first up for this after a series of strong performances in her homeland over simmer behind the likes of Levante and the eventual Newmarket Handicap (1200m) winner, Roch’N’Horse, while she is three from four on rain-effected tracks.
Can a roughie salute in the Doomben 10000? Zoustyle is at $21 and was a fraction disappointing when resuming with a 3rd at Eagle Farm over the 1000m on April 16 but will strip fitter. Minhaaj gets the blinkers back on and is capable of better but might need a drier track. Hard to make a case for some of the others.
DOOMBEN 10000 TIPS & BEST BETS
I don’t mind Generation at the each-way quote. His three runs this time in have been pretty solid and the son of Snitzel should thrive in he wet conditions. He will settle handy enough and might end up in the better part of the track from barrier 10. Paulele missed out behind Mazu last time but his run in the TJ Smith is worth keeping in mind and he comes into it with a better tempo this time around. Suspect Shelby Sixty-six is gone from all the racing but he did boast some seriously good figures on bog tracks in Sydney and might be worth throwing into multiples at a bit of a price. Entriviere goes into multiples.
