Sydney Cup Tips & Preview 2022

Adam Cusworth Adam Cusworth
Sydney Cup Tips & Preview

Looking for Sydney Cup tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Sydney Cup at Randwick.

SYDNEY CUP BETTING SNAPSHOT

The stayers tackle the Sydney Cup and it is a wide open betting market with bet365 after the barrier draw with Crystal Pegasus and Stockman vying for favouritism at the $6 quote, just ahead of Luncies at $7 and Chalk Stream at $9.

No Compromise, Sheraz and Surefire are all at $11, while The Chosen One and Knights Order head the rest at the $17 quote.

SYDNEY CUP FORM ANALYSIS

The Group 2 Chairmans Quality Handicap (2600m) is always one of the key races to look at from a Sydney Cup perspective and nine of the past 14 winners have come out of the Randwick lead up.

Nerve Not Verve won that race this year but won’t be seen in this race. Knights Order, Luncies, Alakahan were runner-up, 3rd and 4th respectively, while Sweet Thomas, Kaapfever and South Pacific finished further back.

Knights Order went 12.7 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which are the best last start benchmark figures of any runner, just shading the Rosehill Queens Cup (2400m) runners with the winner out of that, No Compromise, going 12.1 lengths faster than standard.

Knights Order drops 4kg from that run and is one of 11 gallopers in the race that tackle the two miles for the first time. He led and will look to dictate again. The Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott-trained galloper should be in it for a long way.

Luncies was more than three lengths off the winner but did produce the fastest last 200m so the 3200m looks right up his alley. The others seemed to battle away and may improve on a drier track but I think that Knights Order and Luncies are the two out of that race.

No Compromise enjoyed the front running ride at Rosehill in the Queens Cup, while Surefire produced the fastest late splits to finish runner-up. Chalk Stream filled the trifecta and did well to stick on as he was posted wide without cover.

Stockman (2nd), The Chosen One (3rd), Angel Of Truth (5th) and Sheraz (7th) come out of the Tancred Stakes and were no match for Duais. That race didn’t rate well in terms of figures but I wouldn’t be writing that quartet off just yet.

Tempo was slow up front. The Chosen One produced the second fastest last 200m behind the winner and must be respected over the 3200m. He went 16 lengths faster than standard in the Melbourne Cup (3200m) last year but probably needs a drier track. Stockman was game in defeat and was a winner of the Sky High Stakes (2000m) at his start prior on a Heavy track.

He shares favouritism with Crystal Pegasus, who will be out to make it five wins on the trot. The Chris Waller gelding is one of five contenders in the race for the stable and went 4.7 lengths faster than standard when overhauling Pondus in the recent Mornington Cup (2400m). He has performed well on wet tracks in the past.

SYDNEY CUP TIPS AND BEST BETS

A few unknowns with some of these stepping up to the 3200m but I am going with Luncies, who was the pick of those that did the chasing behind Nerve Not Verve in the Chairmans Quality. That has been the form reference over the years and I do think he has a bit of upside. The lightly raced galloper wasn’t far away in the Metropolitan (2400m) last year then finished runner-up in the St Leger (2400m) behind Warning over the 2400m at Randwick when deep into his preparation, going more than 11 lengths faster than standard on both occasions. He comes into this at his fifth run and will settle midfield or worse but the tempo should be genuine, which will suit. His Heavy track form at Randwick this time in has been solid and the son of Iffraaj looks like he is crying out for the 3200m.