Black Caviar Lightning Tips & Preview 2024
Looking for Black Caviar Lightning tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2024 Black Caviar Lightning at Flemington.
BLACK CAVIAR LIGHTNING BETTING SNAPSHOT
The Kiwi mare, Imperatriz, is a dominant $1.95 favourite with PlayUp for the Black Cave Lightning after her dazzling performances in Melbourne last spring, while the Jo Pride-trained galloper, Private Eye, is at $7. Bella Nipotina is back for another campaign and is at $7.50 alongside I Am Unstoppable, while the Godolphin three-year-old, Cylinder, is at $8.
There are eight acceptances for the $1 million straight-track scamper at headquarters and the Chris Waller-trained Espiona is in the market at $15, while The Astrologist ($41) and Rich Fortune ($101) are the outsiders.
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BLACK CAVIAR LIGHTNING FORM ANALYSIS
Four runners come into this first up, including the two favoured contenders in Mr Brightside and Pride Of Jenni. The latter ran fast time over the mile at Flemington back in November to go a whopping 18.2 lengths faster than standard with Mr Brightstide unable to bridge the gap on the leader, finishing over a length away.
Different circumstances over the 1400m at Flemington with both fresh. Mr Brightside is three from three at the track and trip and that includes a PB Lawrence Stakes (1400m) and a Memsie Stakes (1400m) win at his first two runs last spring. He was first up in the PB Lawrence Stakes and went 12.6 lengths faster than standard.
Pride Of Jenni is yet to win in six attempts when first up and was 6th over the 1400m at Flemington when resuming in the spring, going 7.2 lengths faster than standard. The Ciaron Maher-trained galloper is one of five last start winners in the race.
Veight took on the older horses when resuming at Moonee Valley at Group 2 level and arrived in time to defeat Southport Tycoon. He went a healthy 17.4 lengths faster than standard and is well and truly in the mix. The youngster did a few things wrong when second up at the track and trip last spring, finishing 5th behind Steparty before filling the exacta in the Flemington Guineas (1600m).
Ayrton and Buffalo River come out of the Barton Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on Australia Day with Ayrton enjoying a nice run in transit to score, while Buffalo River led before going down in a blanket finish for 3rd. There should be plenty of speed in this race with Buffalo River and Pride Of Jenni in action.
Munhamek and Atishu are other last start winners. Munhamek provided one of the highlights of 2023 by getting up in the last stride in Damien Oliver’s last race as a jockey. That came in Perth over the 1400m. Atishu is a classy specimen but usually needs a few runs and further ground to produce her best.
Pericles and Bustler are others in the field. Both will probably need to produce a personal best to trouble the likes of Mr Brightside. Pericles was a first up winner over the 1400m at Rosehill in the spring with that coming in easier grade. Bustler is a promising galloper from WA but has been thrown into the deep end.
BLACK CAVIAR LIGHTNING TIPS AND BEST BETS
Hard to tip against Mr Brightside in the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes. The Team Hayes-trained galloper has finished top two in his past eight starts, winning five. He had the answers early on at his last preparation over the 1400m at Flemington and can be excused for going down behind Pride Of Jenni at the tail end of his spring campaign with that performance coming just after his narrow Cox Plate (2040m) loss. Race should pan out well for him with a couple to roll forward and he can stalk them from barrier 4 with Craig Williams in the saddle.