Werribee Racing Tips 14 May — can the bridesmaids finally cash in?
Hawkesbury Racing Tips 14 May — can Zac Lloyd own the day?
Hawkesbury, 14 May: one rider keeps landing in the right spots
If you want a simple starting point for this Hawkesbury meeting, follow Zac Lloyd around like he owes you money. Seventeen rides here in the recent sample and he’s hit the frame ten times. That’s not “loves the track” folklore, that’s a pattern of getting horses into positions where they can win races. And on a three-race program where margins often come down to who gets the first crack at the sprint, that matters.
We’ve got three races on turf, all short-course to mile range (1203m, 1203m, 1531m). With no going info provided, I’m treating it as a typical Hawkesbury set-up: positioning and the ability to hold a spot are gold, and wide barriers can be a tax unless you’ve got early toe.
These Hawkesbury racing tips lean into two things: the riders and trainers who reliably stack placings at this track, and the runners whose recent form says they’re ready to strike. Where it’s a weak race, I’ll say so, and I’ll keep the money for when the edge is clearer.
Hawkesbury — the setup
Limited course form across today’s fields. Only a couple of runners have more than one or two starts here, so I’m not pretending we’ve got a stack of “track specialists” to lean on. The better guide is who consistently rides Hawkesbury well, and which stables turn up here and place often.
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Where the course numbers do earn their keep today is the jockey and trainer profiles. Here are the riders with enough volume to treat the percentages as real (five rides minimum), sorted by how often they put you in the money.
| Jockey | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A B Collett | 16 | 2 | 11 | 12.50 | 68.75 |
| Mollie Fitzgerald | 14 | 3 | 9 | 21.43 | 64.29 |
| J R Collett | 11 | 2 | 7 | 18.18 | 63.64 |
| Zac Lloyd | 17 | 4 | 10 | 23.53 | 58.82 |
| Tom Sherry | 12 | 2 | 7 | 16.67 | 58.33 |
Trainer-wise, I’m only interested in stables with five-plus runners in the sample. Nathan Doyle’s strike is loud, but it’s only three runners, so treat it as a hot signal not a law of physics. The ones with real volume are the ones you can build a day around.
| Trainer | Runs | Wins | Places | Win% | Place% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Snowden | 6 | 2 | 3 | 33.33 | 50.00 |
| Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald | 16 | 3 | 10 | 18.75 | 62.50 |
| C J Waller | 42 | 5 | 16 | 11.90 | 38.10 |
| Bjorn Baker | 19 | 2 | 8 | 10.53 | 42.11 |
| John Thompson | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20.00 | 60.00 |
Race-by-race Hawkesbury predictions
Race 1: Arg Building Services Mdn Plate — 12:55, 1203m
Wild Courage is the one I want to be with, and it’s a pretty clean read for a juvenile maiden: a colt who’s already found the race-day heat, drawn to get a soft run (gate 8), and sits in a stable that can sharpen them quickly. The debut third suggests he’s got enough early speed and professionalism to take a position, which is half the battle in these 1200m baby races.
The rider change is the other push. Wild Courage brings K McEvoy in, which can be a proper intent signal in a race full of unknowns. McEvoy’s course numbers here aren’t flash in the smallish sample (eight rides, only one placing), but that’s not how I’m playing it. I’m playing the combination of: race experience, a midfield draw, and a stable that rarely wastes starts.
The danger is Don’t Doubt Frank (barrier 2, Tyler Schiller, Brad Widdup). From gate 2 he can land right on the hammer and make this a sit and sprint. If he’s got any kind of jump and muster, he might take catching in a race where plenty will be doing it the hard way from wide alleys.
Staking: Win bet Wild Courage. Small saver on Don’t Doubt Frank if you’re the cautious type, because the map is in his favour.
Race 2: Gremmo Homes/ Imsglobal Super Mdn — 13:35, 1203m
This is the race where the card gives you something closer to a proper betting contest, and I’m leaning straight into the runner who keeps knocking and keeps landing in the right part of the track.
Our Huntress (barrier 4) gets J B McDonald, and that’s enough to take the guesswork out of the ride. McDonald wins one in four at Hawkesbury from a meaningful mini-sample (four rides, one win, two placings) and he tends to make the right decision early, which matters in these 1200m maidens where the wrong lane costs you the race.
The mare’s form line is the bigger selling point: 232-2 tells you she’s already good enough to win a maiden, she just needs the right day. With a favourable draw and a rider who won’t get lost in traffic, I’m happy to say she’s the likely winner.
The obvious threat is Samaka (Peter Snowden, Tommy Berry, barrier 5) on 23. Snowden’s Hawkesbury record has enough volume to trust (six runners, two wins, three placings), and Berry rides the track often. If Samaka is the one who controls the first 200m, she can steal it.
Staking: Win bet Our Huntress. Exacta saver Our Huntress and Samaka in case Snowden’s runner gets the soft lead and kicks.
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Race 3: Micway Midway (Bm64) — 14:10, 1531m
The question here is simple: can anything get past Rebel Rhapsody if he holds his spot from gate 1? I don’t want to make it complicated. He’s drawn to get every favour, and his recent form says he’s in the zone: 437-71 with the last-start win followed by a profile that reads like a horse who’s finally found the right grade.
He also comes with a 90-day return that I take seriously: two runs for one win and one placing in the period, which is the sort of strike that tells you confidence is up and the yard has him right.
Tommy Berry rides, and while his Hawkesbury strike rate sits at 16% from 25 rides in the course sample, I’m more interested in the practical part: he knows where the winning runs are made here, and from barrier 1 he won’t need to be a hero.
The danger is Broadway Street (K J Parker, N Rawiller, barrier 7). Rawiller is the best winning rider on the day by course profile (nine rides, three wins), and if he can slide into a stalking spot without being caught deep, he’s the one who can make Rebel Rhapsody feel pressure when it counts.
A quick note for those chasing a place angle: Tessy Tee has placed once from three Hawkesbury runs, which is enough to respect her around the minors, but she needs the race run to suit from barrier 3 and she’s giving away class to the top two picks.
Staking: Win bet Rebel Rhapsody. If Broadway Street drifts, I’d consider a small each-way saver purely on Rawiller’s Hawkesbury strike.
The plays
NAP: Our Huntress (Race 2, 13:35). The profile screams “wins a maiden soon” and the McDonald booking is the type of decision that turns seconds into wins.
Value: Broadway Street (Race 3, 14:10) if the market gives you a price. Rawiller rides Hawkesbury like he’s got the map tattooed on his wrist, and that matters from a middle draw.
Banker for multis: Rebel Rhapsody. Barrier 1, in form, and you can see the run before the gates open.
Each-way play: I’m keeping it simple and not forcing one. With odds unavailable in the current feed, I’d rather bet win-only where I’ve got a clear opinion than pretend every race needs an each-way angle.
Course angle: When you’re tossing up between two similar chances today, default to the rider who stacks Hawkesbury placings. Zac Lloyd’s 17 rides here have produced 10 placings, and that “gets a run, gets a result” habit is worth money on this circuit.
Keep an eye on how the inside lanes play in the first two: if leaders and rail runners keep kicking, you’ll want to be even more ruthless about backing barrier and position next Hawkesbury meeting.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Hawkesbury today?
Racing kicks off at 12:55 with the Arg Building Services Maiden Plate over 1203m.
Who are the top jockeys and trainers at Hawkesbury on today’s numbers?
On course strike with a real sample, N Rawiller leads the wins: 3 wins from 9 rides. For consistency, Zac Lloyd has been the placing machine here with 10 placings from 17 rides. Among trainers with meaningful volume, Annabel Neasham & Rob Archibald place often here (10 placings from 16 runners), while C J Waller brings the biggest stable footprint (42 runners for 16 placings).
What are the best bets at Hawkesbury today?
My Hawkesbury best bets are Our Huntress in Race 2 (drawn 4 with J B McDonald) and Rebel Rhapsody in Race 3 (drawn 1 with Tommy Berry). Both are set up to get economical runs, and that’s usually the deciding factor at this track.
Where can I find the best odds for Hawkesbury races?
Shop around with the major books and exchanges, because prices can move sharply in these short-field metro provincial cards. Odds weren’t available from the current odds feed for this meeting at the time of writing, so check your preferred bookmaker’s Hawkesbury markets closer to jump time for the cleanest prices.
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