All Aged Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Australasian Oaks Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Australasian Oaks tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Australasian Oaks at Morphettville.
AUSTRALASIAN OAKS BETTING SNAPSHOT
It shapes as a wide open betting race with seven horses at $10 or below. It is the last start Auraria Stakes (1800m) winner, My Whisper, that heads that group at the $5.50 quote with bet365 just ahead of Australian Oaks (2400m) winner, El Patroness, at $7.
Daisies is at $8, while Doucer, Mamounia and Glint Of Hope are all at $9. Mac’N’Cheese is a $10 hope, while Bundle Of Fun is at $13. So You See, Roots and Pretty Amazing head the rest of the 16 horse field plus the four emergencies at the $17.
AUSTRALASIAN OAKS FORM ANALYSIS
The Auraria Stakes is always one of the key lead ups to this race and has provided four of the past 10 winners of the Australasian Oaks, most recently Sopressa in 2018.
Five contenders come out of that event and it was My Whisper that was posted three wide without cover, coming out even wider as they made their runs to score in impressive fashion from Bon’s A Pearla.
The winner went just 1.5 lengths faster than standard but that came off a slow tempo and I suspect that the daughter of Frankel has some scope for improvement, while the step up to the 2000m should only suit. She is four from five and cleared out with Glint Of Hope at her previous start over the 1600m at Sandown.
Bon’s A Pearla was strong in defeat and it is worth noting that she went 12.6 lengths faster than standard when 3rd in the Australian Guineas (1600m) behind Hitotsu three starts ago. My only concern with her is that she has been up for a while and the 2000m might test.
Of the others to come out of the Auraria, Mac’N’Cheese was also posted wide before running on for 3rd, while Stray (5th) was held up and could have finished a bit closer.
Five runners come out of the Super Vobis race that was held at Caulfield over the 1600m on April 16. Glint Of Hope heads that lot after coming 3rd and produced the fastest last 200m to go four lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is superior to what My Whisper produced in the Auraria.
Fortunate Kiss appeared to have every chance and was 4th, Bundle Of Fun and Ancient Girl were luckless, finishing 5th and 7th respectively. Douceur puled up lame and was 10th. She as impressive prior to that when 3rd in the Alexandra Stakes (1600m) at Moonee Valley behind Daisies.
El Patroness boasts the best last start benchmark figures of any runner after cruising to a big win in the Australian Oaks at Randwick on a Heavy 10 on April 9. Toffee Tongue was runner-up in similar conditions in the 2020 edition of that race behind Colette before winning this race and she might have the class to prevail, despite the drop back to the 2000m. A concern is that the daughter of Shamus Award is yet to win in five attempts on the Good.
Mamounia is an interesting runner. The Godolphin galloper draws the widest gate but was a strong winner at Caulfield when striking a Good track in the Galilee Series Final (2400m) at Caulfield, going six lengths faster than standard benchmark.
Barb Raider missed out on the Heavy in Sydney in the Queen Of The Turf Stakes(1600m) when not handling the going. She should find this easier and was a winner at Flemington in the Kewney Stakes (1600m) three starts ago on a Good surface before going 10.7 lengths faster than standard when runner-up in the Sunline Stakes (1600m).
AUSTRALASIAN OAKS TIPS AND BEST BETS
Not sure if we will see a true staying test with a lack of an obvious leader but there should be some degree of tempo here with El Patroness, Barb Raider and Ancient Girl among those that like to settle in the first few. I think the race might pan out for My Whisper, who has drawn better this time around and shouldn’t be too far away in the run. The Peter and Paul Snowden-trained galloper is likely to need to produce a personal best figure but with Jamie Kah on board and with improvement to come, this looks within her grasp. Favourite backers might be scarred from the result in this race last year with Media Award scoring at $61. But 14 of the past 15 winners prior to that scored at odds of $7 or below, with eight of those lobbing as the popular elect. She looks a solid play.
