Thousand Guineas Tips & Preview 2023

Image from Chris Waller racing, Facebook

 

 

Looking for Thousand Guineas tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2023 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield.

THOUSAND GUINEAS BETTING SNAPSHOT

The Thousand Guineas sees the fillies line up for Group 1 glory and the unbeaten galloper, Skybird, is the $3.50 favourite with Dabble, just ahead of Couer Volante at $4.20. Joliestar is the only other horse below double figures and is at the $7.50. 

There are 13 contenders in the $1.5 million affair at Caulfield with Kimochi and Arctic Glamour both at $10 ahead of Zourion at $11. Quickster ($16) and Carina Queen ($18) head the rest. 

THOUSAND GUINEAS FORM ANALYSIS

Skybird has had the three career starts and rose from a Ballarat Maiden at her debut to claim the Group 2 Fillies Classic (1600m) at Moonee Valley on Cox Plate day. The Mitchell Freedman-trained galloper ran on from back in the field, overcoming a slow tempo to defeat Grinzinger Belle, going four lengths faster than standard benchmark. She looks to have upside to come. Carina Queen was 3rd in that race, while Quickster was an unlucky 4th. 

Three contenders come out of the Thousand Guineas Prelude (1400m) that was held on October 21 at Caulfield and it was Couer Volante that cruised to a one-length win ahead of Vivy Air. The runner-up produced 400m and 200m and should love the step to the mile. Zourion was 3rd and did well to stick on after being posted wide throughout. The winner went 8.7 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is the second best figure that any horse in this race has produced. 

That honour goes to one of the roughies in the race, Ersa, who went 9.9 lengths faster than standard benchmark against the boys when 4th in the Carbine Club Stakes (1600m) at Flemington. She missed out at Caulfield prior to that in a BenchMark 70 but did take out her Maiden by nine lengths. 

The Chris Waller-trained Joliestar was runner-up in the Desitrable Stakes (1400m) at Flemington, going 7.5 lengths faster than standard benchmark and ran on well from the back of the field. Kimochi was 3rd in that race as a $4.20 chance. She was two lengths further back but was posted wide without cover throughout. 

Arctic Glamour is another in the market and comes off a last start 6th in the Callander-Presnell (1600m) up at Randwick at her most recent start. She scored by a combined margin of just under six lengths in her two runs prior to that. At her latest, the daughter of Frosted went just 2.5 lengths faster than standard. Is there a blowout chance? Enna’s Dream drove hard to just miss behind Carina Queen at Sandown six weeks ago and might be worth a bit of thought at the price. 

THOUSAND GUINEAS TIPS AND BEST BETS

A number of these are on the up, including the race favourite, Skybird. But I think Joliestar should enjoy a nicer run that what she received at Flemington on Cup day when forced back from the wide barrier on a slow tempo before working home very well to fill the exacta behind Roll On High. She should appreciate the step to the 1600m and can box seat this time around with James McDonald sticking on board. Best roughie in the race is Ersa. She might settle forward in a race that lacks a lot of pressure up front. Thought her effort against the colts and geldings at Flemington was rock solid and she is one to consider at the each-way quote.