Winterbottom Stakes Results & Replays
Northerly Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Northerly Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Northerly Stakes at Ascot.
NORTHERLY STAKES BETTING SNAPSHOT
Cascadian and Amelia’s Jewel are the two favoured runners with Palmerbet at the $2.90 and $3.20 respectively, while Bustler is the only other runner under double figures odds and is $9.
A host of runners come out of the Railway Stakes, including the unlucky, Treasured Star, who is at $11 ahead of the Railway winner, Trix Of The Trade, at $13. Alaskan God is at $14 and Steinem, who comes over from the east, is at $15. God Has Chosen heads the rest at the $34.
NORTHERLY STAKES FORM ANALYSIS
Cascadian has some superb form and should be tough to beat. The Godolphin galloper has mixed it with the best this spring and comes off a last start 5th in the Champions Mile (1600m) at Flemington on November 5, beaten just under two lengths. He destroyed his opposition prior to that in slightly weaker class at Randwick over the 1800m.
The eight-year-old has gone more than nine lengths faster than standard in his five runs this preparation. At the same stage of the autumn he was a winner in the All Aged Stakes (1400m) at Randwick and it is hard to find a fault in his form. James McDonald will navigate from the tricky barrier and worth pointing out that the stable were successful last weekend in the Winterbottom Stakes (1200m).
Amelia’s Jewel is the most favoured of the locals and overcame a slow tempo to score in the WA Guineas (1600m) on November 19. She went just 1.8 lengths faster than standard but came home in 11.16 seconds over the last 200m. Her personal best was 6.9 lengths faster than standard when runner-up at her start prior.
Bustler is the other to come out of the WA Guineas and landed in the runner-up slot behind Amelia’s Jewel. He looked the winner but was bloused late. That was the first defeat of his five-start career.
Nine of the field of 15 come out of the Railway Stakes and it was Trix Of The Trade that went 6.2 lengths faster than standard to capture the Group 1. He settled midfield and was strong late in the piece. The son of Trade Fair rises 5.5kg in weight, going from a handicap to weight-for-age but is nine from 14 and will be strong late.
Treasured Star is a possible improver and settled back after drawing wide before enduring a chequered run in the straight to finish 6th, beaten three lengths. Willie Pike sticks on board and the pair have drawn much better this time around.
Others to consider out of the Railway are Startrade, who finished 3rd and produced the fastest last 200m. Alaskan God headed into the Railway as one of the favoured runners and could only manage 10th. Might be worth forgiving the WATC Derby (2400m) winner as he was wide before pulling up with a poor recovery.
Steinem represents a bit of X-factor and is another that comes over from the eastern seaboard after finishing runner-up in the Matriarch Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on Champions Day. The Maher/Eustace galloper struck a Good track for the first time since 2021, finishing runner-up in the Group affair, going a healthy 12.8 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which are the best last start figures of any runner and a couple of lengths superior to what Cascadian produced on the same day.
NORTHERLY STAKES TIPS AND BEST BETS
Cascadian is a clear top pick in the last Group 1 of the calendar year. He comes in with some excellent credentials and is versatile enough to perform in Perth, whilst deep into his preparation and from the wide barrier. Steinem might be the best roughie in the race and can make it a quinella for the visitors. The daughter of Frankel draws well in barrier 4 and was a winner at her previous fourth up run in the Summoned Stakes (1600m) last year.
