Morphettville Preview & Best Bets - November 5
Kempsey Preview & Best Bets – Friday November 4
Kempsey Tips 04/11/2022
Our form expert provides Kempsey tips for today’s horse racing at Kempsey Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 5: No.2 FOUR EGOS ($4.60 with Palmerbet)
Taree galloper FOUR EGOS is in a purple patch of form this preparation and down in grade today will take beating here. Last start, the Casino Prince gelding came off consecutive runner-up finishes and went one better when he took out a Class 2 Hcp over 1400m at Grafton with Brooke Stower in the saddle. Fourth-up that day, he ran his last 600m, 1.7 lengths slower than benchmark, still the best in this field. Ideally drawn in gate two, he gets the favours from there as he maps to be in the first half-dozen on settling. Stower sticks with him today and with a trouble-free run here, he can get the job done.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 4: No.3 VANBARI ($4.80 with Palmerbet)
The Kris Lees-trained VANBARI returns from a city-class hit-out today and will appreciate the easier assignment here. Last start, the Vancouver gelding took up his usual role of pacemaker and simply couldn’t match it with them, finishing unplaced in the BM72 Hcp on the Kensington track at Randwick. He covered the trip, 2.1 lengths slower than benchmark, still more than four lengths better than his opposition here. Darryl McLellan is reunited with the five-year-old today after steering him to victory when they were together last time. With other early pacemakers in the race, the jury is out on whether he takes them on today but he still maps to settle on speed here. At his peak today, he is capable of setting an even pace and back in country class, he can prove hard to run down.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 7: No.8 BEAR THE CROWN ($11 with bet365)
The Barry Ratcliff-trained BEAR THE CROWN is in career-best form this time in and is capable of giving this contest a real fright at odds today. Last start, the Olympic Glory mare bounced back from a poor showing in the Hastings Cup when she took out a BM58 Hcp over 1506m at Port Macquarie with new rider Georgina McDonnell on board. On a Heavy 10 that day, she drew wide (gate 10 of 11) but still finished best to take home the chocolates. This is a little harder but she has plenty going for her here. McDonnell remains in the saddle and drawn far better in gate three, maps to settle right behind the speed. Back on her home track today, she is already a two-time winner here and with a clear run to the line, she can figure in the finish at (currently) double-figure odds. She is well worth an each-way ticket today.
