Pakenham Preview & Best Bets - Friday November 4
Rosehill Preview & Best Bets – Saturday November 5
Rosehill Tips 05/11/2022
Our form expert provides Rosehill tips for today’s horse racing at Rosehill Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 4: No. 7 NAVAL SEAL ($3.60 with bet365)
Chris Waller saddles-up NAVAL SEAL here and second-up, looks a real threat to this line-up. Last start, the Well-bred Snitzel gelding was fresh off an 18-week break when he beat all but one home in a BM78 over the 1600m trip at Randwick. He set a new personal best that day, running out the trip, 6.1 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this field. William Pike was aboard for that run and has the job again here. Already a track and distance winner, fitter for that first-up run he will take beating in this contest.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 3: No.9 ESSENTIAL SKY ($5.50 with Palmerbet)
Down in the weights here, the John Sargent-trained ESSENTIAL SKY is in outstanding form this time in and shoots for the hat-trick in this contest. Last start, the Reliable Man mare came off a big win at Warwick Farm when she made it back-to-back victories at Randwick (on the Kensington track), beating home a BM72 field over the 2400m. She set a new personal best that day, running the trip out, 9.5 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best last start effort here. She also posted the fastest final 800m to 200m sectionals as well. Rachel King steered her home in both races and has the reins again for this assignment. Up slightly in grade but down 2.5kgs, she draws nicely in gate five and with a trouble-free run, looks a big chance of making it three-straight here.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 8: No.4 AYRTON ($8.50 with bet365)
Victorian galloper AYRTON was impressive in his lead-up race for this and with the extra distance here, he poses a real threat to this field. Last start, the Iffraaj gelding was second-up this preparation and finished strongly to claim fourth prize (behind Ellsberg) in the Five Diamonds Prelude. Never on the track, he raced four and five wide most of the way and was spotting Ellsberg four lengths on the turn. Beaten less than three lengths on the line, he was doing his best work late, despite the horror run and still managed to run the trip, 6 lengths quicker than benchmark, just 2 lengths slower than Ellsberg’s effort. Already a winner when third-up, he will strip much fitter after that run and the extra 300m here will be a real test for all of them, with Ayrton the most likely to benefit from it.
