Doomben 10000 Tips & Preview 2024
Looking for Doomben 10000 tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2024 Doomben 10000 at Doomben.
DOOMBEN 10000 BETTING SNAPSHOT
I Wish I Win is the dominant $2 favourite with BlueBet for the Doomben 10000 ahead of the Ciaron Maher-trained Bella Nipotina, who has firmed into $5 with a Heavy track expected to suit. Espiona is at $7, while Private Eye is at $8.
There are nine contenders in action for the $1.5 million race and the TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) winner, Chain Of Lightning, is at $8.50 ahead of Mazu at $14. Wee Messy ($23) and Stefi Magnetica ($26) are given some hope, while Boby Bob is at the cricket score odds of $126.
DOOMBEN 10000 FORM ANALYSIS
I Wish I Win comes into this with six weeks in between runs after placing a narrow 3rd in the TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) at Randwick back on April 6 behind Chain Of Lightning. The Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman-trained galloper was first up that day and settled three-wide with cover before closing off well in what was a blanket finish.
Chain Of Lightning was able to sneak up on the inside at the top of the straight after what was a slowly run first half. She had plenty of petrol at the business end and was able to hold them at bay to go 7.7 lengths faster than standard benchmark. The stablemate of I Wish I Win has since finished 6th on a deteriorating track in the All-Aged Stakes (1400m) at Randwick.
Bella Nipotina was runner-up in the TJ Smith and has since headed west for a crack at the $5 million The Quokka (1200m), placing 4th behind Overpass after being posted wide the trip. The consistent six-year-old will always provide a contest and some of her best performances have come on the Heavy. She went 6.5 lengths faster than standard last time.
Mazu comes in with the best last start benchmark figures of any runner, having gone 10.2 lengths faster than standard when claiming the Hall Mark Stakes (1200m) at Randwick on April 20. The Jo Pride-trained galloper had a stack of excuses in the TJ Smith Stakes prior to that and is another that comes into it if the track holds its Heavy rating.
Espiona probably wants the track to improve and didn’t handle the going when 7th in the All-Aged Stakes. She was the luckless runner in the TJ Smith Stakes when 6th behind Chain Of Lightning, beaten less than a length.
Wee Nessy is an up and comer from the Mick Price & Michael Kent Junior stable that comes in with this with a recent Brisbane run under the belt, finishing runner-up behind Antino in the Victory Stakes (1200m), going eight lengths faster than standard. She also likes the wet and will tuck in just behind them from barrier 2.
Stefif Magnetica brings a bit of X-factor as a three-year-old filly and comes into this on the fresh side after narrowly missing out in the Surround Stakes (1400m) back in March. Boby Bob will battle at this level.
DOOMBEN 10000 TIPS AND BEST BETS
It is hard to go past I Wish I Win in the Doomben 10000. The five-year-old is certainly the most consistent of the sprinters and has been placed well by the Moody/Coleman stable. The six weeks in between runs is a recipe that nearly came off last year heading into the Everest (1200m), when a luckless runner-up behind Think About It. He loves tracks in the Soft to Heavy range and we should see enough pace in this race with Private Eye, Mazu and Boby Bob to head forward. That should ensure he gets his chance from barrier 9 with James McDonald sticking on board.