Hong Kong Preview & Best Bets – Saturday January 21

Hong Kong Preview & Best Bets – 20/04/2024

 

Hong Kong Tips 21/01/2023

Our form expert provides Hong Kong tips for today’s horse racing at Sha Tin Racecourse and gives his best bets.

 

BEST BET 🏆

Race 3:  No.6  BEAUTY LIVE  ($2 with Ladbrokes)

The Frankie Lor-trained BEAUTY LIVE is three starts back now and should be ready to win. Last start, the Shamus Award gelding drew wide, forcing Karis Teetan to drop back to the tail for a decent sit. On straightening, he had one behind him and still eight lengths of the leader but stormed home to finish fourth, just over a length from the major prize. He ran the trip out, 9.2 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best here by more than 5 lengths and set a new personal best as well. He has had a different rider for all three starts since resuming and today gets another one with premiership leader Zac Purton taking the reins for the first time. Already a four-time winner at the track, he should be at his peak now and ready to pounce.

 

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 9:  No.4  FIVE G PATCH  ($2.40 with Neds)

Tony Cruz saddles-up FIVE G PATCH here who is fourth-up ticks enough boxes to suggest he is a genuine contender today. Last start, the Camelot gelding improved even further with more racing when he beat all but one home in a Class 3 Hcp, here over 2200m. He sat second-last most of the way and saved his best for the run home where he finished strongly enough to grab second prize that night. He ran his last 600m, 4.3 lengths quicker than benchmark, second-best to S J Tourbillon who is yet to make the podium in four starts at the track and distance. He gets the gun-run from gate one today and has Hugh Bowman sticking with him after that eye-catching last start.
Fitter for three runs back, he should be at his peak for this and will be hard to hold out today.

 

BEST VALUE 💰 

Race 10:  No.11  YOUTHFUL DEAL  ($6.50 with bet365)

Frankie Lor and Vince Ho combine here in an attempt to get YOUTHFUL DEAL across the line (at odds) today. Last start, the Deep Field gelding came off a win here in a 14-strong Class 4 Hcp when he stepped up in grade and faced Class 3 company for the first time. Coming from well back on straightening, he hit the line hard to finish third, beaten less than a length on the line. That was Vince Ho’s first ride on the four-year-old and he returns today for another crack at it. He ran that trip out, 5.9 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this field by more than 2 lengths and posted the fastest final 400m and 200m sectionals as well. All his stats shine brighter than the odds-on favourite (Beauty Eternal) who is resuming today and draws the car park in gate 12 (of 13). There’s value to be had here with Lor’s galloper who looks by far the better investment in this contest.