Muswellbrook Preview & Best Bets – Monday October 17
Muswellbrook Tips 17/10/2022
Our form expert provides Muswellbrook tips for today’s horse racing at Muswellbrook Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 6: No.4 HARD TO DISMISS ($5 with Palmerbet)
Scone-based galloper HARD TO DISMISS is in career-best form of late and looks the one to beat in this contest. Last start, the All Too Hard mare came off a hat-trick of minor placings when she broke that run by winning a Class 1 Hcp over 1400m at Tamworth. She ran her last 600m, 3.7 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this line-up by more than 3 lengths. She also recorded the fastest final 800m to 200m sectionals for the race. She drops in weight today and has Mitchell Bell sticking with her here and with both career-wins coming on soft tracks, conditions today look ideal. With a trouble-free run, she will take beating here.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 2: No.3 MISS SANTORINI ($3.80 with Unibet)
The Kris Lees-trained MISS SANTORINI is second-up today and with conditions to suit, we should be seeing big improvement from her in this contest. Last start, the Eurozone mare resumed from a lengthy 23-week break when she finished mid-field in a BM58 Hcp over 1206m on a heavy Port Macquarie track. Clearly in need of the run, nothing went her way that day as she drew gate 11 (of 12) and is not known for her first-up performances. Up against her own sex today, the experienced Kobe Jennings has the job and gets the favours from gate two where she maps to be parked right behind the pace. Fitter for that first-up run, she can take this one out with a clear run to the line.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 3: No.1 PRIZE DRAW ($3.10 with Ladbrokes)
The Michael Freedman-trained PRIZE DRAW has had mixed results this time in but sporting a gear change today, looks up to the job here and should give us a bold sight. Last start, the well-bred Dundeel mare was fourth-up and proved to be a little disappointing when finishing mid-field in a BM64 Hcp over 1500m at Newcastle. She couldn’t go with them when they sprinted and ended up five lengths behind the winner that day. Freedman takes the blinkers off today and puts the winkers back on her, hoping that will get her mind back on the job. Her last win was three starts back when she was steered to her maiden win by Rory Hutchings, who has returned for today’s assignment. This looks a little easier and rock-hard fit after four runs, she should be ready to put on a show for us today.