Rosehill Guineas Tips & Preview 2022
George Ryder Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for George Ryder Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 George Ryder Stakes at Rosehill.
GEORGE RYDER STAKES BETTING SNAPSHOT
It shapes as an open George Ryder Stakes this year and five runners are under the double figure odds in early markets with bet365 after the barrier draw. Mo’unga is a slight favourite at the $4.40 quote, just ahead of Forbidden Love at $4.60, while the dual acceptor, Converge, is at $5.50. The latter has also accepted for the Rosehill Guineas (2000m)
The Godolphin mare, Colette, is at $7, while Private Eye is at $8.50. Laws Of Indices ($16), Hilal ($19), Hungry Heart ($23) and Bankers Choice ($34) head the likes of Kolding, Dalasan and Riodini (all $41).
GEORGE RYDER STAKES FORM ANALYSIS
Five runners come out of the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes (1300m) that was held on a Heavy track at Randwick on March 5. Forbidden Love was the dominant winner that day, scoring by nearly two lengths from Lighthouse, while there was a two length gap back to Private Eye.
Forbidden Love was on the one week back-up after scoring on the Heavy in the Guy Walter Stakes (1400m). The mare from the Richard and Michael Freedman camp might not quite get the Heavy 10 this time but should get something with give.
She went 8.4 lengths faster than standard in the Canterbury Stakes and 14.4 lengths faster the week prior. The latter figures are better than what any horse in this race has produced in the past two years.
Can any of the beaten brigade turn things around on what should be a slightly better track?
Private Eye was first up that day and did run a bit of an eye-catcher, producing the fastest 400m-200m split before just peaking on his run. He comes into it with a solid tempo and came from a mile back when taking out the Epsom Mile (1600m) last spring, going 13 lengths faster than standard. But he battled at Kembla Grange when second up over the 1300m.
Kolding was a game 4th in the Canterbury Stakes but probably needs a dry track to fire. He might be back to somewhere near his best but needs to be. Dalasan and Laws Of Indices were 6th and 7th and well beaten but did have a couple of excuses.
Mo’unga is classy and heads back up to Sydney after going 10.7 lengths faster than standard when resuming with a runner-up performance behind Sierra Sue in the Futurity Stakes (1400m). He defied the tempo that day to produce the fastest last 200m and at his last campaign he was a slight improver on figures when going from a win at Randwick when first up in the Winx Stakes (1400m) to a runner-up behind Incentivise in the Maybe Diva Stakes (1600m).
He is two from two at Rosehill and has performed well on wet tracks in the past, taking out the Rosehill Guineas (2000m) on Soft going at this meeting in 2021.
Colette was a fraction disappointing when 8th in the Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m) at her last run but did have a chequered run and copped a bit of a knock in the run. She was a third up winner against the mares in Melbourne last spring over the 1400m before taking out the Group 1 Empire Rose Stakes (1600m).
Converge is expected to head to the Rosehill Guineas but is a threat if he runs in this. The three-year-old knocked over Anamoe in the recent Randiwck Guineas (1600m).
Hungry Heart comes in with five weeks in between runs having placed 4th in the Apollo Stakes (1400m) behind Think It Over when resuming. Colette was runner-up that day. Hungry Heart was 4th when second up last spring in the George Main Stakes and is another that comes into it if the pace is on.
Hilal is the second of the three-year-olds and just missed behind Anamoe in the Hobartville Stakes (1400m) two starts ago before not quite seeing out the 1600m in the Randwick Guineas when 3rd. He will probably need to produce a personal best against the older horses.
GEORGE RYDER STAKES TIPS AND BEST BETS
Pace should be genuine enough here with the likes of Kolding and Riodini to go forward, while Dalasan and Forbidden Love will sit just off that pair. Colette and Mo’unga have drawn perfectly in barrier’s 3 and 4 respectively and are likely to tuck into a midfield spot, while Hilal, Private Eye and Hungry Heart are among those that will be further back. You could make a case for a few of these and the consistency that Mo’unga shows is a big tick. He has performed against the best for a long time now and will improve off his first up run. Quaddie players might be worth considering a few roughies and Hungry Heart is one that can show up at a bit of a price, especially if there is pace in the race. She likes it at Rosehill and things might set up nicely for her. She produced the fastest last 200m when 4th to Verry Ellegant at this stage in the spring. That came off a similar break and I expect her to be running on strongly late in the piece.
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