Muswellbrook Preview & Best Bets – Sunday October 30

Muswellbrook Preview & Best Bets – 19/02/2024

 

Muswellbrook Tips 30/10/2022

Our form expert provides Muswellbrook tips for today’s horse racing at Muswellbrook Racecourse and gives his best bets.

 

BEST BET 🏆

Race 3:  No.10  TAFIKA  ($2.80 with bet365)

Almost half the field are gone here (through early scratchings), leaving the Brett Cavanough-trained Tafika an even easier task to claim victory here today. Last start, the Tavistock mare made it three-straight top-two finishes when she beat all but one home in a Class 1 contest, here over 1450m. That was her first start for Cavanough since transferring over from the Ciaron Maher stables. She ran the last 600m, 4.7 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best here by 2 lengths. She also posted the fastest final 800m to 200m sectionals, and ran the last 200m in 10:88secs, the only runner to break 11 secs in the race. Aaron Bullock sticks with her here as she gets the gun-run from gate one. This looks no harder and she can claim her first victory for her new stable here.

 

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 6:  No.9  LEADING LADY  ($5 with Palmerbet)

With most boxes ticked for this contest, the Paul Perry-trained LEADING LADY looks a genuine contender for victory here. Last start, the Maurice mare was fourth-up when she came from last on the turn to grab third prize in a strong BM72 over the mile at Canterbury. On a Heavy 10 that day, she ran the trip out, half a length quicker than benchmark, the best last-start effort in this field by 6 lengths. That was also anew personal best for the four-year-old. Perry has made some gear changes today as he puts the tongue tie on for the first time and fits the lugging bit back on as well. Returning to country class racing and dropping in grade, she looks well-weighted for this (56.5kgs) and drawn the fence today, she will take beating.

 

BEST VALUE 💰 

Race 7:  No.7  TIMEROX  ($9 with bet365)

If he can overcome jumping from the car park today, TIMEROX could play a role in the finish at good odds here. Last start, the Time For War gelding was second-up after almost 18 months off the scene when he finished third in a BM58 over 1300m at Armidale. On a Heavy 10 that day, he drew the outside gate (12) and crossed to settle second, outside the leader. On real bog that day, he looked gone for all money as they turned but battled on strongly to beat all but two of them to the line (where the outside fence was the place to be in the going). Fitter for two runs back, both career wins have come on wet tracks so conditions today are ideal. If can cross and settle early from his wide draw, he still looks a chance at victory today.