Warwick Racing Tips & Predictions 23 Feb 2026
Kembla Grange Racing Tips & Predictions 24 Feb – Can Charlina back it up?
Kembla Grange racing tips & predictions 24 Feb – Can Charlina back it up?
Hook: This Kembla card is all about momentum horses and stable intent rather than obvious “track specialists”. The course-stats landscape today is thin on meaningful samples for horses (almost none have 3+ prior runs here), but it’s rich in repeatable connections — especially the O’Shea/Charlton team, who’ve been converting at Kembla when they target the place.
We’ve got 4 races on Turf at Kembla Grange on 24/02/2026. There’s no published going in the race data, so the analysis leans harder on recent performance, class placement, speed-map logic and the few course patterns that actually carry weight. Below you’ll get race-by-race breakdowns, plus the best actionable angles from today’s runners and stables — built for punters who want more than a surface-level form read. These Kembla Grange racing tips focus on where the market often misprices uncertainty: maidens at the mile, and short-course (1094m) races where position and intent matter.
Ladbrokes Review [Updated March 2026] | Ladbrokes.com.au Pros & Cons
- Info Hub
- Mates Mode
Course Overview
Going & Conditions
Kembla Grange races on Turf today. The race feed does not publish an official going, so we’re not guessing ground bias — we’re weighting map, class context, and proven race-shape adaptability over ground-specific profiles.
Course Specialists Running Today
Today’s card doesn’t produce a meaningful “horse specialists” table. Only one runner on the meeting has 3+ prior starts at Kembla Grange (Li’l Grug: 3 runs), and that sample still doesn’t show any positive outcome (0 wins, 0 placings). Rather than inflating 1–2 start records into percentages, the edge here sits with jockey volume, trainer patterns, and current preparation form.
Jockeys To Note (minimum 5 rides at course)
| Entity | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | Place % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zac Lloyd | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33.33% | 66.67% |
| C Schofield | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40.00% | 60.00% |
| K S Latham | 14 | 3 | 5 | 21.43% | 35.71% |
| Brock Ryan | 16 | 3 | 6 | 18.75% | 37.50% |
| Tyler Schiller | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16.67% | 50.00% |
| Siena Grima | 13 | 2 | 6 | 15.38% | 46.15% |
| A B Collett | 14 | 0 | 4 | 0.00% | 28.57% |
| G Buckley | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 7.14% |
| J Ford | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0.00% | 33.33% |
| Mollie Fitzgerald | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0.00% | 7.69% |
Trainers To Note (minimum 3 runners at course)
| Entity | Runs | Wins | Places | Win % | Place % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O’Shea & Tom Charlton | 7 | 3 | 3 | 42.86% | 42.86% |
| Jason Attard | 3 | 1 | 1 | 33.33% | 33.33% |
| David Pfieffer | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25.00% | 50.00% |
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
18+ T&C’s Apply. What are you really gambling with? Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a Deposit Limit For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Race-by-Race Analysis
Race 1: Time To Reign @ Kingstar Farm Midway Mdn Hcp (13:50, 1640m)
The opener is a mile maiden handicap where barriers and intent usually decide more than raw “ratings”. With several runners still learning to finish their races, the key question is who can hold a spot and still run the last 400m.
Top Selection: El Qasabi
El Qasabi brings the cleanest mix of map comfort and recently-competitive form to this field. He draws 2 in a 1640m maiden, and that matters at Kembla when the tempo slackens mid-race and the sprint goes on — inside runners often control their own luck.
Supporting Analysis
His last 90 days read as 2 starts for 1 placing (50% place rate) with an average finishing position of 3.5, and he’s banked $8,850 in that window. He’s had just one prior start at Kembla and finished midfield; that single run isn’t evidence of a course angle, but it does tell you he’s handled the environment.
Key Danger: She’s A Dame
She’s A Dame has been close enough often (334-3) to suggest she’s ready to win a maiden, and she maps to get every chance from gate 6 with Sherry riding. If the race turns into a sit-and-sprint, she’s the filly most likely to take a position and keep it.
Verdict
I want the runner who can stay in touch from the inside and finish off. El Qasabi gets that set-up more often than most here. She’s A Dame is the obvious danger on consistency, while The Iron Star profiles as the knockout if he finds clear air at the right time from a wider alley.
Race 2: Happy 18th Lachlan Sheppard Super Mdn Plate (14:25, 1422m)
This is a different puzzle: a 1422m maiden where the market often overreacts to “pretty” trials and underweights stable conversion at the venue. The tempo should be reasonable with a couple who can roll forward from middle gates.
Top Selection: Buckeye
Buckeye looks the right type to win this: consistent enough to be there late, and from a stable that clearly targets Kembla effectively. John O’Shea & Tom Charlton strike at 42.86% wins at Kembla Grange (3 wins from 7 runners) — that’s a meaningful enough sample to respect, and it’s not a “one horse” stat.
Supporting Analysis
The last 90 days show Buckeye has had 2 starts for 1 placing (50% place rate), and he’s earned $12,250. Zac Lloyd rides and he’s a genuine Kembla positive on volume: 6 rides, 2 wins, 4 placings (33.33% / 66.67%). Lloyd and O’Shea/Charlton have only a single Kembla data point together in the feed (a win with Fast Track on 22 Jan), so treat that as context rather than gospel.
Key Danger: Pappa Blue
Pappa Blue has already hinted he’s up to this grade (0-2) and comes from the Neasham/Archibald yard that can improve runners sharply second-up. If he finds the front or lands one-out, one-back, he becomes very hard to run down.
Verdict
Stable strike at the track plus a jockey who consistently rides Kembla well gives Buckeye a stronger base than most maidens. Pappa Blue is the threat if he controls the speed. If you’re playing multiples, Buckeye reads as the safer anchor than most in this field because his profile doesn’t rely on a single “jump-out” or guesswork tempo.
Race 3: Dapto Leagues Club Provincial Hcp (C1) (15:05, 1094m)
The 1094m C1 is where Kembla punishes horses that drift back and need luck. Expect this to be decided by who can absorb early pressure and still punch late — provincial sprint handicaps rarely hand you the perfect run.
Top Selection: Charlina
Charlina arrives in form you can actually quantify. Over the last 90 days she’s gone 2 starts: 1 win, 2 placings (50% win, 100% place) with $26,500 in prizemoney and an average finishing position of 2.0. That’s the strongest “current prep” statistical profile on the meeting from the horses we can interrogate.
Supporting Analysis
She has won on her only previous visit to Kembla — again, that’s a single data point, not a course edge — but it does remove the “does she handle the track?” query. From gate 6 she should land midfield with cover; if the leaders overdo it, she’s the runner most likely to sustain a long sprint rather than needing the last 100m to fall perfectly.
Key Danger: Just Awesome
Just Awesome looks the main pace/pressure horse and brings a more established sprint profile (163-4). If Lloyd can dictate early without burning petrol, he can pinch it — particularly if the race plays on-speed.
Verdict
Charlina gets the nod because she owns the best recent-results spine and doesn’t need a miracle map. Just Awesome is the danger if the race turns into an on-pace advantage scenario. For staking, I’d rather back Charlina straight than try to be too clever in a sprint handicap where late luck often decides minors.
Race 4: Jack Primmer Electronics Mdn Plate (15:40, 1094m)
Plenty of these have shown enough to win a maiden, but it’s a messy 1094m set-up: wide gates, lightly-raced horses and a likely scramble for positions. The best bet usually comes from a runner who can sit close without over-racing.
Top Selection: Hay Street
Hay Street brings the most reliable recent “ceiling” for a maiden on this card: in the last 90 days he’s had 1 start for 1 placing (a 2nd; $18,600 earned). That doesn’t sound like much, but it tells you he’s already producing a race good enough to win many maidens at this trip.
Supporting Analysis
Barrier 4 is ideal in a short sprint maiden: it keeps him out of the early hustle, and Sherry can choose whether to hold a spot or ride for cover if there’s early heat. Alabama Showdown (gate 2) profiles as the horse that can control his own luck if he steps cleanly, but he’ll have pressure from wider runners crossing early.
Key Danger: Bedda Mia
Bedda Mia brings the best “finish a race” pattern in the field (33-272) and she has placed on her only Kembla start. From gate 3 she lands in the right part of the track — if Hay Street gets pocketed, Bedda Mia is the one who can loop and sustain.
Verdict
I’ll side with the runner who has already delivered a placing worth real money and gets the kind of draw that avoids chaos. Hay Street fits. Bedda Mia is the danger if the race opens up from the 300m and the winner needs to be strongest late, not just quickest early.
Summary & Best Bets
Today’s edge at Kembla isn’t “course specialists” — the meeting simply doesn’t have the sample sizes. The angles that do hold up are trainer intent (O’Shea/Charlton’s 3 wins from 7 at the track), jockey volume records (Lloyd and Schofield both convert here off meaningful ride counts), and identifying horses whose last 90 days show a real performance base rather than a single flash run.
NAP: Charlina in the 15:05 — her last 90 days read 1 win and 2 placings from 2 starts (50% win, 100% place) with $26,500 earned, which is a stronger foundation than most in a provincial sprint handicap.
Best Value: Buckeye in the 14:25 — the O’Shea/Charlton stable have been converting at Kembla (3 wins from 7), and Lloyd’s Kembla record (2 wins from 6 rides) supports the intent angle.
Banker: Hay Street in the 15:40 — gate 4 in a short maiden plus a recent placing worth $18,600 is the most reliable set-up in an otherwise volatile race.
Each-Way Angle: She’s A Dame in the 13:50 — consistent enough to feature again, and the mile gives her time to build rather than needing to win the first 50m.
Course Angle to Follow: John O’Shea & Tom Charlton at Kembla Grange — 42.86% win rate from 7 runners is a pattern you can keep betting into when they bring the right horse, not a once-off spike.
Kicker: Keep an eye on how the 1094m races are ridden today — if the inside-drawn stalkers keep winning, Kembla’s short-course map may be offering more edge than the market is pricing.
FAQ
What time does racing start at Kembla Grange today?
Racing starts at 13:50 with the Time To Reign @ Kingstar Farm Midway Mdn Hcp over 1640m.
What is the going at Kembla Grange today?
The race feed for this meeting does not publish an official going. Today’s analysis weights recent form and map more heavily than ground-dependent assumptions.
Who are the top trainers at Kembla Grange?
Based on course records for today’s participating stables, John O’Shea & Tom Charlton lead the card at Kembla with 3 wins from 7 runners (42.86% win rate). David Pfieffer also rates as a positive on smaller volume with 1 win and 2 placings from 4 (25% win, 50% place), while Jason Attard has 1 win from 3.
What are the best bets at Kembla Grange today?
The strongest plays on the numbers and set-up are Charlina (15:05) off a last-90-days profile of 1 win and 2 placings from 2 starts, and Buckeye (14:25) for the O’Shea/Charlton + Lloyd combination supported by their respective Kembla records.
Where can I find the best odds for Kembla Grange races?
Odds weren’t available via the odds feed for this meeting at time of writing, so price shopping needs to happen directly with your preferred bookmakers. When markets do populate, focus on comparing win and place terms in the sprint races (1094m), where small map differences can cause bigger SP swings.
Responsible Gambling
Gamble responsibly. RacingBase previews provide information, not guarantees. Set a budget, stick to it, and never chase losses.
- Support & Resources: Gambling Help Online: https://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au
- Phone: 1800 858 858 (Australia)
- 18+ Only: You must be 18 years or older to gamble in Australia.
- Affiliate disclosure: This page may contain affiliate links. If you click through and place a bet, RacingBase may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
