Geelong Preview & Best Bets – Thursday September 29

Adam Cusworth

in Bets of the Day 29 Sep 2022

Our form expert provides Geelong tips for today’s horse racing at Geelong Racecourse and gives his best bets.

Geelong Tips 29/09/2022

BEST BET 🏆

Race 1 No. 10 FOXY CLEOPATRA- ($3.20)

The Busuttin & Young stable have a strong hand in the opener with Starianne and FOXY CLEOPATRA and I am going with the latter after she produced an impressive performance on debut at Sandown over the 1300m on September 14. On that occasion, the filly settled worse than midfield before taking a bit of time to wind up in the straight, eventually running on for 3rd behind Tajneed. She went just two lengths slower than standard, which is better than what any horse in this race has produced. Step up to the 1700m looks right up her alley and she just needs to find a spot early on from the barrier.

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 5 No. 7 DAKARAI- ($4.40)

This looks to be a suitable assignment for DAKARAI. The Wendy Kelly-trained galloper has had three starts for two minor placings and a last start effort that saw him run 4th at Sandown over the 1300m, beaten less than two lengths. The three-year-old raced a tad keenly early on in that race, settling up front before just running out of steam late in the piece behind The Deputy. He improved to go 3.6 lengths slower than standard, which are the best last start benchmark figures of any runner in this race. A couple of unknowns with some debutants in action here but Damien Oliver sticks on board and the drop back to the 1147m looks like it will suit.

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 6 No. 3 CHARTRES- ($3.60)

MURRAMI EXPRESS can go one spot better than a first up effort that saw him finish runner-up at Sandown over the 1200m on September 11. On that occasion, the four-year-old led them up and looked the winner, only to be run down late by Miss Jennifer. He was a second up winner at Geelong early in his career and at his last preparation, the son of Shamexpress improved nearly 14 lengths on benchmark figures when second up to finish runner-up at Sandown. He then went 9.2 lengths faster than standard when again runner-up at Sandown behind Megamea in what turned out to be a very solid form race. He has the speed to cross from the wide barrier and he should be very hard to run down late in the piece.

BEST VALUE 💰(EACH-WAY)

Race 9 No. 12 BILLY MAV- ($26)

Looking for a bit of value here and BILLY MAV that should be an improver, provided he can sneak into the field as the first emergency. The Paul Preusker-trained galloper stepped out off an 11-week break at Warracknabeal on August 27 and tackled the 1200m, running 8th behind Nicotera. The seven-year-old settled well back that day before producing the second fastest last 400m. He improved 11 lengths on benchmark figures when second up in the autumn to finish runner-up at Warracknabeal. The son of Jimmy Choux is worth thought at the odds.