Belmont Park Racing Tips 20 May — can Pike make it three?
Belmont Park Racing Tips 20 May — can Pike make it three?
There are meetings where you can feel the story before you even drill into the fields. Today at Belmont Park it’s the same story racing fans in WA keep living: if William Pike turns up with a live chance, the whole race changes shape around him. He’s riding like a bloke who knows every blade of grass here, and the book backs it up: 13 wins from 34 rides at Belmont in the relevant sample, and he hits the frame nearly two-thirds of the time.
We’ve got three races on the card (all 1094m sprints on turf), which makes it a tight little meeting where you want to be decisive rather than clever. These Belmont Park racing tips lean into that: one strong anchor, one price you can live with if it lands, and one race where I’d rather watch than donate.
Belmont Park — the setup
All three races are 1094m, so barriers and early intent matter more than “staying strength” narratives. If your selection can’t hold a spot or can’t begin, it’s instantly in the lap of the racing gods.
Limited course form across today’s fields. Most runners have one or two starts here, so I’m weighting stable intent and current trajectory harder than any thin track sample.
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Still, a couple of course angles are solid enough to act on:
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W Pike | 34 | 13 | 22 | 38.24 | 64.71 |
| Chris Parnham | 28 | 7 | 12 | 25.00 | 42.86 |
| Holly Nottle | 38 | 9 | 21 | 23.68 | 55.26 |
Trainer-wise, there are plenty with volume, but none that scream “bet me blind” on strike rate alone. The Pearce stable (23 runners here in the sample) and N D Parnham (34) both operate at around the low-teens win rate at the track, which is fine, but not something to build an article around. The jockey edge is the cleaner angle today.
Race-by-race
Race 1: Kalgoorlie-Boulder Reunion Hcp (C5) — 13:04, 1094m
The market isn’t here to save you in a race like this, so I’m starting with the horse whose recent profile suggests he’s still in the fight: First Beach. That “215-30” form line reads like a horse who can put himself in the race and keep finding, even when things don’t go perfectly. He gets S Parnham from gate 5, which is the kind of draw that lets him land in the first four without spending the whole straight trying to recover ground.
I’m not dressing it up as a winning machine: over the last 90 days he’s had two runs for one placing, and his average finish in that window sits back at 6.5. But that’s also why he’s the sort of runner you back in a thin little handicap sprint when others either look out of form or look like they’ll need luck from awkward spots.
The danger is Under Influence purely because Pike gets on, and that booking can add length and confidence to any horse in a 1094m dash. Pike wins more than a third of his Belmont rides in this sample and hits the frame nearly two-thirds of the time, which is the clearest “course edge” on the page today. If Under Influence lands one-out one-back from gate 6 and they overcook it up front, Pike will be the one making it look easy.
Staking: Win bet First Beach. Small saver quinella with Under Influence if you want cover for the Pike factor.
Race 2: Ashok Parekh & Co Mdn — 13:39, 1094m
This is a proper maiden puzzle, but one runner has been knocking hard enough that I’m happy to be simple: Jolson Al. He’s 3 from 3 for placings over the last 90 days, and that’s the sort of consistency you rarely get served up in these races. He’s also already been to Belmont once and placed on that only visit here, which isn’t a trend, but it does tell you he handles the place.
Barrier 3 is another tick. In these short-course maidens, a good gate lets a horse like him hold a spot, make the race a test of will, and avoid the “start, stop, duck, weave” nonsense that beats honest horses.
The one I actually fear is Gets The Girls</strong}, because the form line (456352) says she’s been living in the finish. Over the last 90 days she’s had four runs and hit the frame twice, and her average finishing position in that stretch is 3.25, which is exactly the profile of a maiden about to finally get her turn. The query is the draw (8): she either has to press forward and risk working, or snag and trust luck, and neither option is as clean as what Jolson Al gets from gate 3.
No odds were available from the feed for this meeting at the time of writing, so I’m playing it as a “trust the profile” race rather than a price-hunt.
Staking: Win bet Jolson Al. Exacta saver Jolson Al over Gets The Girls if you want to tighten the result around the two most reliable profiles.
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Race 3: Goldfields Tattersalls Club Mdn — 14:14, 1094m
Race shape first: this looks like a sprint where position and timing matter more than “best horse”. That’s why I’m leaning to the Pike ride, Nice Sort. He’s lightly exposed, and he’s only had one run in the last 90 days so you don’t pretend the numbers are a trend, but the stable has made the deliberate call to use Pike. At Belmont, that’s rarely an accident.
The other thing is the map: from gate 10 Pike will have to make a decision early. If he rolls across and lands midfield with cover, he’ll get a crack at them late. If he’s posted wide with no cover, it’s a different bet altogether. That’s why this is a “watch your price, watch the first 200m” play rather than a charge-in.
The filly I’d want in the multiples is White Hot</strong}. She’s only had two runs in her form line (53-), which screams upside, and Chris Parnham climbs on. Parnham wins one in four at Belmont in this sample, which is strong enough to respect. The knock is barrier 4 can make her look the winner at the 200m and still see her run down if the race turns into a sit-and-sprint behind the speed.
If you want a blowout for third and fourth in trifectas, Brave Wasp has been around the mark for a while (22824-), but the recent-results tool returned no last-90-day runs for him in this dataset, so I’m not over-weighting that form string without fresh confirmation.
Staking: Small win bet Nice Sort. If the price is skinny, keep it as a watch race and just take White Hot in a quinella.
The plays
If I’m spending real money on this Belmont Park card, I’m building around one horse who keeps turning up and doing the job. NAP: Jolson Al (Race 2, 13:39). Three straight placings in the last 90 days tells you he’s not guessing, and gate 3 keeps him out of trouble in a race full of runners who can find new ways to lose.
Value: First Beach (Race 1, 13:04) appeals because the race looks winnable without needing a career peak. He’s had two runs in the last 90 days for a placing, and the map should let him hold a spot instead of chasing.
Banker for multis: If you’re playing doubles, I’d rather “bank” the jockey than the horse. Pike at Belmont is the safest edge on the page: 13 wins from 34 rides and 22 placings. That makes Nice Sort (Race 3) the safer multi leg than he might look at first glance, provided Pike gets cover early.
Each-way angle: Gets The Girls (Race 2) for place money. She’s been living around the minors (two placings from four runs in the last 90 days) and doesn’t have to improve much to run top three again.
Course angle worth keeping: When Pike rides at Belmont, don’t overthink the “wide gate” fear. He wins here often enough that the ride itself can be worth a length, and it’s a habit you can keep taking into the next meeting too.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Belmont Park today?
Belmont Park kicks off at 13:04 with the Kalgoorlie-Boulder Reunion Hcp (C5) over 1094m.
Who are the top jockeys at Belmont Park on today’s stats?
William Pike is the clear standout in the course sample: 13 wins from 34 rides at Belmont, with 22 placings. Holly Nottle also rides Belmont well (9 wins from 38, 21 placings), and Chris Parnham strikes strongly too (7 wins from 28).
What are the best bets at Belmont Park today?
The best bet on the card is Jolson Al in Race 2 (13:39). He’s placed at his only Belmont start and has three placings from three runs in the last 90 days. The next best is First Beach in Race 1 (13:04) as the horse most likely to get the right run and control his own fate.
Where can I find the best odds for Belmont Park races?
You’ll usually do best by checking a couple of books side-by-side before you bet. The odds feed for this meeting wasn’t available at the time of writing, so I’d shop around directly with the major bookmakers and the tote before committing. If you’re looking for more daily previews, head back to our Belmont Park racing tips hub.
Which runners have shown something at Belmont Park already?
Course samples are thin for most of these, but a couple of runners have at least handled Belmont once: Jolson Al has placed on his only run here, and Gets The Girls has one prior Belmont start where she finished fourth. Treat those as confidence points, not long-term patterns.
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