Coolmore Stud Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Empire Rose Stakes Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Empire Rose Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Empire Rose Stakes at Flemington.
EMPIRE ROSE STAKES BETTING SNAPSHOT
It is the New Zealand mare, La Crique, that has been posted as the $3 favourite with NEDS after the barrier draw at the $3, while the Chris Waller-trained Hinged is next best at $6. She’s Licketysplit is the only other horse below double figures at the $8.50.
Nimalee is. $10 chance, while another Waller galloper, Fangirl, is at $13. Palaisipan is at $15 after her runner-up performance behind the Golden Eagle (1500m) bound Chain Of Lightning in the Tristarc Stakes (1400m), while the consistent Icebath heads the rest at $16. Keep in mind that Fangirl and Hinged are both in the Golden Eagle at this stage and might not be seen in this race.
EMPIRE ROSE STAKES FORM ANALYSIS
La Crique has won six of her 10 starts and placed in the other four. She comes into this as favourite after her stunning win in the Group 1 Arrowfield Stud Plate (1600m) at Matamata on October 8.
That peformance saw James McDonald booked in for this race and she ran a quick time in the process at Matamata, leading all the way and giving nothing else a chance.
Hinged was last seen in the Epsom Handicap and settled handy in the famous Sydney Group 1 before sticking on for 3rd. The four-year-old went 11.2 lengths faster than standard in that race, which are the best last start benchmark figures of any runner. Note that no data is available for La Crique. Fangirl was 6th in the Epsom and might be better on a drier track. She was runner-up behind Anamoe three starts ago in the Winx Stakes (1400m).
Kiku also comes out of the Epsom and had excuses when 7th. She claimed the Theo Marks Stakes (1300m) prior to that. Icebath was 4th in the Epsom and has since finished 9th in The Invitation (1400m).
Nimalee (3rd) and Belle Plaisir come out of the Sydney pop-up race as well and it was Nimalee that went 6.7 lengths faster than standard. Her personal best came in this race last year when 4th behind Colette. The six-year-old went 13.2 lengths faster than standard in this race last year, which is better than what any horse in this race has produced in the past two years.
Six runners come out of the Tristarc Stakes with the runner-up Palaisipan going 10.6 lengths faster than standard in the Caulfield Group 2. Pride Of Jenni (3rd), Cliff’s Art (5th), Excelida (6th) and Mirra Vision (7th) are the others.
Connections of Pride Of Jenni and Cliff’s Art will be sweating on a run with those two emergencies for this race. Palaisapan was slowly away in the Tristarc and was posted wide without cover in her run prior to that when runner-up behind Nimalee.
She’s Licketysplit is the sole filly in the race and will be out to emulate the Iikes of Shoals and I Am A Star, who won this race as three-year-olds in 2016 and 2017.
The Andrew Forsman-trained galloper won at the track and trip two starts ago in the Edward Manifold Stakes before placing 3rd on a Heavy 10 track in the Thousand Guineas (1600m) at Caulfield.
Other lead ups for this are the Ladies Day Vase (1600m) at Caulfield and the Rose Of Kingston Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on October 1. Yearning was an unlucky 7th in the latter and was a solid 3rd in the Let’s Elope Stakes (1400m) prior to that.
Chaillot (6th), Daisies (7th) and Elusive Express (9th) come out of the Ladies Day Vase. Daisies might be the one to follow from that and was posted wide on the Heavy track, while she claimed the Group 2 Stocks Stakes prior to that.
EMPIRE ROSE STAKES TIPS AND BEST BETS
Looks like a plain bunch of mares for mine and it is the Kiwi gun, La Crique that can take advantage. The times that the daughter of Vadamos have been producing, particularly at her most recent start, compare very well to the locals, while early market support and James McDonald on board are further ticks. Persistent rain lurks in Melbourne in the lead up to Saturday so we might hold the Soft conditions, which would be perfect. Best roughie in the race is Mirra Vision. She stuck on ok in the Tristarc Stakes to finish 7th. The daughther of Lonhro was second up that day and has been an improver on benchmark figures at this stage in the past. Worth noting that she is five wins from 11 goes on Soft tracks, while she might push forward from the wide barrier and there doesn’t look to be huge amounts of speed here.
