Ranvet Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Rosehill Guineas Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Rosehill Guineas tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Rosehill Guineas at Rosehill.
ROSEHILL GUINEAS BETTING SNAPSHOT
The three-year-olds will be out for Group 1 glory in the Rosehill Guineas (2000m) and it is Anamoe that is favoured to turn the tables on Converge after going down to that horse in the Randwick Guineas (1600m).
The Cox Plate (2040m) runner-up from 2021 is at the $2 quote with NEDS after the barrier draw, while Converge is at $3.70. Profondo at $5 and Forgot You at $9 are the other main fancies. A field of nine are in action and it is Sinba that heads the rest at $26.
ROSEHILL GUINEAS FORM ANALYSIS
Four of the field of nine come out of the Randwick Guineas. Converge was third up that day and settled 5th early on before hitting the lead with 300m to go and hanging on from Anamoe, who produced the fastest splits over the last 600m.
The winner went 7.4 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which was a personal best. He comes into this fourth up and at his only other run at this stage he was 3rd as a two-year-old in the Champagne Stakes (1600m) last autumn.
Anamoe finished runner-up in the Cox Plate at this stage last spring, going 13.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark. He should have improvement to come and looks as though he wants the 2000m.
Forgot You bumped into Anamoe in the Caulfield Guineas (1600m) last spring, running 6th in that race before going seven lengths faster than standard benchmark when claiming the Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) on the same day that Anamoe just missed in the Cox Plate.
The Victorian was 4th in the recent Australian Guineas behind Hitotsu, going 11.3 lengths faster than standard. Profondo was first up in that race and jumped as a $4.80 favourite but had a complete forget run when posted wide without cover throughout.
I wouldn’t have minded seeing him land a little closer at the finish though. His fans can take solace in the fact that he is the only Group 1 winner over the 2000m in this field, having taken out the Spring Champion Stakes at Randwick last spring at what was just his third career start. The Richard Litt-trained galloper went eight lengths faster than standard that day when defeating Never Been Kissed by three lengths. Those four are the major fancies in the market.
Can there be an upset?
No other runner has gone more than five lengths faster than standard and will need to set a personal best to be a factor. Raging Bull and Sinba were 6th and 8th respectively in the Randwick Guineas.
Raging Bull settled on speed before fading, while Sinba didn’t run on from the tail. The latter should appreciate a firmer track and is unbeaten in two starts on the Good.
Hard to make any sort of case for the others. Sword Point has come in from $81 to $61 just hours after the barrier draw and is one for Chris Waller. Mediaro is at $51, while cricket score odds are available for Three Wise Men.
ROSEHILL GUINEAS TIPS AND BEST BETS.
Anamoe is clearly the one for me. He will be much better over the 2000m and can turn the tables on Converge. Too many doubts around Profondo for mine, while I suspect Anamoe has the edge on Forgot You. He accounted for that horse in the Caulfield Guineas, while the figures out of the Moonee Valley meeting on Cox Plate day are superior. James McDonald rides and should be within striking distance as they round the home turn.
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