Morphettville Preview & Best Bets - September 17
Newcastle Preview & Best Bets – Friday September 16
Newcastle Tips 16/09/2022
Our form expert provides Newcastle tips for today’s horse racing at Newcastle Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 4: No.5 EBHAAR ($2.60 with bet365)
The Team Snowden-trained EBHAAR is third-up today and looking for back-to-back victories here. Last start, the I Am Invincible filly brought up her second win when she beat home a BM72 field over 1000m at Warwick Farm. The well-bred filly (out of an Exceed And Excel mare) settled three-wide without cover and still fought like a caged tiger to get the job done in the end. Tommy Berry was aboard that day and sticks with her for this assignment. Her early speed has her settling in the first half-dozen and with a trouble-free run, she can score again.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 7: No.9 OLD FLAME ($3.50 with Palmerbet)
If he can overcome the wide draw here, The Team Snowden-trained OLD FLAME can give this contest a real shake today. Last start, the four-year-old was fresh off a 16-week spell and still proved too strong for them, winning a BM100 Hcp over 1400m at Rosehill. Doing his best work late, he ran the final 600m, 8 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this line-up. Sam Clipperton had the reins that day and remains in the saddle today. A soft 7 is (currently) the track forecast which is ideal for him, having won two of his three previous runs on the surface. Already a winner when second-up, he looks set for a big performance today.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 6: No.1 ARAPAHO ($7 with Unibet)
Bjorn Baker saddles-up ARAPAHO here and going by his last couple of efforts, he can easily be taking home the Cup today. Last start, the Lope De Vega gelding came off a Group 3 win in the Premier’s Cup when he wasn’t disgraced when finishing second in the Listed City Tatt’s Cup on a Heavy 9 at Randwick. While no match for the winner that day, he kept the rest of the field at bay, finishing almost two lengths ahead of them over the line. What he has going for him today is his wet track form, which shows all six career wins have come on rain affected tracks. Rachel King is two from three with him (tacking on that last-start second as well), and sticks with him again today. He draws the outside gate here but still maps to settle mid-field. If the pace is genuine today, he poses a real threat to these at good odds.
