Rockhampton Racing Tips 24 April — can Scialla do it again?
Werribee Racing Tips 24 April — can the stayers make it pay?
Opening
Werribee on a Friday can look like a collection of maidens and maybes, but there’s a cleaner angle here than people think: the staying maiden at 2448m is the one race on the card where intent matters more than “who has the sharpest 400m”. Horses that have been running well without winning suddenly get a proper chance when the sprint merchants run out of oxygen.
That’s the frame for these Werribee racing tips: four races, all on turf, and three of them over a trip where positioning and patience decide it. I’m not trying to pretend we’ve got deep, multi-season course histories for this meeting either. Most of today’s runners have only been here once or twice, so I’m leaning harder on what the form says, how the races map, and what the jockey bookings suggest about tactics.
You’ll get a clear pick in every race, one danger that can beat it, and what I’d actually do with the bet slip.
Werribee — the setup
There isn’t much meaningful “track specialist” evidence across today’s fields. Only a handful of the horses in these four races have even a single recorded run at Werribee, and most of those are one-offs. So rather than pretending a one-start placing is a trend, treat it as a comfort tick at best.
On the riders, the one name with genuine volume is Teodore Nugent: 11 rides at the track and he’s hit the frame five times. Jack Hill also has 11 rides with three placings. For trainers, a couple do have enough runners to matter: L Smith has five runners here historically with three placings, while A & S Freedman have seven starts here for four placings. That’s the sort of sample you can actually use.
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Race-by-race
Race 1: Scotchmans Hill Mdn Plate — 12:50, 1107
Cabaret Queen looks the most likely winner inside the first two sentences, so I’ll say it plainly: she’s the runner with the right mix of exposed ability and upside, and she lands with the Price and Kent stable and Declan Bates doing the steering.
The form line is the key. She’s already shown she can run a race, with a profile of 2-8-2 in her three completed runs, and that matters in a short-course maiden where a few of these are either first starters or have given you nothing yet. In the last 90 days she’s had two runs and she’s placed once, so she’s at least keeping herself honest rather than going backwards.
From gate 7 she probably has to be positive early, but in a 1107m maiden that’s not a negative. You’d rather be the horse that can hold a spot than the one praying for luck back on the fence behind slow ones.
The danger is Uyuni from barrier 3. The 2-3-4 profile says “always thereabouts” and the inside draw gives Melea Castle options to settle closer and make it a clean stamina test from the 600m. If Cabaret Queen overworks early, Uyuni is the one who can stalk and pinch it late.
Staking: Win bet Cabaret Queen. Small quinella saver Cabaret Queen with Uyuni if you want some cover.
Race 2: Tobin Brothers Mdn Plate — 13:25, 1777
Here’s the puzzle: how do you price a 1777m maiden where most of them have had their chances, but one horse keeps turning up and running like it wants the line? I’m sticking with Phantom’s Chase because the profile screams “ready to win one” rather than “professional placegetter”.
He’s a four-year-old who’s been living around the money with 2-2-6-2-3 in his last five, and that last-start third suggests he’s holding form. He doesn’t need to improve lengths, he just needs the race to run cleanly and for the rider not to panic. Gate 7 isn’t ideal at this trip, but Lachlan King can slide across and find a spot with cover.
The one I’m wary of is Raghnall from draw 3. He’s lightly raced (just the two starts) and improved sharply into third last time, which is often the sign a horse has worked out what racing is about. The inside alley is a gift if the speed is only moderate.
Others can win, but plenty have shown their hand. I’m not paying for “maybe” here when Phantom’s Chase keeps presenting.
Staking: Win bet Phantom’s Chase. If you’re a saver type, save on Raghnall to win.
Race 3: Evergreen Turf Mdn Plate — 14:00, 1777
The market will probably gravitate to the obvious last-start second, and that’s fair. Camelot Time is the horse I want on side. He’s done it once, and he’s done it well enough to say he belongs right at the pointy end again.
He draws wide (gate 11), so the story of the race becomes tactics. Teodore Nugent has enough experience at this track to know when to push and when to take a sit, and the ideal ride is to slide forward early until he finds cover, then make it a staying squeeze from the 600m. With these maiden stayers, sitting last and “hoping” is how you run fifth forever.
One danger with a genuine knock is No No No No No. He’s already finished second and fourth in two starts, and he’s also placed on his only recorded run at Werribee, which tells you he handles the venue. The problem is barrier 12: if he gets posted deep the whole way, he can be the best horse and still lose.
I’ll also mention Half Scotch</strong as the grinder: he’s been around the mark for a while now (33-433 in the last five) and gets in light at 54kg. If the leaders overdo it, he’s the one who keeps coming when others peak.
Staking: Win bet Camelot Time. Exacta saver Camelot Time with No No No No No if you’re playing exotics.
Race 4: O’Briens Refrigeration Mdn Plate — 14:35, 2448
This is the best betting race on the card because it finally asks a proper question: who actually wants to stay? I’m with Certainly Quiet. He’s been building, the trip helps, and the booking looks like a plan rather than an afterthought.
His recent form reads 5-4-7-3-3, and those two threes are the tell. He’s not throwing in the towel; he’s finding the line. Over the last 90 days he’s had two runs and placed once, so the stable has him in the right groove. He’s also in the right part of the weights at 57kg, which matters when some of these older maidens are lumping 59.5kg.
The other angle I like is the rider. Lachlan Neindorf has a small but meaningful Werribee sample: two rides here for a win and a place. That’s not a “specialist” label, but it is enough to say he rides the track well when he gets the chance.
The danger is Angel Feet, the three-year-old who’s been running on without winning (6-8-5-2-3). The lighter weight for age profile can turn these staying maidens into a trap for the older horses, and from gate 8 he can land midfield and stay out of trouble.
I’m not as keen to take short odds about anything else here. A few have had plenty of opportunities, and this distance can turn their usual pattern into a grind too far.
Staking: Win bet Certainly Quiet. Saver win on Angel Feet if the price is right. This is the leg I’d build multis around.
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The plays
NAP: Certainly Quiet (Race 4, 14:35). Two straight thirds tells you he’s already competitive, and the step to 2448m looks like the move that turns “running on” into “getting there”. Neindorf’s Werribee record is small, but it’s strong enough to respect.
Value: Uyuni (Race 1). The consistent 2-3-4 profile and barrier 3 gives it every chance to out-race a few better-known stables if they burn too much fuel early.
Banker for multis: Camelot Time (Race 3). Last-start second is the cleanest single piece of exposed form in that race, and Nugent’s track experience helps offset the wide gate.
Each-way shape: Phantom’s Chase (Race 2). He keeps landing in the money, and this looks the right depth of maiden for him to finally land the win.
Course angle to remember: when the Freedmans turn up at Werribee they often run well without necessarily winning, with four placings from seven runners here historically. Keep an eye on how their wide draws play across the day, because that pattern matters next time too.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Werribee today?
Racing starts at 12:50 with the Scotchmans Hill Maiden Plate over 1107m.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Werribee among today’s participants?
For jockeys with a meaningful sample, Teodore Nugent has ridden at Werribee 11 times for five placings, while Jack Hill has 11 rides for three placings. Among trainers with at least five runners at the track, L Smith has five runners here for three placings, and A & S Freedman have seven runners for four placings.
What are the best bets at Werribee today?
My Werribee best bets are Certainly Quiet in Race 4 (2448m) as the main play, and Camelot Time in Race 3 (1777m) as the safer multi anchor.
Where can I find the best odds for Werribee races?
Shop around with the major bookmakers and exchanges because prices move quickly in maidens. Odds weren’t available through the feed for this meeting at publish time, so treat late market moves as information and don’t be afraid to wait until closer to jump for your final price.
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