Magic Millions 3YO Guineas Results & Replays
Coolmore Classic Tips & Preview
Looking for Coolmore Classic tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Coolmore Classic at Rosehill.
Coolmore Classic Betting Snapshot
Bit of a reshuffle after the early scratching of Fangirl, who heads to the Phar Lap Stakes (1500m) on the same day. 2022 Coolmore Classic betting sees Espiona head the market with Sportsbet at the $3.50 ahead of Lighthouse at $5.50 and Expat at $7.
Hinged is at $7.50, while Promise Of Success is at $8. Wandabaa ($12), Krone ($17), Vangelic ($21) and Mirra Vision ($21) are the other main fancies in the field of 14 fillies and mares.
Coolmore Classic Form Analysis
One of the key lead up races is the Surround Stakes that was taken out by Hinged on a Heavy track at Randwick on February 26, while Espiona was 3rd with Fangirl just on her heels in 5th. The winner settled handy to the lead and hit the front with 150m to go before edging out Startantes.
Fangirl was the unlucky runner and produced the second fastest last 200m, while Espiona had to shuffle off heels at the 350m mark before running on. Those two meet Hinged 2.5kg better at the weights.
Fangirl had the upper hand over Espiona in the Light Fingers Stakes (1200m) prior to that. Both have drawn much better than recent runs in barrier’s 4 and 5.
Hinged went 11.1 lengths faster than standard benchmark with her win in the Surround Stakes. Those last start figures are bettered by both Promise Of Success and Vangelic, who filled the placings behind Forbidden Love in the Guy Walter Stakes (1400m) on February 26.
The winner out of that has since claimed the Canterbury Stakes and won’t be in action in this race. Promise Of Success has also accepted for the Matron Stakes (1600m) at Flemington.
Both have drawn wide for this. Vangelic might push forward and has a bit of upside as this will be her second run. At her last preparation, the Waterhosue/Bott galloper improved a couple of lengths on benchmark figures at this stage when winning over the 1400m, leading all the way to claim the Golden Pendant.
Mirra Vision and Kiku also come out of the Guy Walter Stakes and will need to improve on what they produced that day.
Lighthouse represents the X-factor and deserves her spot at the top end of the market. She has proven that she is well and truly up to this grade by placing in the Orr Stakes (1400m) at Caulfield before finishing runner-up behind Forbidden Love in the Canterbury Stakes.
The Peter Moody-trained five-year-old 6.6 lengths faster than standard off what was a slow tempo. Earlier this year she went more than 13 lengths faster than standard when winning at Flemington.
With the exception of Polly Grey, they are the best figures that any horse in this race has produced in the past two years.
Expat creates interest and comes off a win in the Millie Fox Stakes (1300m), leading all the way. The Mark Newnham-trained galloper went more than eight lengths faster than standard. Krone comes out of the same race and was 4th. She carries top weight
At the same stage of her last prep she improved to score at Gold Coast before claiming the Guy Walter Stakes/Coolmore Classic double. She carried 57kg to victory in this race last year, going 10.4 lengths faster than standard. The Tony Gollan mare has been allocated top weight of 58kg.
Wandabaa will have her share of admirers and should strike her favoured surface. The five-year-old was second up off a 10 week break last Friday when scoring in the Newcastle Newmarket (1300m).
Who is best suited by the likelihood of a wet track in the Coolmore Classic?
With Rosehill rated a Heavy 10 on Wednesday with some showers to come, we should see a track in the Heavy range. Plenty of the mares fire with the sting out of the ground. Krone is two from three on the Heavy, Polly Grey thrives on anything Soft or worse with 10 wins from 24 starts. Lighthouse is two from three on anything Soft or worse, while Expat is four from five on the Heavy. Wandabaa is two from three and Hinged is unbeaten in two attempts. Espiona is two from two on the Soft and ran 3rd in the Surround Stakes on a Heavy 10.
Coolmore Classic Tips and Best Bets
It is hard to split a number of these, including Lighthouse, Promise Of Success and Expat. Quaddie players might pay to go wide. But I have settled on the three-year-old, Espiona. She is down in the weights and has drawn well. Espiona might just have enough improvement in her and gives the impression she wants the 1600m, while she should enjoy a nice tempo with a number in the large field likely to vie for the lead or a handy position. Her personal best of 11.4 lengths faster than standard came at Flemington last year when romping home at her second start and she hasn’t quite reached that yet in her two run this time in. But dropping to the 50kg and at her third run, she ticks plenty of boxes for mine and the wet track shouldn’t be an issue.
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