Rosehill Preview & Best Bets – Wednesday September 28
Rosehill Tips 28/09/2022
Our form expert provides Rosehill tips for today’s horse racing at Rosehill Racecourse and gives his best bets.
BEST BET 🏆
Race 7: No.10 SHADOW DEVIL ($5 with Palmerbet)
The Mark Newnham-trained SHADOW DEVIL is second-up today and a wide draw here looks the only the issue in his chances of winning this contest. Last start, the Capitalist galloper was fresh off a 15-week spell when he missed by a whisker from taking out a BM72 Hcp over 1200m at Warwick Farm. Finishing second in the event, he ran his last 600m, 9.6 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best in this line-up by 4 lengths. He also posted the fastest final 800m to 200m sectionals for the race, and broke 11 seconds for his last 200m. Already a winner when second-up, Tom Sherry remains aboard after steering him to both career wins to date. A genuine tempo here will enhance his chances today and with plenty of early speed lining up here, he can finish over the top of them with a clear run home.
NEXT BEST 🥈
Race 4: No.5 JUPITUS ($6 with Palmerbet)
Chris Waller saddles-up JUPITUS here who has kicked-off this campaign in fine style in Melbourne and today he sees the Rosehill track for the first time. Last start, the Sebring gelding drew the car park (13 of 15) at Sandown but still gave them a lesson in a BM64 Hcp over the 1500m trip. Third-up and carrying 59.5kgs, he stormed home to win by a length on the line, running his last 600m, 6.9 lengths quicker than benchmark, more than 2 lengths better than this field. He steps up in trip today, which looks ideal for him after three runs back. He does no early work from gate two and has James McDonald on his back calling the shots for the first time. The runs are on the board and the value is there in this contest.
BEST VALUE 💰
Race 3: No.12 ESSENTIAL SKY ($15 with bet365)
The John Sargent-trained ESSENTIAL SKY is in good touch this time in and looks a genuine chance here at the weights. Last start, the Reliable Man mare finished just behind the placegetters in a Midway BM72 Hcp over the mile at Randwick. She clocked a new personal best that day, running out the 1600m, 5.8 lengths quicker than benchmark, the best here. She also recorded the fastest final 200m sectional for the race. Stepping up in distance today, she is already a winner over 2200m and Rachel King is sticking with her for this contest. She comes in on the limit here with just 54kgs to carry. Normally a mid-field settler, if she can keep in touch them to the turn, the five-year-old is now fit enough to put in a big finish here and give this field a real fright at (currently) double-figure odds.