Newcastle Preview & Best Bets - Friday September 16
Canberra Preview & Best Bets – Friday September 16
Canberra Tips 16/09/2022
Our form expert provides Canberra tips for today’s horse racing at Canberra Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 4: No.9 ESSENTIAL SKY ($2.70 with bet365)
The John Sargent-trained ESSENTIAL SKY is third-up and in great touch this time in and has conditions to suit her today. Last start, the Reliable Man mare came off a first-up win when she took on a Midway BM72 contest at Randwick. Not disgraced, she finished third in the 1800m event on a Heavy 9 that day. She covered the journey in personal best time, 2.7 lengths quicker than benchmark, which is the best here by more than 5 lengths. She also posted the fastest final 800m, 400m and 200m sectionals for the race. Back to country racing today and down in grade, she has drawn the fence and has winning jockey Jeff Penza back aboard. Her first look at the Canberra track can be a winning one.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 7: No.7 EXOTIC DEEL ($6 with Unibet)
The locally-trained EXOTIC DEEL is third-up today and looks well placed here to strike a winning blow. Last start, the Dundeel mare beat all but one home in a BM70 Hcp, here over 1200m. On a Heavy 10 that day, she ran her last 600m, 4.5 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this line-up by more than 2 lengths. Today, she draws the fence and Jeff Penza sticks with her for the contest. She maps to be near the speed today and although she is yet to win on wet tracks, her resume shows she has no less than eight podium finishes in damp conditions (all from minor placings) so the conditions today won’t hamper her chances. Already a winner when third-up and a track and distance winner as well, she looks a genuine winning chance here.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 5: No.8 IN MY FEELINGS ($6.50 with Palmerbet)
The Maher & Eustace-trained IN MY FEELINGS has done everything but win so far and today, gets another chance at shaking the maiden monkey off her back. Last start, the Manhattan Rain mare finished bridesmaid again when she beat all but one home in a 1200m Ballarat Maiden (on the synthetic track). In a slowly-run affair, she covered the trip, 9.8 lengths slower than benchmark, still the second-best here behind (topweight) Down To Earth who has drawn the car park today (16) and placed just once in six starts on wet tracks. Louise Day is aboard the mare for the first time and from gate three, she maps to be box-seating on settling. With all that going for her, she looks right in the mix today at good odds.
