Robert Sangster Stakes Tips & Preview 2022

in Robert Sangster Stakes 4 May 2022

Looking for Robert Sangster Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Robert Sangster Stakes at Morphettville

ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES TIPS & PREVIEW

Plenty of chances with the fillies and mares chasing Group 1 glory at Morphettville and it is the last start William Reid Stakes (1200m) winner, September Run, that heads the market with Ladbrokes at the $4.80 quote, just ahead of Bella Nipotina at $6.

Argentia and Brooklyn Hustle are both at $9, while Away Game has been a slight drifter in the early betting at $10. Last year’s Robert Sangster Stakes winner, Instant Celebrity, is at $11, while Heresy ($13), Snapdancer ($13) and the 2020 winner, Bella Vella ($15), head the rest.

ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES FORM ANALYSIS

The Robert Sangster Stakes always tends to assemble a group of fillies and mares together from various races around Australia. We tend to see some of the best of the locals, while some come over to South Australia from the tail-end of the Melbourne and Sydney autumn carnivals.

This years edition shapes as no exception and the race favourite, September Run, is one of seven in the race that had their last start in Victoria. They all come out of separate races.

September Run looks back to the form that saw her sparkle as a three-year-old and settled midfield in the William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley before swamping them late in the piece. She was 3rd when fresh in the Newmarket Handicap (1200m), going 11.6 lengths faster than standard before going 9.7 lengths faster at the Valley.

Third up she tends to hold her figures and her career peak came at this stage of her preparation in the spring of 2020 when going 14 lengths faster than standard when winning over the 1100m at Flemington.

Argentia and Brooklyn Hustle are the other fancies that cross over from Victoria. Brooklyn Hustle ran on as she always does at her most recent start, which was in the $500,000 Country Discovery (1100m) at Sale on Good Friday. She finished just ahead of Away Game in the Galaxy (1100m) at Randwick at her start prior to that.

Away Game comes in with seven weeks in between runs and gets back on top of the ground. That seems to be the formula for the Maher/Eustace galloper, who went 16.5 lengths faster than standard two starts ago off a similar break. That came in the Oakleigh Plate (1100m) behind Marabi, who has since missed out behind September Run.

Snapdancer is the second of the Maher/Eustace gallopers and comes in with two months in between runs after battling in the Newmarket at Flemington. She was excellent prior to that went smashing Promise Of Success in the Triscay Stakes and it one to keep an eye on the market.

Argentia is one of four horses aged three in the race and will be out to join Instant Celebrity and Shoals (2018) as a recent fillies to have won the Sangster. The three-year-olds represent plenty of X-factor.

Argentia drops back to the 1200m and her best figure came over that trip when resuming at Caulfield this time in, going 11.7 lengths faster than standard before missing over longer trips.

Champagne Dreams claimed the recent Redelva Stakes, while Heresy was 5th. Instant Celebrity was 4th in that race last year. Suspect that Heresy needs the wet and her best figures came on the bog at Sydney earlier this prep.

Gimmie Par creates a bit of interest. She is the other of the three-year-olds and did go 10.3 lengths faster than standard at her most recent run when 3rd behind Midwest in the VOBIS Gold Dash (1100m), while she is unbeaten in two other starts the anti-clockwise way of going.

One of the key local lead ups is the Irwin Stakes (1100m), a race that has produced two of the last nine winners of this race. The 2020 Robert Sangster Stakes winner, Bella Vella, got the upper hand on last year’s winner, Instant Celebrity, in the Irwin this year. The winner was fresh and allowed to dictate on a slow tempo, while Instant Celebrity produced the fastest 400m-200m split before just peaking on her run.

She improved more than seven lengths on figures at this stage last year when claiming the Sangster. Worth noting that Bella Vella has been a big improver second up on figures in the past. She has just the one win over the 1200m from five starts. That was in this race when allowed to get away with some cheap sectionals up in front.

Bella Nipotina had her most recent start in Sydney, taking out the Sapphire Stakes (1200m). That race has produced two of the past five winners of the Sangster in Spright in 2019 and Secret Agenda in 2017. She went three lengths faster than standard that day but is more than capable of getting out to double digits if required.

Another to consider is Chaillot, who drops in trip after running 6th at Flemington over the 1400m on March 12. She comes in with eight weeks in between runs and is one for one over the distance.

ROBERT SANGSTER STAKES TIPS & BEST BETS

Great race with plenty of chances. Not sure I completely trust September Run but her form is hard to knock this time around, while her best performances have been over the 1200m. Bella Vella, Snapdancer, All Banter and Champagne Dreams all like to bowl along and there should be at least an even tempo here, which should suit the Waller mare who has drawn perfectly in barrier 5 with Craig Williams to ride. He has piloted her to four of her six wins. The race might also pan out for Instant Celebrity, who has drawn a fraction awkwardly in barrier 12. Might throw her into quaddies and multiples. Away Game is a great contender for a top three position after drawing barrier 1. You could also make a case for the three-year-olds and best value in the race for mine is Gimmie Par, who is worth a bit of a throw at the stumps at the big odds.