William Reid Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for William Reid Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley.
WILLIAM REID STAKES FORM ANALYSIS
Marabi is all the rage in the betting and is at the $1.65 quote with bet365 after the barrier draw. The Oakleigh Plate (1100m) winner heads the Newmarket Handicap (1200m) runner-up, The Astrologist at $12. The Inferno and Kemalpasa are at $15, while Jonker, Generation and September Run are the other main fancies at $16.
Marabi has had seven career starts for seven wins and went a whopping 17 lengths faster than standard benchmark when taking out the Oakleigh Plate. That puts her in the same category as the likes of Nature Strip and Eduardo. She might be even better than that pair and we possibly haven’t seen her ceiling yet.
In the Oakleigh Plate, the five-year-old mare from the Maher/Eustace camp drew barrier 2 and kicked up to sit outside the leader before cruising to the lead at the 300m, keeping out Away Game and Oxley Road at the business end. At her previous run she took out the Group 2 Australia Stakes (1200m) at Moonee Valley, going 10.4 lengths faster than standard.
Jonker is another to come out of the Oakleigh Plate and had excuses in that race when pulling up lame. The six-year-old is better at the weights and was a Group 1 winner in the Manikato Stakes (1200m) here last spring but will need to do it from barrier 14.
Three runners come out of the Newmarket and they are The Astrologist (2nd), September Run (3rd) and Halvorsen (10th). They went hard early that day and The Astrologist stuck on well on the inside to go 11.8 lengths faster than standard.
His best runs have been at Flemington and he went 16 lengths faster than standard over the 1200m late in 2020 at that venue, which is up there with what Marabi produced recently. He just needs to do it at the Valley.
Kemalpasa has the same personal best, producing that figure at Caulfield in last year’s Oakleigh Plate when 3rd. The South Aussie comes into this with nearly two months in between runs and was too good for Behemoth at Morphettville over the 1100m at his latest.
The Inferno hasn’t been seen since running in the Black Caviar Lightning (1000m), finishing 8th behind Home Affairs that day. The Cliff Brown-trained galloper nearly fell that day. He likes the Valley was a second up winner over the 1000m at the here last spring before just missing out in the Moir Stakes (1000m) behind Wild Ruler.
There are four horses aged three in the race and they are General Beau, Generation, Marine One and the filly Zouzarella.
Marine One took out the Rubiton Stakes (1100m) on February 12 at Caulfield, defeating Oxley Road, who then ran 3rd behind Marabi in the Oakleigh Plate. Marine One set a personal best by going 10.6 lengths faster than standard in the Rubiton.
Generation creates interest and was runner-up behind Finance Tycoon in the Zeditaive Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield on February 26. He improved eight lengths on figures to go 13.2 lengths faster than standard when winning at the track and trip last spring and will race on speed from barrier 2. Not quite sure General Beau will get the 1200m, while Zouzarella will need to produce a big personal best.
Hard to get enthused about most of the others. Trekking’s best seems to be behind him, while Standout should be competitive but lacks the killer punch. Snapper and Electric Girl will start at big odds.
WILLIAM REID STAKES TIPS AND BEST BETS
Very difficult to take on Marabi. She has handled everything that has been thrown at her in her short career and has the Moonee Valley form on the board, while the figures that she produced at Caulfield suggest that she is something special. The daughter of I Am Invincible has the early pace to settle outside the lead and can burn the candle at both ends if required. Some of the other speed horses have drawn outside her including Jonker and Kemalpasa, while Generation might kick up to lead or box seat. I don’t think she will have any trouble in the run. For those after a roughie, best value for mine is Generation, who was excellent at this stage in the spring in the Red Anchor Stakes (1200m), while he didn’t quite enjoy the best part of the track when runner-up at his latest.
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