Caulfield Preview & Best Bets – Saturday August 27

Adam Cusworth

in Bets of the Day 24 Aug 2022

Our form expert provides Caulfield tips for today’s horse racing at Caulfield Racecourse and gives his best bets.

Caulfield Tips 27/08/2022

BEST BET 🏆

Race 5 No. 12 AFT CABIN – ($3)

The McNeil Stakes is one of the key support races on Memsie Stakes day with the three-year-olds in action over the 1200m. Rolling the dice on AFT CABIN, who faces his acid test against a number of the top youngsters that are resuming. The Godolphin galloper could not have been any more emphatic when cruising home by six lengths in a midweeker at Sandown on August 10, overcoming a wide run in the process. Form from that is unproven at this stage but he ran quick time, going a very healthy 7.2 lengths faster than standard benchmark, which is better than what any runner in this race has produced. Early market support is a positive and the son of Astern draws well in barrier 3 with Jamie Kah to ride.

NEXT BEST 🥈

Race 8 No. 3 ALLIGATOR BLOOD – ($6)

The feature is the Memsie Stakes and going with ALLIGATOR BLOOD to take out the first Victorian Group 1 race of the 2022/23 season. Market prior to the jump will be a solid guide with 12 of the 14 runners resuming but the Waterhouse/Bott galloper was solid at his last fresh run last time when a narrow runner-up in the BRC Sprint (1300m) at Eagle Farm, going 10.6 lengths faster than standard benchmark, before producing similar figures when claiming the Stradbroke Handicap (1400m) at his only other run this year. He looks to be back to the form that saw him prevail in the Australian Guineas (1600m) as a youngster and might enjoy the favours late in the piece from barrier 1.

BEST VALUE 💰(EACH-WAY)

Race 7 No. 3 FLYING MASCOT – ($11)

Another fascinating race at Caulfield with the mares in action at Group 3 level over the 1200m. Interesting to see how the unbeaten Passive Aggressive goes but baulking at the odds on offer. FLYING MASCOT is one of the big dangers for me. The Tom Dabernig-trained galloper is compiling an excellent record and had four runs in the autumn for a couple of wins and a couple of minor placings. First up she kicked clear and looked the winner before being bloused late by the gun mare, Probabeel. That was over the 1200m at Caulfield and the daughter of Tavistock went a very healthy 10.3 lengths faster than standard. Look for her to settle just behind Passive Aggressive and if the favourite isn’t at her best at her first go at Caulfield she can go very close.