Australian Oaks Tips & Preview 2022
Looking for Australian Oaks tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Australian Oaks at Randwick.
AUSTRALIAN OAKS BETTING SNAPSHOT
Hinged is the favourite with ladbrokes for the Australian Oaks after the barrier draw and is at the $4.20 quote, just ahead of Gypsy Godess at the $4.40. Those two filled the minors behind Fangirl in the Vinery Stud Stakes (1850m). The winner out of that won’t be seen in the Oaks.
Honeycreeper will be out to join her stablemate, Colette, as a recent winner of this race and is alongside the well-bred Pink Ivory at the $5. Biscayne Bay ($13), El Parotness ($16) and the Kiwi filly, Le Villi ($21), head the rest.
AUSTRALIAN OAKS FORM ANALYSIS
The Vinery Stud Stakes has provided five of the past 10 winners of this race, including Hungry Heart last year. It is normally held at Rosehill over the 2000m but was switched to Newcastle this year because of the big wet in Sydney.
Hinged cleared out with Fangirl in that race and just went down, while there was a four length gap back to Gypsy Godess. Hinged went just 1.2 lengths slower than standard benchmark. Not sure of the figures out of that day as a whole. They came off a slow tempo in the Vinery Stud and the backmarkers didn’t seem to get their chance.
Having said that, it is hard to see any of the beaten brigade turning the tables on Hinged. Gypsy Godess can’t be discounted as she did produce the fastest last 600m and improved more than eight lengths on figures at this stage of her last preparation when gong from the 1600m to the 2000m.
The Adrian Knox Quality has provided three of the past 10 Oaks winners and was taken out in spectacular fashion by Honeycreeper. That was a great trial from the daughter of Teofilo, who has been racing down south and seemed to relish the wet conditions. She went four lengths faster than standard, which are the best last start figures of any runner.
A few of these come up from Melbourne, including Biscayne Bay, who jumps from the 1600m after running 8th behind Barb raider in the Kewney Stakes at Flemington. The step up in trip has worked for the Maher/Eustace team with Hitotsu in the Australian Derby (2400m) and she looks like she wants longer, while her two wins have come in the wet.
El Patroness had little luck against the males in the Alistair Clark Stakes and went 3.4 lengths faster than standard in that hitout when 8th.
Le Villi is a Kiwi contender that has won two of five in her homeland and will be ridden by Damien Oliver. The John Wheeler-trained galloper could only manage 6th in the NZ Oaks (2400m) at her most recent start but did run on off what was a slow tempo. She is one for one on wet tracks.
AUSTRALIAN OAKS TIPS AND BEST BETS
I am going with Honeycreeper in the Australian Oaks. Her win was emphatic in the Adrian Knox. No issue with the fact that there are question marks over those that she beat as her figures are good enough up against what seems to be an even bunch of fillies, while she has been super consistent all along this preparation and the penny might have dropped for her. Her last 600m was rock solid and the step up to the 2400m should suit. I don’t have a huge issue with the barrier and Hugh Bowman will look to settle back before working into it at the 800m.