Townsville Preview & Best Bets - Thursday October 6
Caulfield Preview & Best Bets – Saturday October 8
Our form expert provides Caulfield tips for today’s horse racing at Caulfield Racecourse and gives his best bets.
Caulfield Tips 8/10/2022
BEST BET 🏆
Race 9 No. 5 I WISH I WIN- ($2.80)
Best Bet comes up in the Toorak Handicap and I WISH I WIN can go on with the job after two emphatic wins in Australia. The former Kiwi had four lengths on Gentleman Roy when winning first up over the 1400m at Caulfield and is just 1kg worse at the weights. Last time out he claimed the Testa Rossa Stakes (1300m) at Sandown, overcoming a bit of traffic in the straight. He comes in with the best last start benchmark figures of any runner in this field after going 12.6 lengths faster than standard benchmark when claiming the Testa Rossa Stakes, while the pETER Moody-trained galloper is racing like the 1600m shouldn’t be a problem. Look for Luke Nolen to camp in the three-wide line, which might be the place to be at Caulfield on Saturday. Expect him to be strong late in the piece.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 7 No. 7 ANAMOE- ($2.40)
ANAMOE gets back to Victoria for the first time since finishing runner-up in the Cox Plate (2040m) last year as a three-year-old and heads into the Might And Power Stakes third up after wins in the Winx Stakes (1400m) and the George Main Stakes (1600m) at Randwick. The Godolphin galloper settled handy in the George Main on Soft going before exerting authority as a $1.65 favourite to defeat Icebath and Hinged, going 6.4 lengths faster than standard benchmark. That came off a very slow tempo. His peak figure came when third up last year, going 16.6 lengths faster than standard when claiming the Caulfield Guineas (1600m) before his near miss in the Cox Plate. Runs have been spaced this time around and unless we get to a genuine Heavy I expect him to race into Cox Plate favouritism.
BEST VALUE 💰(EACH-WAY)
Race 9 No. 10 POINT NEPEAN – ($12)
Best Value comes up in the Herbert Power Stakes and POINT NEPEAN can improve after finishing 9th behind High Emocean at Flemington on September 10. The Robert Hickmott-trained galloper was first up off a break that day and led at a solid tempo before just fading late. The son of Camelot went 10.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which are the second best last start figures of any runner. In the autumn he improved five lengths on figures when going from a runner-up over the 2400m in a BenchMark 64 to a win over the 2400m in a BM84. The progressive type then booked a Melbourne Cup (3200m) birth by claiming the Andrew Ramsden Stakes (2800m) at Flemington. He drops down to the 55kg for this and is two from three in Soft conditions.
