Robert Sangster Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
South Australian Derby Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for South Australian Derby (2500m) tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 South Australian Derby at Morphettville.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY BETTING SNAPSHOT
Two runners dominate the market and they are the last start VRC St Leger (2800m) winner, Alegron, who has been posted at the $3 quote with ladbrokes after the barrier draw, just ahead of the unbeaten Detonator Jack at $3.60.
Harleymoven and Jungle Magnate are both at $9, while Yaphet ($15), Commander Harry ($19), Son Of Emperor ($26) and The Nephew ($26) head the rest at the. There are 16 runners with four emergencies.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY FORM ANALYSIS
The youngsters come out of a variety of lead up races and let’s look at the two favoured runners first. Alegron was dominant in the VRC St Leger as a $1.65 favourite, cruising to a two length win and put the writing on the wall with a solid and narrow 3rd in the ATC Derby (2400m) prior to that.
The Godolphin galloper has gone more than five lengths faster than standard in his past two wins and will be out to join last year’s winner, Explosive Jack, as one that raced in Sydney before winning here.
Detonator Jack is a bit of a question mark on figures. His previous personal best is just 2.7 lengths slower than standard, the third worst of any galloper in the field. But we must respect the stable, who were able to win with Russian Camelot two years ago. That horse was jumping from a lowly Cranbourne Benchmark 64 over the 1600m before defeating the likes of Warning and Dalasan in the Derby.
One of the traditional lead up races towards the Derby is the Chairmans Stakes (2000m), which as run last weekend at Morphettville. Four of the past eight winners of the Derby used that as their final lead up but none since Leicester in 2018.
In the Chairmans this year, Jungle Magnate enjoyed a solid tempo to pounce on them and went 10.6 lengths faster than standard, which are the second best figures that any horse in this race has ever produced.
I would be considering that form strongly given that we might get a solid tempo here again in the big field with a few of these likely to try to find a spot after drawing wide barriers, including Son Of Emperor, King Of Pharaohs, Sebastian The Fox and Claidheamh Mor.
Harleymoven produced the best late sectionals to finish runner-up and is the obvious one that should enjoy the stretch out to the 2500m. Pretty massive performance in defeat. Saint Tropez stuck on ok for 3rd but it is hard to have the others that dropped out of it.
Best last start and overall benchmark figures come from Yaphet, who heads over after running 4th behind Elzamee in a Super Vobis race at Caulfield over the 2000m last Saturday. The Cliff Brown-trained galloper was 4th behind Elzamee, producing the fastest last 600m, 400m and 200m to go 11.2 lengths faster than standard.
SOUTH AUSTRALIAN DERBY TIPS AND BEST BETS
Taking on the big stables here and the two that I am keen on at the price are Harleymoven and Yaphet. They have both shown in their respective lead ups that they are up to the mark and loved the way they finished off at Morphettville and Caulfield last weekend. Both have drawn double digit barriers but am banking on the fact that there should be an even tempo or better. This will allow them a nice cart into the race. No knock on the favourites, who are also both in the mix but like the others at the price.
