Hawkesbury Tips May 4

  • Best bets for each race meeting at Hawkesbury.

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The Maher & Eustace-trained MADAM CHARM made a successful return to the track and looks well placed here to go one better today. Last start, the Charm Spirit filly was resuming from a 16-week break when she lined up in a Kembla Grange Maiden over 1300m. Box-seating from the outset, she was held up momentarily and finished well to beat all but one home that day. She finished the race, 7 lengths over benchmark, the third best effort here. She did beat three of these runners home in the same race. Ideally drawn in gate two today, she maps to be on-pace or possibly take a sit with new that decision resting with new rider Jason Collett. Fitter for that first-up run, she will take some beating here.


Coming off a stiff assignment last start, Warwick Farm galloper ATONEMENT will find this contest a lot easier and looks the one to beat. Last start, the Dundeel filly was first-up off a four-month absence when she was thrown into the deep end and took her place in the Listed South Pacific Stakes (1400m). Never a winning chance (sent out at $101), she raced keenly at the start and settled near the back and never really got hot from there (not against that class, over that distance). Ellsberg led all the way to win by three lengths in the end. Despite being outclassed, she still ran the trip, 3 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best here by 4 lengths and she ran her final 600m, 4 lengths under the standard mark, also the best in this line up. Her last start prior to the break saw her finish third in the Group 3 Grand Prix Stakes (2200m) at Eagle Farm so she is not without ability. Today, she plummets back to Class 1 company at the provincials and has Nash Rawiller in charge. She draws wide but will drop back anyway and look for a sit with cover. Back up to a more suitable distance here, she should be storming home late and prove tough to hold out.


The James Cummings-trained RAISON D’ETRE is first-up today after spending 17 weeks in the paddock, but the indications are she will prove a tough nut to crack, even on fresh legs. Last start, the Exceed And Excel filly finished off her last campaign by running third in a Wyong BM64 on a Heavy 9 that day. She ran her last 600m, 1.8 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this field. She has trialled since, finishing placed in both, with Rachel King in the saddle for the filly’s last trial which was run on this track and saw her finish a close-up second. Both previous first-up runs have ended in top-two finishes, winning her last effort when first-up last preparation. She draws out a little here but has Rachel King backing up from that trial run and she maps to settle mid-field with cover. She also has a personal best for 1100m of finishing 5.7 lengths under benchmark and that too rates number one in this field. The Godolphin filly looks set to go here and will line up a genuine winning chance today.



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