Caulfield Guineas Results & Replays
Thousand Guineas Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Thousand Guineas tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Thousand Guineas at Caulfield.
THOUSAND GUINEAS BETTING SNAPSHOT
It is the dominant Thousand Guineas Prelude (1400m) winner, Boogie Dancer, that has been installed as the $3.50 favourite with ladbrokes ahead of the Kiwi galloper, She’s Licketysplit at the $4.50.
North Star Lass comes down from Sydney after placing 3rd in the Flight Stakes and is at $5.50, while Russian Conquest ($8) and Madame Pommery ($9) are others in single figures. Tajneed ($13) and Revolutionary Miss ($19) head the rest of the 11-horse field.
THOUSAND GUINEAS FORM ANALYSIS
Boogie Dancer took out the Thousand Guineas Prelude by more than three lengths from Sumatra on what was a Heavy 8 track, while She’s Lickety Split ran 3rd after settling three deep and without cover throughout.
The winner went 6.7 lengths faster than standard benchmark and settled towards the tail before making her move as they cornered. She was second up off a six-week break after winning the VOBIS Gold Ingot (1400m) ahead of Berkeley Square on a Soft 5 track back in July. The Peter Moody-trained galloper comes in with more than three lengths in between runs.
She’s Licketysplit has since gone on to claim the Edward Manifold Stakes (1600m) at Flemington and improved to go 10.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is better than what any horse in this race has produced.
The Andrew Forsman filly had a nice run in transit that day and took over at the business end to defeat Typhoon Titmus. Tajneed and Moko are others to come out of the Manifold.
Tajneed finished 3rd at what was just her second career start. The Peter & Paul Snowden-trained galloper might have some upside and was held up in the early part of the straight before producing the second fastest last 200m. Moko was also held up but looked a bit outclassed, finishing 7th.
The Jim Moloney Stakes (1400m) is another key lead up with five runners coming out of the Sandown Listed race that was held on September 25. Waltz On By settled on pace to claim that race, going five lengths faster than standard to defeat Jenny Jerome, while Russian Conquest (4th), Revolutionary Miss (7th) and She’s Pretty Rich (11th) were among the beaten brigade.
Of that group, Jenny Jerome might be the one to appreciate the step up to the 1600m and produced the fastest last 200m, while Russian Conquest landed within half a length and didn’t enjoy much room at the top of the straight. Revolutionary Miss was forced to settle back and also made good ground.
Not sure if this is the form but the fillies ran quicker time than the three-year-olds colts and geldings that day in a race that Elliptical came out of. He has since finished runner-up in the Caulfield Guineas.
Two runners come down from Sydney and we must respect the Flight Stakes (1600m) form. North Star Lass led that day and might give them something to chase. The Waterhouse-Bott filly went 4.1 lengths faster than standard. 1600m might be the query. Madame Pommery was 6th and well beaten but didn’t seem to appreciate the Heavy. Likely to get a track in the Good range on Wednesday.
THOUSAND GUINEAS TIPS AND BEST BETS
Expect North Star Lass and Waltz On By to take up the running, while Tajneed and She’s Lickety Split won’t be too far away in the run. Luke Nolen draws barrier 6 on Boogie Dancer and will keep that quartet in his sights. The others like to settle midfield or worse. She’s Licketysplit has produced some good figures in the interim at Flemington but I am sticking with Boogie Dancer. The daughter of Sooboog will get a drier track this time around but was strong to the line in the Prelude and hard to tip against her with that three length margin on the rest. Another to consider is Tajneed. She has opened up at each-way odds and was impressive at Flemington at her second start. Look for her to be running on.
