Randwick Racing Tips 23 May 2026 — can Waller own the day?

Racingbase Staff Racingbase Staff

The first thing that jumps off this Randwick card is the Waller footprint. He doesn’t just turn up here, he lands punches: 201 runners at Randwick for 29 wins and 91 placings. That is a proper body of work, and it matters because today’s meeting asks you to make calls in races where the exposed form is thin in spots, and where stable intent is often the cleanest clue.

So these Randwick racing tips lean into what’s most repeatable: proven connections at this track, horses trending the right way, and race shape. We’ve got four races on turf, starting at 11:00, and the best betting angle is finding runners who will get the run without needing miracles from the barriers.

Odds are not available in the feed at publish time, so I’m pricing the races on profile and saying plainly where I’d bet and where I’d watch.

Randwick — the setup

We don’t have a going read in the racecard today, so treat early races as your live guide. Randwick can punish horses that over-race, and it can flatter the one that gets cover and peels at the right moment. If the inside is holding early, leaders and one-one runners get a big bump. If it’s chopping out, you want something that can sustain a run from the 600m without being pushed into the red.

Limited course form across today’s fields. Most of what’s in front of us is one or two prior Randwick runs, so I’m not calling any horse a track specialist off that.

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Jockey Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
Siena Grima 38 5 19 13.16 50.00
N Rawiller 64 8 32 12.50 50.00
Tyler Schiller 59 8 21 13.56 35.59
Trainer Runs Wins Places Win% Place%
C J Waller 201 29 91 14.43 45.27
M, W & J Hawkes 25 6 11 24.00 44.00
G Waterhouse & A Bott 69 7 32 10.14 46.38

Race-by-race: Randwick predictions

Race 1: Asahi Super Dry Hcp — 11:00, 1312m

Uncertain Glory appeals as the simple read in a two year old race that’s light on exposed depth. The unbeaten “1” on the page matters in these early season handicaps, and barrier 4 gives Adkins the option to hold a spot without spending petrol. With 124.5 on the back, the job is straightforward: get cover, don’t overdo it, and let the horse’s natural talent win the last 200.

I respect Keen To Exceed as the danger because there’s already a Randwick reference point: placed on its only run here, and that matches the Hawkes angle. This stable wins often enough at Randwick for their placements to mean something, and from gate 2 Schiller should get every favour.

Also in the mix: Zousika has the “51” profile, and Neasham and Archibald don’t bring them here for a picnic. Wide gate (9) keeps it as a player rather than a bet for me.

Staking: Win bet Uncertain Glory. Save on Keen To Exceed if the market drifts and you’re getting paid for the insurance.


Race 2: Midway (Bm72) — 11:35, 1531m

Here’s the puzzle: do you want the one that keeps knocking, or the one that’s trending like it’s about to win again? I’m siding with the horse that’s been living in the finish.

Audrey’s Lane looks the right betting horse. That “5-1333” is as honest as it gets, and you don’t need a perfect track map from barrier 3. She’s placed on her only Randwick run, and her recent record over the last 90 days backs up what your eyes already tell you: four runs, one win, and she’s been in the money every single time. That is a rock-solid base for a Midway where plenty of these will give you one run and then go missing.

The danger is Magical Moments (form “415211”), who reads like a progressive type that keeps finding a way. Gate 9 asks Dylan Gibbons to ride a touch colder and get cover. If she lands in the first half of the field without working, she’s a real threat.

From a pure track angle, I’m wary of making Flying Embers the play. Rawiller is always a tick, but the horse’s only Randwick run is an ugly one (average position 13 from that single start). Not a reason to sack it, just not the profile I want to take short.

Staking: Win bet Audrey’s Lane. Small saver quinella with Magical Moments if you’re playing wider.


Race 3: Tab Highway Hcp (C3) — 12:10, 1312m

The market will have to tell us plenty here because there are bodies everywhere, and the gates are chaotic. So I’m going to start with the shape: this looks like a race where a clean run is the whole story, and barrier 1 is a weapon if your horse can relax.

Jackpot Star gets that weapon. Gate 1, 125.6, and a jockey with enough nous to hold the rail and make the field come around him. His recent 90-day line is mixed on paper (two runs, one win, one unplaced), but that’s exactly the kind of profile that creates value in these Highway-style handicaps. If he turns up closer to the winning run than the forget run, he’s the one I want holding the inside.

Judith’s Revenge is the obvious danger because she just keeps turning up: “112222” tells you she’s fit, she’s tough, and she puts herself in the fight. Over the last 90 days she’s run four times and hasn’t missed a cheque. From barrier 10 she can land midfield with cover and be the horse launching down the outside when others are searching for runs.

Respect Nirmata as well (form “235-11”) but gate 24 is the kind of draw that can make you look silly even when you’ve found the right horse. If she wins from there, tip your cap and move on.

Staking: Win bet Jackpot Star. If you want to play safer, go each-way and let the barrier do the heavy lifting.


Race 4: Sporting Chance Cancer Foundation (Bm78) — 12:45, 2625m

This is the best betting race on the card because the form lines actually give you something to hang your hat on, and the pace looks more readable over the trip.

King Of The Sea is my pick. “111-43” says he’s already proven he can win and then hold his form when the grade catches up. Over the last 90 days he’s gone two from two for placings with an average finish of 3.5, which is what you want when stepping into a staying handicap where plenty of these bring questions. Gate 5 is fine at this trip, and Farragher is riding Randwick as well as anyone in the sample we’ve got: five rides here for two wins. That’s enough volume to treat it as a real positive, not noise.

The danger is Cap Saint Martin. The profile “1-3410” suggests he’s better than the last run, and Rawiller going on is always a statement of intent. He’s only had the one Randwick run, so don’t overplay that stat, but barrier 2 gives him every chance to settle close and make it a grind from the 600.

I’m happy to risk Thrice at the weight (131.1). Waterhouse and Bott are lethal at Randwick across a big sample, but this horse’s recent form “177-50” screams that he’s still searching for his best. He can beat me if he controls the race from the front, but I’m not paying to find out.

Staking: Win bet King Of The Sea. Save exacta with Cap Saint Martin running second.

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The plays

NAP: King Of The Sea (Race 4, 12:45). He brings the right mix of winning habit and recent consistency, and he gets a jockey who’s making Randwick pay.

Value: Jackpot Star (Race 3, 12:10). Gate 1 is a real edge in a messy handicap, and the recent win within his last two says the ceiling is there if the ride goes to plan.

Banker for multis: Audrey’s Lane (Race 2, 11:35). Four runs in the last 90 days, four placings. That’s the kind of horse you lean on when the rest of the card has more unknowns.

Each-way: Keen To Exceed (Race 1, 11:00). Placed on its only Randwick start, drawn to get the cosy run again, and the Hawkes strike rate here is a proper sample.

Course angle to keep riding: When you’re torn between two similar horses at Randwick, I’m giving the tie-break to Waller runners. 201 starts here and he still places nearly half of them. That is not a coincidence, it’s planning.

If the inside lanes are winning early, be ready to upgrade barrier horses all afternoon, because Randwick days can turn into “hold the fence and don’t panic” meetings very quickly.

FAQ: Randwick today

What time does racing start at Randwick today?

Racing starts at 11:00 with Race 1, the Asahi Super Dry Hcp over 1312m.

Who are the top trainers and jockeys at Randwick on this card?

From the trainers, C J Waller is the standout course operator: 201 runners at Randwick for 29 wins and 91 placings. Among the jockeys with a meaningful sample today, N Rawiller has 64 rides here for 8 wins and 32 placings, while Siena Grima hits the frame 19 times from 38 rides.

What are the best bets at Randwick today?

My Randwick best bets are King Of The Sea in Race 4 (the most reliable profile in the staying race), and Audrey’s Lane in Race 2 off a run of placings (form line “5-1333”).

Where can I find the best Randwick odds today?

The live odds feed wasn’t available for this meeting at publish time. The practical move is to price-shop between your usual Aussie books once markets firm up closer to jump, especially in the Highway (Race 3) where barriers can swing the price dramatically. For more previews like this, browse the latest Randwick racing tips hub on RacingBase.

Which race should I treat as a watch-only?

If you’re trying to stay disciplined, Race 1 is the easy “watch” candidate. It’s a two year old handicap with several runners having limited exposed form and only one or two Randwick data points. If you bet it, keep it small.

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