Flemington Preview & Best Bets – 07/10/2023
Our form expert provides Flemington tips for today’s horse racing at Flemington Racecourse and gives his best bets.
Flemington Tips 07/10/2023
BEST BET 🏆
Race 8 No. 1 ROMANTIC WARRIOR- ($2.15)
ROMANTIC WARRIOR is world class and the only question mark heading into the Turnbull Stakes is over his fitness with the Cox Plate his main target. Trainer Danny Shum expects him to be at 85-90% of his peak and that might be good enough. We can get a line on his form due to his dominance over Dubai Honour in Hong Kong earlier this year. That horse was way too good for the best of the locals, including Anamoe, in his two starts in Australia. On that basis, I find it very hard to go against the favourite and it is worth noting that he continually produces figures that stack up favourably in his 10 wins from 14 starts. He is five from six over the 2000m with his only miss coming against Golden Sixty.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 3 No. 5 APULIA- ($4.60)
APULIA can go close in the Super Impose Stakes (1800m). He was scratched at the barrier in the Victoria Derby Preview but comes in with the two runs under his belt this time in for a dominant maiden win at Cranbourne when resuming over the 1500m before jumping straight to Saturday grade and finishing runner-up behind Fistoffury over the 1500m at Moonee Valley. He settled back in the small field that day before producing the fastest last 200m. The son of Fiorente was an improver at Flemington at his initial preparation when third up, running on strongly to fill the exacta behind Veight in the Group 2 Sires Produce (1400m). Mark Zahra rides and should have time to find a spot from barrier 12.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 6 No. 10 LIFE LESSONS – ($10)
Willing to take on Princess Grace in the Rose Of Kingston Stakes and it is LIFE LESSONS that can upset the odds on favourite. The lightly raced five-year-old has come back in good order this time around and worked home well when resuming at Caulfield over the 1400m, finishing 4th. Second up, the Moody/Coleman galloper hit the lead at the 200m mark in the Lets Elope Stakes (1400m) before sticking on well behind the star performer, Amelia’s Jewel, filling the exacta behind that horse. The daughter of Tavistock went nine lengths faster than standard benchmark last time, which is the best last start figure any runner, while she was six length improver on benchmark figures at her previous third up run.