Ipswich Racing Tips 20 March — is Dunn the banker?
Ipswich Racing Tips 20 March — is Dunn the banker?
There’s one obvious thread running through this Ipswich meeting: when M J Dunn turns up here, he doesn’t muck around. Thirteen runners at the track for five wins is the sort of strike that changes how you bet a whole card — because you can stop guessing who’s “here for the day out” and start looking for intent.
We’ve got five races on turf, mostly sprint-heavy, and that means positioning and barriers matter more than romance. Today’s Ipswich racing tips are written like you and I are standing at the rail: who gets the right run, who’s improving, and where the card gives you something you can actually bet with confidence (plus where it’s a watch-and-learn job).
Ipswich — the setup
Plenty of these fields don’t have deep Ipswich history, so I’m leaning harder on current form profiles, stable intent, and how each race maps. Course form exists, but for most horses it’s only one or two appearances — a datapoint, not a trend.
Two course angles are worth respecting:
- M J Dunn at Ipswich: 13 runners for 5 winners (proper sample). If he’s got one you like on raw form, you can push it a length closer to the line in your head.
- David Vandyke at Ipswich: 5 runners for 2 winners and 3 placings. That’s enough volume to treat it as a real edge rather than noise.
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Race-by-race — Ipswich predictions
Race 1: Darrel Bell – 45 Years Service Mdn Plate — 12:57, 875m
Pixie Lane gets my vote early because the map looks clean from gate 1 in a sharp 875m — and in these baby dashes at Ipswich, the horse that holds a spot and travels is often the one that cashes. With M R du Plessis riding, you’re also getting a jockey who can be patient without giving away ground when the race is run in two bursts.
The obvious danger is Lonesome Star. The form line (5422) screams “keeps finding one better”, but it also says the horse is turning up and putting itself in the race. From barrier 2 and carrying only 116.8, it can stalk the speed and make it a proper contest late.
Others with upside: Night Market is from the Gollan yard (always respected here), but off a single run (5) I want to see it do it before I do my money.
Staking: Small win bet Pixie Lane. Save/quinella with Lonesome Star if you’re playing multiples.
Race 2: Great Northern Hcp (C4) — 13:34, 1203m
Here’s the puzzle: Jungle Law comes in with the kind of profile you can trust in this grade — the recent form reads 182-71, and that says two things. One, it’s winning now. Two, it’s doing it from positions that translate to Ipswich when the tempo lifts mid-race.
I’m also happy to lean on the connections. Trainer D J Bougoure has only had two runners at Ipswich in the relevant course data set, but one won and the other placed — not a trend yet, but enough to say the stable can place one here. Rider Chelsea Baker is more than “capable” around this circuit too: she wins a third of her six rides here and lands in the placings half the time. That’s a real sample on the jockey side.
Beauty Rising is the danger from gate 1 — it should get the softest run of anything in the race. If the leaders stack them up, barrier 1 becomes a weapon and the outside runners can be forced to start early.
One to treat carefully: Hearts Are Better looks a bit all-or-nothing on paper (0108-0). If it shows up, it can blow them away; if it doesn’t, you’ll know by the 600m.
Staking: Win bet Jungle Law. If you want insurance, save Beauty Rising in a saver exacta/quinella.
Race 3: Poco Vino Hcp — 14:12, 1203m
The market is going to argue about class and weight here, but I’m siding with Badgers Nuts because the horse arrives in winning shape and the handicap finally gives it a lane. The form reads 66511- and the big thing is the weight: it carries 117.9 in a race where the topweight Lubrication lugs 134.4. That’s not a “nice little pull” — that’s the kind of swing that decides sprint handicaps when the race becomes a fight from the 200m.
Command Approved is the danger, and I’m not reaching: the recent form line 62-213 says it keeps putting itself in the finish, and it’s drawn to get a stalking run (gate 8) without being buried on the rail. It has also placed on its only Ipswich run — again, one run is just a note, but it’s a positive note.
I’m happy to take on the topweight profile. Lubrication from gate 1 will get favours, but giving lumps away at 1200m is hard work unless you’re clearly better than them.
Staking: Win bet Badgers Nuts. Exacta saver with Command Approved running you down late.
Race 4: Tab Mdn Hcp — 14:50, 1822m
Mr Racing is the one I want to be with because the race shape screams “progressive horse gets out to a trip.” He’s only had the one start, but it was a 3rd, and Vandyke doesn’t waste time stepping them up in distance unless they’ve shown him something. From gate 6, R Wiggins can land in the first half, stay out of trouble, and make it a staying test from the 700m.
The Vandyke/Ipswich angle matters too: he’s had 5 runners here for 2 wins and 3 placings. That’s a yard that targets the joint properly.
The danger is Top Level from barrier 1. It’s been around the mark (393-32) and that inside draw at 1822m can turn into a perfect economical run. If Mr Racing overraces or ends up posted, Top Level can pinch it with the cheap run.
This is also the race I’d be cautious about overspending on: big field, light exposed form, and the kind of maiden where the winner can come from an angle you didn’t price in.
Staking: Win bet Mr Racing, but keep it sensible. If you’re playing exotics, include Top Level and Monakeed (0622 profile) for coverage.
Race 5: Ipswich Party Hire Hcp (C2) — 15:27, 1203m
Le Chocolat is the day’s most straightforward betting horse for mine. It’s trained by M J Dunnfive wins from thirteen runners, which is strong enough to shape your confidence. Le Chocolat also won on its only start at Ipswich, so we know the track doesn’t blunt it. From gate 6, with A Mallyon
Acapulco Girl is the danger. It comes through the Vandyke yard (already a positive at Ipswich) and the form (12126-) says it’s genuine. Gate 4 is also ideal if the race is run at a sit-and-sprint tempo — it won’t have to do anything fancy.
Daitanna adds spice. The form (1-631) is trending the right way and it also won on its only Ipswich run, but again: that’s one run, so don’t treat it like a track specialist. Treat it like a horse with upside.
Staking: Le Chocolat win bet as the main play. Quinella saver with Acapulco Girl. If you’re building multis, this is the leg you anchor.
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Where the money goes
I’m not here to pretend every race is a gift. The early 2yo dash is always a bit of a trust fall, and the staying maiden has enough unknowns that you can do your stack quickly if you get aggressive. But the card does give you a clear spine: stable intent and proven track positioning.
- NAP: Le Chocolat (Race 5, 15:27). Dunn’s Ipswich record is built on a proper sample, and the horse has already shown it handles the circuit.
- Value look: Jungle Law (Race 2, 13:34). Recent form says it’s in the zone; if the market pushes it out because it’s not a “brand name”, I’m happy to be on.
- Banker for multis: Le Chocolat. If you only take one horse into doubles/trebles, make it this.
- Each-way style play: Mr Racing (Race 4, 14:50) — progressive profile stepping to a trip, but keep stakes measured because it’s lightly exposed.
- Course angle: When Dunn turns up at Ipswich, treat his runners as one grade better than they look on paper.
If Dunn keeps landing them here at this rate, Ipswich won’t just be “another Saturday” for that stable — it’ll be the meeting you start from and work backwards.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Ipswich today?
Ipswich kicks off at 12:57 with the Darrel Bell – 45 Years Service Mdn Plate over 875m.
Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Ipswich on today’s card?
On the trainer side, M J Dunn brings the strongest Ipswich profile in the supplied stats: 13 runners for 5 wins at the track. David Vandyke also goes well here with 5 runners for 2 wins and 3 placings.
Among riders with meaningful volume, Angela Jones has ridden Ipswich particularly well (15 rides for 4 wins and 8 placings), while Ben Thompson also hits the frame regularly here (16 rides for 9 placings).
What are the best bets at Ipswich today?
My Ipswich best bet is Le Chocolat in Race 5 (15:27). Next best is Jungle Law in Race 2 (13:34), with Badgers Nuts the handicap play in Race 3 (14:12) on the weight swing.
Where can I find the best Ipswich odds today?
Bookmaker odds weren’t available in the odds feed for this meeting at publish time, so shop around directly with your preferred bookie apps/sites close to jump. If you’re comparing markets, focus on the win price for Race 5 — it’s the race I want to bet into most aggressively.
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