Queen Elizabeth Stakes Tips & Preview 2022

Queen Elizabeth Stakes Tips & Preview

Looking for Queen Elizabeth Stakes tips and best bets? We dissect times and form to find the winner of the 2022 Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick.

QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES BETTING SNAPSHOT

A star-studded field have accepted for the $4 million Queen Elizabeth Stakes and it is Verry Elleegant that heads the market with ladbrokes at the $3.70 quote, just ahead of the three-year-old, Anamoe, and the last start All-Star Mile (1600m) winner, Zaaki. That pair are both at $4.20.

Duais shapes as a major contender and is at $4.50, while Montefilia at $8 is another under double figure odds at the $8. I’m Thunderstruck gets out to the 2000m for the first time and is at $15, while Think It Over ($31), Dalasan ($101) and Mount Popa ($101) round out the field.

QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES FORM ANALYSIS

The Ranvet Stakes (2000m) is always one of the key lead ups towards this race and it was Verry Elleegant that went down as a $1.20 favourite this year behind Montefilia in that race, beaten two lengths.

The winner took advantage of the slow early tempo to hit the front as they cornered and kept going, producing the fastest last 400m and 200m of the race. She went seven lengths faster than standard benchmark.

The David Payne-trained galloper comes into this third up and at the same stage of her last preparation she went 13 lengths faster than standard benchmark when winning the Metropolitan (2400m) at Randwick.

We can expect Verry Elleegant to bounce back and it is interesting to note she was 4th at the same stage of her last preparation in the Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington before placing 3rd in the Cox Plate (2040m) behind State Of Rest and Anamoe, producing the fastest last 200m.

The Chris Waller mare then went on to claim the Melbourne Cup (3200m), going 19.9 lengths faster than standard, which are the best figures that any horse in this race has produced in the past two years.

Anamoe comes off a stunning win in the Rosehill Guineas (2000m) on the same day. He settled handy and they went very slow early on. The Godolphin galloper won by nearly seven lengths but went just 1.2 lengths faster than standard. That was due to the slow tempo. He went 13.2 lengths faster than standard in the Cox Plate and was a length in front of Verry Elleegant but meets her 6kg worse at the weights from the clash.

Duais has been a revelation this autumn and has shown she can produce some serious figures, going 15.9 lengths faster than standard benchmark when winning the Australian Cup (2000m) at Flemington before toying with her rivals in the Group 1 Tancred Stakes (2400m) at Newcastle last time.

Zaaki is the other main fancy in the market and claimed the All-Star Mile at Flemington a fortnight ago, going 10 lengths faster than standard. That form has held up with Mr Brightside and I’m Thunderstruck among the beaten brigade that day. Those two provided the quinella in the recent Doncaster Mile (1600m).

I’m Thunderstruck is the real X-factor for mine. He went 11.4 lengths faster than standard in the Doncaster and he boasts a peak figures of 17 lengths faster when winning the Toorak Handicap (1600m) when deep in to his preparation last year. Only Verry Elleegant has produced a superior figure in the last two years.

Of the other runners, Think It Over is capable of improvement but probably needs dry ground. He is unlikely to get that and was runner-up behind Duais in the Australian Cup before finishing 4th behind the mare.

Dalasan keeps on keeping on but has shown he is a tier or two below the top liners. Mount Popa does boast the best last start figures of any runner, going 12.9 lengths faster than standard in the Neville Selwood Stakes (2000m). He probably needs a bog track to get near them but might get those conditions.

QUEEN ELIZABETH STAKES TIPS AND BEST BETS

Tempo looks interesting and I expect Zaaki to head forward from barrier 3, while Think It Over, Mount Popa and Dalasan shouldn’t be too far away. Interesting to see where Anamoe ends up after going forward last time. Not quite sure if we will get a genuine tempo and the sprint might be on at the 600m. While the figures weren’t anything special in his Rosehill Guineas win, I am keen on Anamoe as he does seem to be one that is adaptable enough, while his two runs at the 2000m have resulted in a controversial runner-up performance in the Cox Plate as well as his seven length romp in the Rosehill Guineas. Banking on the fact that the Godolphin galloper has one big run left in his this preparation. You could make a case for a number of these and it is such a quality field.

 

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