Hawkesbury Preview & Best Bets – Thursday March 23
Hawkesbury Tips 23/03/2023
Our form expert provides Hawkesbury tips for today’s horse racing at Hawkesbury Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 5: No.2 BARMERA ($2.25 with Ladbrokes)
Four top-two finishes from his five starts this preparation puts BARMERA in the firing line for another top performance here today. Last start the I Am Invincible gelding ended the run of minor placings when he broke through for his maiden win, here of 1500m. On a Soft 6, he destroyed his rivals as he put more than six lengths on them while carrying 59kgs. He ran the trip out, 1 length quicker than benchmark, setting a new personal best and the best last-start effort here. He also posted the fastest final 800m to 200m sectionals for the race. He steps up in grade today as Tom Sherry takes the reins for the first time. If he can repeat his last-start effort here, it should be back-to-back wins for him today.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 6: No.1 PHAROAH’S REIGN ($3.10 with Palmerbet)
The Team Freedman-trained PHAROAH’S REIGN returns to country racing today and looks much better placed in this company today. Last start, the American Pharoah mare took on the high rollers as connections lined her up in the Group 3 Matron Stakes at Flemington where she was sent out a $61 chance and finished last in the 10-strong field. She still managed to run the 1600m trip out, 5.8 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this field by more than 5 lengths. Prior to that, she dead-heated for victory in a BM68 at Wyong. Up against similar company here, after the claim she carries less weight than that Wyong win as Jasper Franklin gets the job today. Ideally drawn in gate three, he maps to settle just off the pace and back to more suitable class, looks a winning chance here.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 7: No.5 TOMISLAVA ($4.40 with Unibet)
Anthony Cummings saddles-up a couple here as we run with TOMISLAVA who looks the better chance of victory today. Last start, the Smart Missile mare came off an unplaced run in harder company (BM72) at Canterbury when she bounced back to the winner’s circle by taking out a BM64 Hcp over 1100m at Gosford. She ran a new personal best that day, covering the trip, 3.9 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this line-up. She also posted the fastest final 200m sectional for the race. She faces similar company today carrying the same weight and has Josh Parr back for his second ride on the mare. She draws ideally in gate two and rock-hard fit after four starts this preparation, she will play a major role in the outcome of this contest.