The Everest Final Field & Barrier Draw
Caulfield Guineas Tips & Preview 2023
Looking for Caulfield Guineas tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2023 Caulfield Guineas at Caulfield.
CAULFIELD GUINEAS BETTING SNAPSHOT
The last start Golden Rose (1400m) winner, Militarize, has been installed as the $2.87 favourite with bet365 ahead of the local contender, Steparty, who is at $3.60. The Maher/Eustace-trained King Colorado is the only other runner under double figures and is at the $8.50 quote.
15 contenders have accepted for the $3 million feature and a number that were behind Steparty in the Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) are next, including Scheelite ($13), Scentify ($15), Veight ($15) and Southport Tycoon ($17).
CAULFIELD GUINEAS FORM ANALYSIS
Militarize looked a potential star in the making with his performance in the Golden Rose with Joao Moreira on board. The pair were able to snag out of traffic in the straight to produce the fastest last 200m, edging out Encap on the line.
Slight question mark on the form with the runner-up struggling since then but Militarize went 8.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is the best last start figure of any runner. King Colorado was 7th and has two lengths to make up on the winner.
Seven contenders come out of the Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) that was held on September 23 at Caulfield. Steparty was excellent, overcoming a wide run throughout to keep coming. Just half a length separated the first four home with the winner going 6.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark.
Scheelite settled back and produced the fastest last 200m to run 4th. Scentify settled handy and just missed but appeared to have his chance. Southport Tycoon was huge. The Maher/Eustace galloper was stepping up from a Sandown BenchMark 64 win and produced the fastest 400m-200m split before just being bloused late. The son of Written Tycoon might have some upside to come.
Veight (5th), Little Brose (6th) and Rock Empire (7th) are the others to come out of the race. Veight was too keen in the early to middle stages. Little Brose settled back before working home for 6th. The Team Hayes-trained galloper has been solid late in his races but I am not sure he is going as well as the autumn when going 13.1 lengths faster than standard benchmark to claim the Blue Diamond (1200m) at Sandown. Rock Empire led before finding the level a tad too hot and it will be surprising to see him turn things around here.
Three runners come out of the Stutt Stakes (1600m) and they are Griff (1st), Verdad (2nd) and Limburg (4th). Griff is one of four in the race for the Maher/Eustace combination and settled handy at Moonee Valley. He looks to have come on since finishing 5th behind Encap three starts ago over the 1300m at Rosehill.
Verdad was having just his second start when runner-up in that race, stepping up from a Bendigo Maiden win. He produced the fastest last 200m. Limburg led before hanging on for 4th.
Wolfy is one of four last start winners in the race and came from well-back to take out a BenchMark 64 at Flemington at the recent Sunday meeting at headquarters. The Nick Ryan-trained galloper went just 0.8 lengths faster than standard in that race and will need to improve, as will Copacabana and The Longest Yard, who were unplaced in a recent Sandown race.
CAULFIELD GUINEAS TIPS AND BEST BETS
Since 2011 only three winners of the Caulfield Guineas have graduated from the Prelude, while 10 had their most recent start in Sydney. Since the date of the Golden Rose was changed, three of the past four have come out of the Sydney Group 1, including Anamoe, Ole Kirk and The Autumn Sun. Militarize also boosts the best last start benchmark figures of any runner, while the son of Dundeel will thrive out to the 1600m. He claimed the Sires Produce Stakes (1400m) and Champagne Stakes (1600m) when getting out in trip as a two-year-old. Barrier 12 isn’t a huge concern with a number of his rivals to go forward or settle handy, ensuring there is enough speed in the race for Moreira to launch at them late in the piece.
